长江中下游6月份降水的一个预报指标

根据１９６３－１９９２年嵊山海洋站２月海气感热输送和２２ａ太阳磁周期与降水的关系，提出了一个长江中下游６月降水的综合预报指标，用此指标，对１９９３年６月长江中下游降水进行回报，结果与实况一致。     

Gorkha (Nepal) earthquake of April 25, 2015: Actual damage,retrofitting measures and prediction by RVS for a few typical structures

This study is an attempt to underline the lack of preparedness and the nature of immediate further measures to be taken for facing a moderate earthquake in Indian subcontinents. Surprisingly, moderate to severe damage was noticed in structures located in hundreds of kilometres away from epicentre during last Gorkha earthquake. In this context, the present study makes an effort to validate a proposed modified rapid visual screening schemes for low cost houses frequently available in India. This may be used extensively for quick vulnerability assessment of a locality. Examples of retrofitting measures for typical buildings presented in this study may be useful for upgrading the valuable structures. Thus this study may be helpful for quick vulnerability assessment and adopting retrofitting measures for identified structures for earthquake prone developing countries.     

广东三坑地热田形成条件及开发潜力分析

广东三坑地热田位于吴川－四会深大断裂带的东北侧,三坑向斜岩溶盆地内。地下热水主要赋存于ＮＥ与ＮＷ向断裂构造及其交汇部位的岩溶裂隙发育带中。根据地热地质条件及水热对流系统分析,地下热水是在水热对流系统中由深循环高温构造裂隙水与浅循环８常温岩溶水混合而成。三坑地热田热水资源具有水温适中、水量丰富、水质良好、动态稳定等特点。开发潜力很大。     

水生动物热休克蛋白研究进展

由于栖息环境的特殊性,水生动物热休克蛋白的诱导及其生态意义具有不同于陆生动物的特性.本文总结了近年来水生动物热休克蛋白方面的研究进展,介绍热休克蛋白的调节机制及其功能,归纳水生动物热休克蛋白对温度、环境污染和其他因子的反应,着重分析热休克蛋白表达在水生动物中热耐受性和交叉保护中的作用,及其对水生动物分布和适合度的影响.     

A PCSWMM/GIS-based water balance model for the Reesor Creek watershed

This paper presents the results of a study of a watershed experiencing the pressures of land-use change resulting from urban development. The study was undertaken to facilitate an understanding of the water balance of the watershed by developing and implementing watershed procedures that are to be addressed in a watershed plan. There were three components to the research: firstly, observation of the effects of spatially distributed rainfall measurements and their effect on modelling were assessed. Secondly, the model was then calibrated by observing how differing techniques can discretize both the landscape (e.g. land-use and soil type) and incoming precipitation. Finally, a modelling methodology was developed to integrate a Geographic Information System and a hydrologic model (e.g. Storm Water Management Model) in a water balance analysis on a watershed basis. Results show that, under certain conditions, kriging spatially distributed rainfall values can help predict rainfall at ungauged (virtual) sites. Discretization of a watershed was found to affect the differences between measured and generated runoff volumes; however, this can be refined with calibration. It was seen that a strong correlation between measured and predicted rainfall values did not always guarantee a strong relationship between measured and generated runoff Recommendations include the use of a longer time series of rainfall, streamflow and predicted rainfall to observe temporal variations, and the need to assess the differences in modelled rainfall values generated by various surface interpolation methods (e.g. Inverse Distance Weighting and other kriging options) currently available in GIS packages.     

青藏高原东南部海洋型冰川物质平衡研究进展北大核心CSCD

青藏东南部海洋型冰川具有独特的气候敏感性,普遍呈现加速退缩趋势,这不仅影响区域水资源安全,而且伴生了相应的冰川灾害,是当前青藏高原冰冻圈变化研究的热点区域之一。本文对海洋型冰川物质平衡时空变化特征进行了综述,2000年以来冰川总体处于物质亏损状态,其平均物质平衡介于-0.66~-0.61m w.e.·a^(-1)之间;同时总结了海洋型冰川物质加速变化的驱动因素以及新特征。当前海洋型冰川物质平衡变化研究受观测数据缺乏和模型模拟不确定性等问题限制,尤其现有模型对冰面裂隙增多与扩张、冰崖-冰面湖-表碛相互作用、冰内冰下过程、冰崩、末端冰湖水-冰相互作用等过程的描述过于简化或基本缺失,其机理及影响仍存在较大的不确定性。未来需加强海洋型冰川物质平衡的综合监测,基于多数据和多方法的集成研究提高模型对冰川物质平衡多物理过程的耦合与模拟能力,为开展海洋型冰川物质变化的区域水资源效应和致灾效应研究奠定基础。     

南亚夏季风爆发前后青藏高原地表热通量的长期变化特征分析

青藏高原作为世界第三极,其热力强迫作用不仅对亚洲季风系统的发展和维持十分重要,也会对大气环流场产生深远影响。利用欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF）的ERA-Interim中1979-2016年3-10月青藏高原及其周边地区的地表热通量月平均再分析资料,通过分析得出以下结论:3-5月青藏高原主体由感热占据,感热强度快速上升且呈西高东低的分布态势,潜热强度较小但随时间而增强。季风爆发后的6-8月,青藏高原感热强度减弱,潜热强度迅速增强且呈东高西低的分布特征。季风消退后的9-10月,感热与潜热强度相当,但感热呈现出西高东低的分布特征。过去38年,青藏高原地表感热总体呈现微弱下降趋势,潜热呈较弱上升趋势。青藏高原西部地区感热呈微弱下降趋势,潜热呈上升趋势。东部感热呈较为明显的下降趋势且近年来变化趋势增强,东部潜热通量则呈现较为明显的上升趋势,分析结论与近期全球变暖条件下青藏高原气候变暖变湿这一变化状况一致,通过对青藏高原地表热通量的变化分析为下一步运用第三次青藏高原大气科学试验所获资料分析青藏高原上空大气热源的变化以及地表加热场如何影响大气环流奠定基础。      

莒县土地整治和占补平衡工作的探讨

通过对低效利用、不合理利用、未利用土地进行田、水、路、林、村整治挖潜,切实提高土地利用效率;通过农村建设用地挖潜利用规划,出台了专门的规范性文件,建立了专门的土地整治资金筹措机制;充分尊重群众意见,对安置区新房建设实行因地制宜、统一配套等手段,使土地综合整治在基层扎扎实实开展起来,有效地服务了新农村建设,增加了建设用地指标,保障地方经济社会发展,保护了有限的耕地资源,统筹了城乡土地配置,确保了全县耕地总量动态平衡。     

CO2 Flux Estimation by Different Regression Methods from an Alpine Meadow on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

CO2 efflux was estimated using different regression methods in staticchamber observation from an alpine meadow on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.The CO2 efflux showed a seasonal pattern, with the maximun fluxoccurring in the middle of July. The temperature sensitivity of CO2efflux (Q10> was 3.9, which was at the high end of the range ofglobal values. CO2 emissions calculated by linear and nonlinearregression were significantly different (p<0.05). Compared with the linearregression, CO2 emissions calculated by exponential regression andquadratic regression were 12.7% and 11.2% larger, respectively.However, there were no significant differences in temperature sensitivityvalues estimated by the three methods. In the entire growing season, theCO2 efflux estimated by linear regression may be underestimated by upto 25% compared to the real CO2 efflux. Consequently, great cautionshould be taken when using published flux data obtained by linear regressionof static chamber observations to estimate the regional CO2 flux inalpine meadows on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.     

高压旋喷技术在基坑护壁与止水工程中的应用

长沙天都大厦工程围护墙先后采用2套方案施工,实践证明,采用高压旋喷单管双液分喷法具有设备简单;投资少;操作容易,施工速度快;桩间搭接严密,固结体强度高;适用范围广等优点,尤其在处理软弱地基、基坑支护和止水工程中显示出有效性、可靠性和优越性。该方法再经进一步完善,将具广阔的推广前景。