Spatial Structure and Long-Term Variations of The Ground-Level Temperature Variance

The global distribution of the ground-level temperature variance and its long-term variations have been investigated on the basis of the monthly mean temperature anomalies, obtained from ground-based and sea-borne meteorological observations from 1896 to 1990. Particular characteristics of the large-scale structure of the temperature variance have been found. There are three pronounced maxima in the global distribution of the temperature variance: in Central Siberia (60°75°N and 70° 120°E), North America (60°75°N and –170°–120°E) and the Antarctica (50°65°S and –60°10°E, where and are the geographic latitude and longitude, respectively) and there are two minima: over the Atlantic and Pacific Ocean areas. The minimum over the Pacific is not as pronounced, as over the Atlantic. The spatial pattern of the ground-level temperature variance is, on the whole, stable, the positions of the zones of extrema remaining practically unchanged over a long time interval. These results indirectly corroborate the mechanism of solar impact on the properties of the low atmosphere by the modulation of the flux of galactic cosmic rays. The mechanism accounts for the spatial distribution of the temperature variance as a result of combined effect of solar activity and ocean. Long-term variations of the Siberian maximum of the ground-level temperature variance agree with the changing duration of the sunspot cycle, in contrast to the North American maximum.     

Simulation of Formation and Spreading of Salinity Minimum Associated with NPIW Using a High-Resolution Model

A series of numerical experiments were conducted with a high-resolution (eddy-permitting) North Pacific model to simulate the formation and spreading of the salinity minimum associated with the North Pacific Intermediate Water (NPIW). It was found that two factors are required to simulate a realistic configuration of the salinity minimum: a realistic wind stress field and small-scale disturbances. The NCEP reanalyzed wind stress data lead to better results than the Hellerman and Rosenstein wind stress data, due to the closer location of the simulated Oyashio and Kuroshio at the western boundary. Small-scale disturbances formed by relaxing computational diffusivity included in the advection scheme promote the large-scale isopycnal mixing between the Oyashio and Kuroshio waters, simulating a realistic configuration of the salinity minimum. A detailed analysis of the Oyashio water transport was carried out on the final three-year data of the experiment with reduced computational diffusivity. Simulated transport of the Kuroshio Extension in the intermediate layer is generally smaller than the observed value, while those of the Oyashio and the flow at the subarctic front are comparable to the observed levels. In the Oyashio-Kuroshio interfrontal zone the zonally integrated southward transport of the Oyashio water (140-155°E) is borne by the eddy activity, though the time-mean flow reveals the existence of a coastal Oyashio intrusion. In the eastern part (155°E-180°) the zonally integrated transport of the Oyashio water indicates a southward peak at the southern edge of the Kuroshio Extension, which corresponds to the branching of the recirculating flow from the Kuroshio Extension.     

SOLAR-TERRESTRIAL AND CLIMATIC PHENOMENA IN RELATION TO SOLAR INERTIAL MOTION

The time series of solar and volcanic activities have been processed to show, mostly by means of statistical characteristics, the exceptional and recurring pattern of these phenomena in the intervals of the exceptional and recurring pattern of solar motion, i.e. in the intervals of the Sun's motion along the trefoils which reoccur in steps of 178.7 years. Nearly the same sets of five sunspot cycles have been found in the latest trefoil intervals (1730–1780 and 1910–1960), their length being constant and equal to 10 years (cycles No. 15–19). The steadily attenuated volcanic activity have been pointed out in the three latest trefoil intervals. The long-term maxima of surface air temperature occured in the central decades of the trefoil intervals. The results indicate a primary role of solar motion in a causal chain of ST-relations and a need of taking the Solar System as a whole into account to explain climatic changes. The solar motion can be computed in advance. Predictive assesments, so far in form of analogies, have been made: Because the solar motion in the next decades will be chaotic, lower and longer solar cycles (with irregular length), ocurrence of huge volcanic events and a decrease of global surface air temperature can be expected.     

正弦干扰下时滞系统的状态预测观测器与前馈-反馈预测控制器设计

研究控制变量含有时滞的线性系统在外部正弦干扰下的最优减振预测控制问题。利用系统的控制向量和被控对象的预测输出向量 ,设计了 1种全维状态预测观测器。并将该状态观测器用于时滞控制系统的最优前馈 -反馈预测控制中。频域分析表明 ,应用该状态预测观测器可将闭环系统的时滞项移至系统闭环结构之外 ,从而其优化控制规律完全可以按无时滞系统进行设计。时域分析表明 ,设计的预测控制器对外部正弦干扰有较强的鲁棒性 ,得到的结果关于二次型平均性能指标是次优的     

地磁感应电流行星际起因及其电网效应的初步分析

利用2004至2005年在广东岭澳监测到的地磁感应电流(Geomagneticily Induced Current,GIC)事件,分析了其对应的太阳驱动源和行星际太阳风结构,重点研究了GIC事件的行星际起因及效应,并利用小波变换对强GIC事件进行频谱分析.研究结果表明:(1)绝大多数GIC事件由全晕状日冕物质抛射(Coronal Mass Ejection,CME)主导驱动,其行星际起因则包含激波鞘层、磁云或多重行星际太阳风结构.(2)针对强GIC事件(2004-11-09)发现GIC事件强度前期的变化与磁云边界层相关,而后期的强度变化主要是磁云本身引起.(3)GIC在电力系统中相当于准直流,其能量体现在两个时间段,前期较弱属于脉冲类型,后期强度较大;关于GIC引起变压器温升的累积时间,相比GIC事件的前期,后期的累积时间更长,对电力系统以及设备的影响更为严重.(4)通过相关性分析,SYM-H指数和dBx/dt与GIC的相关性明显强于其它地磁指数与GIC的相关性.     

Observational Accuracy of Sunrise and Sunset Times in the Sixth Century China

The Daye Calendar was compiled in AD 597 in the Sui Dynasty. We investigate the records of sunrise and sunset times on the 24 solar-term days in the calendar. By converting the ancient Chinese time units, Chen, Ke and Fen to hour, minute and second, and carrying out a comparison between the ancient records and values computed with modern astronomical theory, we find that the accuracy of solar measurements in the Sui period is remarkably high: for sunrise times, the average absolute deviation is 3.63 min (this value can be further reduced to 3.03 min when erroneous data are excluded), and for sunset times it is 3.48 min. We also find that the observed sunrise and sunset times are strictly symmetrically distributed with respect to both the Winter Solstice and the Summer Solstice, with their deviations showing a similar symmetrical distribution as well. We give a discussion on the date of observation, the feature of the data, and possible reasons of the deviation.     

由对地全晕状日冕物质抛射诱发的地磁感应电流统计研究

太阳活动会引起输变电系统异常,特别是对超长距离输变电系统的危害尤其明显.根据SOHO/LASCO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph)的日冕物质抛射(Coronal Mass Ejection,CME)数据、华北电力大学和芬兰气象研究所获得的地磁感应电流(Geomagnetically Induced Current,GIC)数据以及地磁暴数据,分析研究了与GIC事件有关的对地晕状CME的重要观测特征和物理性质.按照对称性将晕状CME进行分类后,发现造成GIC事件的晕状CME主要有3类:完全对称型、亮度不对称型和外形不对称型.不同类型的全晕状CME驱动的GIC事件在强度、持续时间等方面特征各不相同.其中,亮度不对称型晕状CME很有可能对GIC事件影响最为严重.同时注意到GIC与地磁场随时间的变化率也具有较好的相关性.     

利用样条分频消除GPS与APS组合定位中海浪扰动的方法研究

在GPS/APS组合定位技术实际应用中,由海浪引起的测量基准起伏会对定位结果数据产生较大波动,针对这一问题,引入了样条分频方法,进行了算法设计,利用实测数据进行了仿真分析,结果表明:该方法可以实现对混合于测量信号中的非被测目标位置特性信号的分离,在数据处理中能有效消除海浪对定位数据的影响。