额尔齐斯河源区森林对春季融雪过程的影响评估

春季积雪融水是额尔齐斯河河源区最重要的水资源. 为探索森林对春季融雪过程的影响, 于2014年融雪期在额尔齐斯河河源区的卡依尔特斯河流域, 选择草地、林中空地和林下三种不同地貌条件, 分别观测积雪消融过程. 结果显示: 积雪消融过程中, 积雪深度和雪水当量的变化并不是同步的; 积雪深度的减小是持续发生的, 是新雪密实化作用的结果; 而雪水当量仅在日均空气温度高于 0 ℃ 时才出现快速的下降. 森林具有显著调节空气温度的功能, 三种类型观测点1.5 m处的日平均空气温度表现为草地>林下>林中空地, 其中, 消融期内草地的平均空气温度(-2.5 ℃)远高于林下(-5.4 ℃)和林中空地(-6.1 ℃); 森林的存在显著减小了空气温度的日较差. 草地、林中空地和林下积雪消融持续期分别为20 d、43 d和35 d, 消融期平均积雪消融速率分别为2.1 mm·d^-1、1.5 mm·d^-1和 1.2 mm·d^-1, 即: 草地>林中空地>林下. 另外, 单棵树对积雪的消融速率有极其重要的影响: 树冠外一定距离内积雪的消融速率约为树冠下积雪消融速率的2倍以上; 但由于树冠超过70%的降雪截留效应, 树冠正下方的积雪消融结束时间仍提前树冠外侧约10 d. 积雪的消融由空气温度和辐射强度共同决定: 当日平均空气温度<0 ℃时, 辐射强度对积雪消融影响较大, 消融过程可由空气温度和辐射强度共同描述; 当温度>0 ℃时, 单独的空气温度可直接反映消融速率的变化. 研究还发现, 该流域内积雪的消融主要发生在每天的14:00-19:00, 该时段内积雪消融量约占全天消融总量的50%以上, 这对流域内积雪洪水预报和水资源利用及管理具有重要的指导意义.     

黑龙江省三江-穆棱河J_2-K_1沉积体系与聚煤模式

研究煤盆地的构造是进行找煤勘查工作的必要基础。本文全面分析了黑龙江省东部三江—穆棱河J2-K1聚煤环境模式及分布特点,为在该区找煤指明了勘查方向和具体目标。     

聚煤期植物作用下的煤系旋回沉积

煤系特征的还原色和突发性、阶段性间断—充填相间的非渐变旋回沉积,明显不同于其他沉积地层。为探究其成因,引用“将今论古”原理,一方面,调查现代植物的生存潜力,植物对地表碎屑的稳固作用,以及植物涵养水源、调节气候等宏观环境效应;另一方面,通过古生物、地层、煤系、煤层、煤质等研究成果,分析地质历史时期植物的发生、发展、繁盛、衰落的演替历程,以及各聚煤期的形成演化。运用比较沉积学方法将二者分阶段不同功能进行类比,经过一系列证据链推演,推导出聚煤期是植物演替更新后发展到鼎盛阶段的产物,当时的植物异常繁盛,具有强劲的拓殖能力和群体效应。各聚煤期植物规模化发展,已经从脆弱的遭受河流、海浪、潮汐等流体的冲刷、改造的被动阶段,回归到主动限制河流的侧蚀、迁移、汇聚,以及压制海浪、潮流的高度,是由个体生存发展为群体效应的过程,是从现代脆弱的植物生态反演到聚煤期强劲的控盆植被系统的依律回溯过程,是植物功能潜力的充分展现,是质的飞跃。聚煤期植被主导下,陆源碎屑库的累积和崩溃,控制盆地碎屑萎缩与扩张、煤系突发间断性沉积,致使煤层向盆缘分岔变薄以致尖灭、煤层中断续沉积角砾岩、同生多阶性带状砂体、陆表海多重障壁体系、约代尔旋回等特殊沉积。聚煤期植物作用的研究,填补了煤地质学空白,能够对煤地质勘查与研究中出现的一些异常现象给予合理的解释。     

Evidence of the Near-Source Accumulation of the Tight Sandstone Gas in Northern Ordos Basin, North-Central China

The tight sandstone gas in Upper Paleozoic Formation of the northern Ordos Basin is a typical giant unconventional tight gas province. Evidences from geochemistry, reservoir geology and paleo-tectonic setting all verify that the present-day tight sandstone gas accumulation in the Ordos Basin is the result of near-source accumulation. The evidences are listed as following: tight sandstone gas is mainly distributed in the area with high gas-generating strength; gas composition was not subjected to fractionation; gas saturation significantly decreases with the distance away from the source rocks; gas isotopes suggest their origin is the same and maturity is consistent with in-place source rocks; reservoirs have experienced three types of densification digenesis, including intense compaction, siliceous cementation and calcareous cementation, which took place before the formation of a large amount of tight sandstone gas, forming tight reservoirs with low porosity and permeability, fine pore throat and great capillary resistance; the paleo-structural gradient ratio is small from the main hydrocarbon generation period to present. It is indicated the present distribution of tight sandstone gas in the northern Ordos Basin is the result of near-source and short-distance migration and accumulation.     

欧亚大陆积雪对我国春季气候可预报性的影响

利用大气环流模式IAP9L_CoLM,通过两组集合后报试验,考察了欧亚大陆积雪对我国春季气候可预报性的影响。一组试验为常规后报试验,积雪是由模式陆面过程预报得到的,另一组试验为积雪试验,模式积分过程中欧亚大陆雪水当量由微波遥感积雪资料替代,一天替换一次。通过分析两组试验后报结果的差异,来考察欧亚大陆积雪对我国春季（3~5月）气候可预报性的影响。分析表明:欧亚大陆积雪模拟水平的改善能提高春季欧亚大陆中高纬环流场（海平面气压场和中、高层位势高度场）的可预报性,模式对我国春季气温异常的年际变化和空间分布的可预报能力也有显著增强。对我国春季降水,虽然预报技巧较低,但引入较真实的欧亚积雪作用后,由于中高纬环流场预报技巧的改进导致降水的预测能力也有所改进。个例分析也表明,欧亚中高纬春季积雪异常模拟水平的改善导致了欧亚中高纬贝加尔湖及以南区域环流场可预报性的提高,最终使中国东部区域春季气候异常模拟技巧得以改善。以上结果也证实,欧亚大陆积雪是影响东亚区域春季气候的一个重要因子,要提高模式对中国春季气候的预报技巧,积雪模拟水平的改进是非常必要的。     

冬季雨雪的酸度及化学组份的对比

分析了１９８５－１９９１年冬季雨雪的酸度及化学组份资料。结果表明，降雪的酸雪频率各年均有不同，但都比同季中降雨的酸雨频率低；降雪酸度也比降雨纸；降雪中弱酸性的酸雪出现次数最多，占总次数的４成；在酸雪中酸度值与电导率呈现显著的负相关。分析降雪的化学组份发现，降雪中ＳＯ４＾２－含量越来越高，Ｃｌ＾－含量呈下降趋势。阳离子中以ＮＨ４＾＋为主。     

基于湿位涡和积雪效率的降雪预报技术探讨

本文对南京地区2015年的一次强降雪过程进行了湿位涡诊断分析,根据2008—2015年的57次强降雪个例归纳出了积雪效率与地面2 m气温的关系。结果表明:湿位涡正压项对降雪强度变化有较好的指示意义;结合湿位涡斜压项和地面气温可以较好地判断降雪落区,且强降雪落区和湿位涡斜压项的大值中心对应较好;积雪效率和地面2 m气温是分段函数关系,利用该统计关系及气温、降雪量的预报,可以作出积雪深度的预报。     

利用MODIS数据判识祁连山区积雪方法研究

对祁连山区积雪、云和各种下垫面进行光谱分析,利用2003年7月至2005年3月的MODIS数据资料,在前人所做研究工作的基础上提出利用归一化差值积雪指数NDSI(Normalized Difference Snow Index)和中分辨率成像光谱仪(Moderate Resolution Imagigng Spectroradiometer)的band 18和band31的结合,采用逐步逼近法去除大部分云、盐湖、冰面、沙漠、戈壁等对积雪判识的干扰,从而判识出祁连山区积雪。由结果分析和检验显示,利用本文方法可以比较有效识别出祁连山区积雪。     

The Unprecedented Freezing Disaster in January 2008 in Southern China and Its Possible Association with the Global Warming

The unprecedented disaster of low temperature and persistent rain, snow, and ice storms, causing widespread freezing in the Yangtze River Basin and southern China in January 2008, is not a local or regional event, but a part of the chain events of large-scale low temperature and snow storms in the same period in Asia. The severity and impacts of the southern China 2008 freezing disaster were the most significant among others. This disastrous event was characterized by three major features： （1） snowfall, freezing rain, and rainfall, the three forms of precipitation, coexisted with freezing rain being the dominant producer responsible for the disaster; （2） low temperature, rain and snow, and freezing rain exhibited extremely great intensity, with record-breaking measurements observed for eight meteorological variables based on the statistics made by China National Climate Center and the provincial meteorological services in the Yangtze River Basin and southern China; （3） the disastrous weathers persisted for an exceptionally long time period, unrecorded before in the meteorological observation history of China.
The southern China 2008 freezing disaster may be resulted from multiple different factors that superimpose on and interlink with one another at the right time and place. Among them, the La Nina situation is a climate background that provided conducive conditions for the intrusions of cold air into southern China; the persistent anomaly of the atmospheric circulation in Eurasia is the direct cause for a succession of cold air incursions into southern China; and the northward transport of warm and moist airflows from the Bay of Bengal and South China Sea finally warranted the formation of the freezing rain and snow storms and their prolonged dominance in the southern areas of China.
A preliminary discussion of a possible association of this disastrous event with the global warming is presented. This event may be viewed as a short-term regional perturbation to the global warming. There is no     

地震荷载下饱和砂土孔压增长时程计算方法

本文采用逐波累计方法,依据适于不同固结条件的孔压增量模型,计算每一应力循环的孔压变化,可给出非均等固结复杂情况下孔压实时增长过程。采用不同固结比两种砂进行若干典型地震荷载动三轴液化试验,试验结果与所提方法的计算结果有良好对应关系,表明本文方法可有效地描述地震荷载作用下非均等固结饱和砂土孔压增长过程。