天津地区井水位年变异常研究

近年来 ,中国地震预报学者开始关注井水位的年变异常及其中短期预测意义问题 ,但井水位年变异常判别采用动态图像的定性对比方法 ,表现出一定的随意性。针对这种现状 ,文中引进概率论与数理统计中的随机过程理论与时间序列分析技术 (盛骤等 ,1989) ,提出了“井水位动态年周期法”与“相对时段速率比较法” ,解决了井水位年变异常的定量识别方法 ,并应用到天津井网 2 1口井的观测数据 (1985年以来 )分析中 ,证明了该方法的可行性与有效性。分析结果表明 ,天津井网中有 7口井在首都圈邻区 4次中强 (MS≥ 5 .8)地震之前 ,表现出 17井次的井水位年变异常 ,且多在震前 1.5～6个月内出现 ,从而再次证明了井水位年变异常具有一定的中短期预测意义     

汪清7.2级深震地下流体动态异常探析

2002年6月29日汪清7．2级深震前，吉林省地下流体观测网部分井孔观测到一组从趋势到短期前兆异常。本文阐述这些异常出现的特征和时空演化过程。认为异常出现的时间与震中距密切相关，其空间展布具有迁移性，中期异常由外围向震中收缩，其速率很小，进入短期阶段，岩石处于失稳、临失稳状态，水位异常由震中向外围发散，速率迅速加大。同时发现了异常盲区即深震的震中区，它对预测深震中有非常实际的意义，同时对研究板块运动、地球动力学过程也有一定的参考价值。     

邯郸磁山井水氡异常与华北两次中强地震关系初探

大同6．1级和张北6．2级地震前，邯郸磁山井水氧值都出现趋势性高值异常变化。应用水氧异常的滑动平均值和从属函数的判定方法做进一步分析，结果表明，磁山井水氧值的中期异常与华北地区的这两次中强地震有较好的对应关系；对出现这种对应关系的机理进行了讨论。     

三马坊水温重复性前兆异常的构造特征

研究发现三马坊水温对应某些构造带上的地震,其前兆异常有相似性和重复性特征.对应北西向张渤构造带上的地震,其前兆异常形态为突降型,对应东西向阴山-燕山构造带上的地震,其前兆异常形态为上升型,表明水温前兆异常的相似性和重复性特征受活动性构造体系所控制.深入研究三马坊水温前兆异常特征与活动构造带间的关系,可能是突破该地区地震短临预报的有效途径.     

青海省3次强震前地下流体短临异常的对比分析

通过对发生于1999～2000年间库玛中东段地区3次5级以上地震前地下流体短临异常的分析对比，得出了该地区地下流体短临异常的时空强演化特征。     

德令哈6．6级地震前地震活动及地震序列特征

德令哈6．6级地震发生在青海省地震局2003年度会商确定的应注意地区内，震前测震学出现多项中短期异常。该地震序列从其能量释放比、震级差均符合主震一余震型判断指标，为主震-余震型序列。序列跟踪工作总结出该序列早期阶段(20天内)预测强余震的几项指标。     

Inelastic displacement ratios for evaluation of existing structures

Results of a detailed statistical study of constant relative strength inelastic displacement ratios to estimate maximum lateral inelastic displacement demands on existing structures from maximum lateral elastic displacement demands are presented. These ratios were computed for single‐degree‐of‐freedom systems with different levels of lateral strength normalized to the strength required to remain elastic when subjected to a relatively large ensemble of recorded earthquake ground motions. Three groups of soil conditions with shear wave velocities higher than 180m/s are considered. The influence of period of vibration, level of lateral yielding strength, site conditions, earthquake magnitude, distance to the source, and strain‐hardening ratio are evaluated and discussed. Mean inelastic displacement ratios and those associated with various percentiles are presented. A special emphasis is given to the dispersion of these ratios. It is concluded that distance to the source has a negligible influence on constant relative strength inelastic displacement ratios. However, for periods smaller than 1s earthquake magnitude and soil conditions have a moderate influence on these ratios. Strain hardening decreases maximum inelastic displacement at a fairly constant rate depending on the level of relative strength for periods of vibration longer than about 1.0s while it decreases maximum inelastic displacement non‐linearly as the period of vibration shortens and as the relative‐strength ratio increases for periods of vibration shorter than 1.0s. Finally, results from non‐linear regression analyses are presented that provide a simplified expression to be used to approximate mean inelastic displacement ratios during the evaluation of existing structures built on firm sites. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

地浸砂岩型铀矿床微磁异常研究及其找矿意义

通过认真研究中国新疆某盆地410，411和412三个已知地浸砂岩型铀矿床的航磁资料，发现这些矿床上方均存在航磁微磁异常。根据地浸砂岩型铀矿的成矿地球化学机制，对航磁微磁异常的形成机理作了进一步探讨，结合试验区的实际预测成果指出，与氧化一还原过渡带有关的地浸砂岩型铀矿床上方存在微磁异常，高精度航磁完全能探测得到它。航磁微磁异常是此类矿床的特征异常之一，对此类铀矿床具有直接的指示意义，可以作为一种直接标志信息运用于前期成矿预测。     

A procedure for evaluating seismic energy demand of framed structures

Energy serves as an alternative index to response quantities like force or displacement to include the duration‐related seismic damage effect. A procedure to evaluate the absorbed energy in a multistorey frame from energy spectra was developed. For low‐ to medium‐rise frames, it required a static pushover analysis of the structure to determine the modal yield force and ductility factor of an equivalent single‐degree‐of‐freedom system for the first two modes. The energy spectra were then used to determine the energy contribution of each mode. A procedure was also developed to distribute the energy along the frame height based on energy shapes. This study showed that the second‐mode response in some cases needs to be considered to reflect the energy (or damage) concentration in the upper floors. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

给定内插高程异常值的精度时对GPS水准网格间距的考虑

在已布设GPS水准网的地区，若需内插其中任意一点的高程异常值时，应该了解该内插值的精度。导出了该内插点高程异常值的精度评定方法，并具体给出在我国C级GPS水准网中，该内插点高程异常推估值精度和该地区的地形和栅格重力异常分辨率的数学关系式和实例。在给定内插点高程异常值精度的局域大地水准面时，按不同地形和栅格重力异常分辨率的密度，根据这些数学关系式，可以设计间距合理的B级或C级GPS水准网。