Variations of Seismicity in the Avachinsky Gulf (Kamchatka, Russia)

Variations of seismic mode in the region of the Avachinsky Gulf (Kamchatka, Russia) are considered. Observed anomalies (seismic quiescence, the ring seismicity, reduction of the slope of the earthquake recurrence diagram) provide a basis to consider this region as a place of strong earthquake preparation. The Kamchatka regional catalogues of earthquakes between 1962–1995 were used in the analysis. A reduced seismicity rate is observed during 10 years in an area of 150 km × 60 km in size. During the last five years, in the vicinity of the area considered, earthquakes with M > 5 occurred three times more often than the average over thirty years. It is interpreted as ring seismicity. The block of 220 km × 220~km in size, including the quiescence zone, is characterized by a continuous decrease of the recurrence diagram slope, which has reached a minimum value for the last 33 years in this region.     

1998年全球地震活动综述

１９９８年第四季度,全球共发生６级以上地震１１次,其中１１月２９日塞兰海地震为７．７级,地震频度低而强度高。１９９６￣１９９８年,全球地震活动呈逐年下降趋势。１９９８年全年共发生６级以上地震（包括深震）７８次,其中有２次７．７级以上大地震。本年度６级以上浅源地震频数继续减少,全年只有６４次。１９９６￣、９９８年,Ⅰ带和Ⅱ带地震活动逐年减弱;亚欧带有起伏,１９９７年最高,１９９８年回落。中国大陆地震     

Evolution of the seismic activity from the 1982 eruption of El Chichon Volcano, Chiapas, Mexico

 We analyzed more than 1700 earthquakes related to the 1982 eruption of El Chichon volcano in southern Mexico. The data were recorded at specific periods throughout the whole eruptive interval of March to April 1982, by three different networks. The seismic activity began several months before the first eruption on 28 March. During this period the seismicity consisted of hybrid and long-period shallow earthquakes most likely related to processes of faulting, fracturing, and fluid movement underneath the volcano. The foci of events occurring before the eruption circumscribe an aseismic zone from approximately 7 to 13 km below the volcano. After the eruption, the seismic activity consisted of tectonic-type earthquakes that peaked at 1200 events/h. This later activity occurred over a wide range of depths, mostly between 5 and 20 km, that includes the former aseismic zone and is roughly limited by the major tectonic faults in the area. Received: 19 May 1998 / Accepted: 13 June 1999     

川滇M≥63／4级强震前区域性中强震活动变化特征

研究了川滇22 次 M≥6 34 级地震前区域性中强震活动变化情况。验证了某些震兆特征的客观性和普遍性。本文研究结果给出, (1) 强震前区域性中强震活动相对活跃; (2) 震源附近可能发生多次5 ～6级地震; (3) 震中周围出现5 级以上地震组成的相对活动区或活动带; (4) 震源区周围相当范围内显示平静特征。追踪区域性中强震活动变化对于预测未来较大强震的危险性有实际意义。     

地震活动因子A值及其在华北地震中短期预报中的应用

综合考虑了地震活动时空强３ 个方面的震兆特征,定义了地震活动因子 Ａ值．使用１９７２ ～１９９６ 年华北地区地震资料进行空间扫描,研究中强以上地震前 Ａ 值的中短期异常变化特征．结果表明,在中短期阶段大多数地震前出现的 Ａ 值中期异常区面积明显缩小或消失,也有一些地震前１ ～３ 个月 Ａ 值异常区面积再次增大．还就用 Ａ 值进行地震中短期预报的有关问题进行了讨论     

1998年11月19日云南宁蒗6.2级地震前地震活动性特征

１９９８ 年１１ 月１９ 日在云南省宁蒗发生了一次 Ｍ６２ 级强烈地震。该次地震前, 震中及邻区地震活动明显增强, 累计频度和应变能释放随时间从线性缓慢增加变为非线性快速增加, 出现孕震空区、多项地震活动参数异常。此外, 地震活动性诸多参数在地震活动处于线性缓慢变化的时间段内, 在空间分布上表现为随机的现象; 在地震活动处于非线性快速变化的时间段内, 这些参数的空间分布表现出向未来震中收缩、集中的明显特征。     

祁连—川滇复合菱形块体周边主要活动断裂带断层形变特征与机理

根据布设在祁连—川滇复合菱形块体周边主要活动断裂带上形变场地观测资料并结合大面积水准测量成果, 分析了复合菱形块体的活动规律, 并进行了动力学机制的讨论。     

Seismicity acceleration model and its application to several earthquake regions in China

With the theory of subcritical crack growth, we can deduce the fundamental equation of regional seismicity acceleration model. Applying this model to intraplate earthquake regions, we select three earthquake subplates: North China Subplate, Chuan-Dian Block and Xinjiang Subplate, and divide the three subplates into seven researched regions by the difference of seismicity and tectonic conditions. With the modified equation given by Sornette and Sammis (1995), we analysis the seismicity of each region. To those strong earthquakes already occurred in these region, the model can give close fitting of magnitude and occurrence time, and the result in this article indicates that the seismicity acceleration model can also be used for describing the seismicity of intraplate. In the article, we give the magnitude and occurrence time of possible strong earthquakes in Shanxi, Ordos, Bole-Tuokexun, Ayinke-Wuqia earthquake regions. In the same subplate or block, the earthquake periods for each earthquake region are similar in time interval. The constant αin model can be used to describe the intensity of regional seismicity, and for the Chinese Mainland, α is 0.4 generally. To the seismicity in Taiwan and other regions with complex tectonic conditions, the model does not fit well at present.     

Regional seismicity triggered by the Hyogo-Ken Nanbu, Japan, M =7.2 earthquake on January 17, 1995

The time and spatial feature of the regional seismicity triggered by the Hyogo-Ken Nanbu, Japan, M=7.2 earthquake on January 17,1995, was studied. The concerned region is about several hundred kilometers in length and breadth surrounding the epicenter (33°～37°N, 133°～138°E). It is divided into 16 subregions. The seismicity of these subregions from January of 1976 to June of 1996 has been analyzed. It is showed that,① there were significant seismicity changes in 10 subregions triggered by the Hyogo-Ken Nanbu, Japan, M=7.2 earthquake on January 17, 1995. These changes passed a Z statistic test exceeding 0.95 confidence level and the greatest epicenter distance of these subregions was 280 km;②seismicity changes were triggered within 1～5 days in three subregions near the main shock while in other subregions the seismicity changes were triggered within several ten days after the main shock;③ the greatest triggered event is 5.4, which is about the same size as the greatest aftershock;④the regional stress change resulted from the main shock may be the triggered mechanism of the regional seismicity.     

郯庐断裂带下辽河—莱州湾段与潍坊—嘉山段地震构造和地震活动特征对比

从地震构造和地震活动角度,对郯庐断裂带下辽河—莱州湾段和潍坊—嘉山段进行了对比,认为这两段的地震构造环境具有明显不同,地震活动明显属于不同模式。其中下辽河—莱州湾段属群集型地震活动类型;潍坊—嘉山段属特征型地震活动类型。对于下辽河—莱州湾段,未来应注意在新的活跃期或活跃幕到来时群集型强震、中强震的连续发生;对于潍坊—嘉山段,则应注意断层分段本身所控制的地震复发重现规律