基于数值模拟的强震区典型泥石流堵江模式分析

受512汶川强震影响,大量崩滑体出现在震中岷江流域,伴随极端降雨天气它们逐步转化为泥石流灾害。2011年7月3日,受强降雨影响震中附近高家沟暴发泥石流,完全摧毁沟口地物,并且部分堵塞岷江,严重威胁高速公路隧道入口及国道。为了减少强震区泥石流堵江带来的损失,本文选取强震区岷江流域高家沟泥石流作为研究对象,采用数值模拟的方法,模拟不同降雨强度下（5a、20年、50a、100年）高家沟泥石流的运动特征,进而分析其不同程度的堵江模式。经过野外验证2011a73高家沟泥石流数值模拟精度可达81.4%,模拟结果表明,高家沟泥石流5年一遇降雨条件下没有松散堆积物冲出,20年一遇降雨条件下虽有部分松散堆积物进入岷江但未形成堵江,50年一遇降雨条件下则出现部分堵断岷江现象,100年一遇降雨条件下则完全堵塞岷江。该研究结果将为今后强震区泥石流堵江判识及监测预警提供科学依据。     

干旱区内陆河流域水文与水资源问题

阐述了我国水文水资源研究的发展阶段,面临的主要问题,以及当前研究中的热点问题。以新疆地区为例,对干旱区内陆河流域的水文水资源研究方向作了初步探讨。     

走廊南山河流纵剖面高海拔裂点的成因

河流水力侵蚀物理模型表明基岩河道纵剖面在均衡状态时表现为平滑上凹的形态,其特征反映了构造、基岩抗侵蚀能力和气候的作用;然而自然界河道纵剖面多呈现以裂点为特征的不均衡形态,不均衡的剖面形态以及裂点的研究同样可以对外力作用的变化起到很好的指示作用。位于北祁连的走廊南山高海拔河道纵剖面普遍呈现不均衡形式且发育海拔较高的裂点。通过对裂点成因分析发现,这些裂点并不主要受控于岩性、气候、构造等因素,而反映了冰川作用遗留地形与河流地形的分界。这一结果说明在对河道纵剖面高海拔裂点进行分析时要考虑到古冰川遗留地形也会对现代河道纵剖面产生重要影响,为进一步认识和理解造山带地貌演化以及控制因素提供了思路。     

石羊河流域水质环境遥感监测评价研究

利用遥感技术对流域水质环境的监测评价,可实现全流域水质的同步监测,其监测结果具有可比性。以石羊河流域为实验区,研究了一种基于遥感技术的河流水质环境监测与评价方法,该方法克服了传统监测方法的局限性,完善了表面水质遥感信息获取的基础方法研究体系。     

Stochastic Modelling of the Impact of Flood Protection Measures Along the River Waal in the Netherlands

River flooding is a problem of international interest. In the past few years many countries suffered from severe floods. A large part of the Netherlands is below sea level and river levels. The Dutch flood defences along the river Rhine are designed for water levels with a probability of exceedance of 1/1250 per year. These water levels are computed with a hydrodynamic model using a deterministic bed level and a deterministic design discharge. Traditionally, the safety against flooding in the Netherlands is obtained by building and reinforcing dikes. Recently, a new policy was proposed to cope with increasing design discharges in the Rhine and Meuse rivers. This policy is known as the Room for the River (RfR) policy, in which a reduction of flood levels is achieved by measures creating space for the river, such as dike replacement, side channels and floodplain lowering. As compared with dike reinforcement, these measures may have a stronger impact on flow and sediment transport fields, probably leading to stronger morphological effects. As a result of the latter the flood conveyance capacity may decrease over time. An a priori judgement of safety against flooding on the basis of an increased conveyance capacity of the river can be quite misleading. Therefore, the determination of design water levels using a fixed-bed hydrodynamic model may not be justified and the use of a mobile-bed approach may be more appropriate. This problem is addressed in this paper, using a case study of the river Waal (one of the Rhine branches in the Netherlands). The morphological response of the river Waal to a flood protection measure (floodplain lowering in combination with summer levee removal) is analysed. The effect of this measure is subject to various sources of uncertainty. Monte Carlo simulations are applied to calculate the impact of uncertainties in the river discharge on the bed levels. The impact of the “uncertain” morphological response on design flood level predictions is analysed for three phenomena, viz. the impact of the spatial morphological variation over years, the impact of the seasonal morphological variation and the impact of the morphological variability around bifurcation points. The impact of seasonal morphological variations turns out to be negligible, but the other two phenomena appear to have each an appreciable impact (order of magnitude 0.05–0.1 m) on the computed design water levels. We have to note however, that other sources of uncertainty (e.g. uncertainty in hydraulic roughness predictor), which may be of influence, are not taken into consideration. In fact, the present investigation is limited to the sensitivity of the design water levels to uncertainties in the predicted bed level.     

Size Fractionation (Dissolved, Colloidal and Particulate) of Trace Metals in the Thur River, Switzerland

The distribution of some trace metals (Cu, Zn, Ni, Co,Fe, Mn) and of DOC over a particulate (> 1 m),a colloidal (size < 0.45 m and molecular weight > 10 kD) and an ultrafiltered fraction (< 10 kD)was determined at several sites on the Thur River,Switzerland, at various times of the year. Thecomplexation of Cu by strong ligands in theultrafiltrate and in the conventional filtrate (<0.45 m) was compared using a ligand-exchange/CSV method.The <0.45 m concentrations of Cu (from anaverage of 7 nM to 24 nM), Zn (<5–23 nM), Ni (5–13 nM),Co (1.5–3 nM) and Mn (7–92 nM)increased downstream. The major part of Cu, Zn, Niand Co usually occurred in the ultrafiltratefraction at all sites, whereas Fe and Mn were mostlyin the particulate fraction, under conditions of lowsuspended matter content (< 10 mg L^-1) in theriver. The percentage of metal in the colloidalfraction, with respect to the 0.45-m filtrate,decreased in the order: Cu (median 11%) > Zn Ni(median 5–6%) > Mn Co (median < 5%). DOCalso consisted mostly of molecules in the < 10 kDrange.Cu was strongly complexed by natural organic ligandsin all filtrate and ultrafiltrate samples. A largepart of the strong Cu binding ligands consisted ofcompounds in the < 10 kD range, but colloidalligands with similar properties also occurred. Cu wasdistributed among the dissolved and the colloidalligands, roughly in proportion to organic carbon.The colloidal fraction (as defined here) did notincrease in its proportional amount downstream and wasonly of limited significance in transporting traceelements in the Thur River under low discharge conditions.     

土壤及河流沉积物中Hg、As、Sb的同时测定

Hg、As、Sb是土壤和河流沉积物的常规测定项目。本文采用新型三通道原子荧光分析仪,建立了同时测定土壤和河流沉积物中这三种元素的新方法。通过优化仪器工作条件,选择合适的样品处置方法,得到Hg、As、Sb的检出限分别为0.03mg/kg、0.009mg/kg和0.03mg/kg,精密度分别为3.5%、7.8%和5.5%,准确度分别为95%～103%、91%～107%(加标回收率)和±6.4%。与现有测定方法相比,本方法的样品消化完全,实验简便,分析速度和准确度高,能充分满足分析要求。     

香溪河流域白家堡滑坡变形监测初步分析

白家堡滑坡受三峡大坝蓄水及强降雨影响变形较为明显,且仍在变形过程中.利用GDM600S型全站仪及cx-03D型钻孔测斜仪分别对滑坡地表及滑坡深部位移进行监测.监测结果表明:白家堡滑坡体呈 "D" 型整体运动;滑坡后缘滑动面(带)和中部滑动面(带)分别在地下11 m和28.5 m左右;滑坡整体滑动方向大致为NE 55°,且滑坡变形具有自后缘向前缘递减的趋势.     

金沙江水电工程区(宜宾—白鹤滩段)岸坡变形破坏特征及其与赋存环境的相关性

金沙江向家坝库区长约410 km的沿江地带,共发育349个变形破坏体(滑坡、崩塌和变形体),总体积31.49亿m~3,其中体积大于1 000万m~3的崩滑体有47个。岸坡变形破坏密度D和模数B分别达0.35个/km和316.95万m~3。对岸坡变形破坏体及其所处的环境特征研究表明,变形破坏体与其所在地层岩性、地质构造、地形条件、岩体结构特征及近期河流地质作用等环境因素共同作用密切有关。系统研究变形破坏体及其与这些环境因素的相互关系,有助于剖析岸坡失稳的成因机制,对岸坡失稳的预测、预防和工程治理具有重要的理论和指导意义。     

论珠江三角洲河网的人为影响

文章论述了珠江三角洲河网的发育、演变过程和整治方案。由于人类活动影响,珠江三角洲河网区西、北两江下游放射状河系支汊淤断及消亡,使西、北两江正干均成为单一水道;在两江汇流区内又受绥江三角洲南展而分离开来,只留一条狭窄的小河涌(思贤)连接;由于北江正干的淤积、西江正干刷深,使古代(唐代以前)西江合北江同流向东流入番禺(广州)的形势大变,形成江水反向西流入西江,西江水不能过入广州。由此,西、北两江合成的珠江三角洲主体网河区成为浅水狭窄的小河区,以往主要干流多不复存在,生态环境日益变劣。因此,需要修复河网。关键是把西江大量优质水源(沙少、污染少)引回,过入珠江三角洲网河区,北江水源也需截流使其不再西流入西江;开通北江大堤沿途防西水的闸门(如芦苞、西南、沙口等闸),以便通水通航;在思贤建立新型分水闸,可将西、北两江正干水源恢复到良好生态环境