四种计算地震反应数值方法的比较研究

本文在简要总结了计算单自由度系统地震反应频域方法和时域方法的特点之后,按照统一的递归公式,系统地对计算单自由度体系的四种时域方法即中心差分方法、Newmark方法、Z变换方法、Duhamel逐步积分法进行了对比研究。通过递归系数b1和b2的不变性、传递函数的低频约束条件和相位特性以及数值分析等几个方面说明了上述方法各自的优缺点、相对精度和适用的范围。根据动力平衡方程的算子不变性,研究了上述方法的共性特征,揭示了相对位移、相对速度、相对加速度递归公式的内在联系,这表明只要知道相对位移的递归公式,相对速度、相对加速度的递归公式也就随之确定,在此基础上推荐了一套计算单自由度系统相对位移、相对速度、相对加速度地震反应的递归公式。     

Multi‐variable relations for soil effects on seismic ground motion

Soil effects on peak ground acceleration, velocity and elastic response spectra (5% damping) are expressed by simple approximate relations in terms of five key parameters: (a) the fundamental vibration period of the non‐linear soil, T_S, (b) the period of a bedrock site of equal thickness, T_b, (c) the predominant excitation period, Te, (d) the peak seismic acceleration at outcropping bedrock, a, and (e) the number of significant excitation cycles, n. Furthermore, another relation is proposed for the estimation of T_S in terms of the soil thickness H, the average shear wave velocity of the soil V?_S,o and a. The aforementioned parameters were first identified through a simplified analytical simulation of the site excitation. The multivariable approximate relations were then formulated via a statistical analysis of relevant data from more than 700 one‐dimensional equivalent‐linear seismic ground response analyses, for actual seismic excitations and natural soil conditions. Use of these relations to back‐calculate the numerical results in the database gives an estimate of their error margin, which is found to be relatively small and unbiased. The proposed relations are also independently verified through a detailed comparison with strong motion recordings from seven well‐documented case studies: (a) two sites in the San Fernando valley during the Northridge earthquake, and (b) five different seismic events recorded at the SMART‐1 accelerometer array in Taiwan. It is deduced that the accuracy of the relations is comparable to that of the equivalent‐linear method. Hence, they can be readily used as a quick alternative for routine applications, as well as for spreadsheet computations (e.g. GIS‐aided seismic microzonation studies) where numerical methods are cumbersome to implement. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

西南地区前兆观测异常特征和地震短期预测方法研究

通过对西南地区1970～2001年39组52次6级以上地震及四川部分5级以上地震震例资料的剖析,进一步研究西南地区各类前兆中、短期异常判据和指标;研究西南地区强震孕育前兆异常由中期向短期(临震)过渡、演化的标志和判据并作物理解释;并进行了西南地区前兆短期预测方法及强震短期预测时、空、强指标和判据的研究和西南地区地下流体新观测方法及灵敏测项的研究。     

An evaluation of the role played by remote sensing technology following the World Trade Center attack

Remote sensing technology has been widely recognized for contributing to emergency response efforts after the World Trade Center attack on September 11th, 2001. The need to coordinate activities in the midst of a dense, yet relatively small area, made the combination of imagery and mapped data strategically useful. This paper reviews the role played by aerial photography, satellite imagery, and LIDAR data at Ground Zero. It examines how emergency managers utilized these datasets, and identifies significant problems that were encountered. It goes on to explore additional ways in which imagery could have been used, while presenting recommendations for more effective use in future disasters and Homeland Security applications. To plan adequately for future events, it was important to capture knowledge from individuals who responded to the World Trade Center attack. In recognition, interviews with key emergency management and geographic information system (GIS) personnel provide the basis of this paper. Successful techniques should not be forgotten, or serious problems dismissed. Although widely used after September 11th, it is important to recognize that with better planning, remote sensing and GIS could have played an even greater role. Together with a data acquisition timeline, an expanded discussion of these issues is available in the MCEER/NSF report “Emergency Response in the Wake of the World Trade Center Attack; The Remote Sensing Perspective” (Huyck and Adams, 2002)     

大庆深部致密砂砾岩含气储层产能预测

气层产能预测是气藏工程研究中用于指导气井以及气田合理生产的重要工作和任务,它在气田整体评价和高效开发进程中具有很强的预见性和主动性。讨论了大庆深部致密砂砾岩含气储层的产能与测井响应之间的关系,探讨了根据测井资料应用人工神经网络技术预测含气储层产能的方法。利用已知气井测试结果和测井资料作为网络的训练样本。根据网络学习训练结果,输入储集层的测井资料等静态参数,可预测该储集层的产能。根据这种关系采用神经网络技术实现了测井对产能的预测评价,从而为大庆深部致密砂砾岩含气储层的开发提供了一定的依据。     

岩脉的大地电磁响应的研究

TM极化时,当测点越过界面时视电阻率均发生变化,基底较深时能放大界面附近的异常,当基底较深、频率较高时,高阻一侧相位低于45°,低阻一侧相位高于45°。TE极化时,只有基底为高阻时越过界面时视电阻率才发生变化,当基底为高阻且频率较高时,相位在界面两侧发生变化。通过岩脉时若相位无变化,岩脉是窄的。     

塔河油田奥陶系碳酸盐岩岩溶发育模式的测井分析

构造运动控制着岩溶发育的期次。塔河油田奥陶系主要发育了加里东中期岩溶和海西早期的两期岩溶。加里东中期岩溶保留于本区南部下奥陶统,岩溶较弱,以发育小的溶孔为特征;海西早期的两期岩溶发育于北部下奥陶统,岩溶较强,以大型溶洞、地下暗河为特征。各期岩溶在纵向上可分为三个带：地表岩溶带、垂直渗沈岩溶带和水平潜流岩溶带。利用各岩溶带自然伽玛测井、井径测井、双侧向电阻率、密度测井、中子孔隙度测井、声波副井和地层檄电阻率成傈测井的响应特征,对两口典型井岩溶带进行划分。以“双峰灰岩”为标准,对两口井的岩海带进行横向对比,建立加里东中期和海西早期岩溶空间分布与发育强度的模式。     

GPS揭示的现今地壳运动与地震前兆特征

利用“中国地壳运动观测网络”产出的GPS观测资料,采用球坐标系下非连续变形算法对资源进行计算,以此为基础,对我国大陆地块及其边界带运动与形变进行了分析。对GPS基准站的连续观测序列采用小波变换进行分解变换,分析了部分震例,探讨了从GPS连续观测序列提取地震前兆的方法。初步取得两点认识：（1）7级以上的大地震主要发生在走滑运动量大的活动边界,且与高应变率地块有关,这可以作为地震中长期预测判据;（2）GPS基准站连续观测序列中的低频段,地震前6个月或稍长时段有一定的前兆异常出现,这可以作为地震中短期预测判据。     

辽宁省数字地震前兆观测资料评价及其应用

本文利用多种数学方法对“九五”期间辽宁省地震前兆台网数字化改造后的观测资料进行了分析处理,并对各测项数据进行了质量评价。分析认为,数字观测资料在精度,数据稳定性和可靠性等各方面均达到预报指标要求。     

测汞用光纤传感器的初步研制

利用原子吸收原理初步研制了一种测示用光纤传感器,解决了光纤探头部分的技术难题。与传统的测汞仪器相比,该仪器的最大优点是可动的。中介绍了仪器的工作原理及主要技术性能。实验表明,可以利用光纤传感技术来实现汞测量。