Prediction of Space Weather Using an Asymmetric Cone Model for Halo CMEs

Halo coronal mass ejections (HCMEs) are responsible of the most severe geomagnetic storms. A prediction of their geoeffectiveness and travel time to Earth’s vicinity is crucial to forecast space weather. Unfortunately, coronagraphic observations are subjected to projection effects and do not provide true characteristics of CMEs. Recently, Michalek (Solar Phys. 237, 101, 2006) developed an asymmetric cone model to obtain the space speed, width, and source location of HCMEs. We applied this technique to obtain the parameters of all front-sided HCMEs observed by the SOHO/LASCO experiment during a period from the beginning of 2001 until the end of 2002 (solar cycle 23). These parameters were applied for space weather forecasting. Our study finds that the space speeds are strongly correlated with the travel times of HCMEs to Earth’s vicinity and with the magnitudes related to geomagnetic disturbances.     

边缘耀斑中HeI 10830的加宽计算

讨论了 ＨｅＩ １０８３０Ａ的 Ｄｏｐｐｌｅｒ和 Ｓｔａｒｋ加宽机制以及各种加宽参数的计算，并 得到以下一些结论：辐射阻尼对 ＨｅＩ １０８３０ Ａ的加宽作用与 Ｄｏｐｐｌｅｒ效应相比可以忽略； 在公认的耀斑电子密度（Ｎｅ＝３．２ ×１０１３ｃｍ－３）的情况下，所有阻尼项均不可能产生可以 觉察的加宽；直到 Ｎｅ＝１０１５ｃｍ－３，各种阻尼对线心半宽的增加都不起作用，其值最多 在１０－３的量级，因此；线心都可以看作是Ｄｏｐｐｌｅｒ加宽；当 Ｎｅ＞１０１４ ｃｍ－３时，Ｓｔａｒｋ 加宽，特别是电子碰撞的 Ｓｔａｒｋ加宽将在 ＨｅＩ １０８３０ Ａ的加宽中起主要作用；如要 Ｓｔａｒｋ 加宽谱线的线翼比纯Ｄｏｐｐｌｅｒ加宽大１－２倍，则阻尼加宽半宽与。可以相比拟；如果 用 Ｓｔａｒｋ加宽来解释 １９８９年边缘耀斑的观测轮廓，则电子密度将达１０～（１７）ｃｍ－３，与氦 原子的碰撞阻尼（γ３）造成的加宽对Ｉ１２和Ｉ３两分量明显不同，它们对Ｉ１２的影响比对Ｉ３ 的影响大近一个量级，我们的观测显示Ｉ１２和Ｉ３线翼的延伸基本一样，因而我们的观测 轮廓不可能是γ３造成的     

On the acceleration of solar-flare charged particles in a collapsing magnetic trap with an electric potential

We consider the kinetic problem of charged-particle acceleration in a magnetic trap with converging magnetic mirrors. We show that for a positive electrostatic potential of the trap plasma relative to the mirrors, the efficiency of confinement and acceleration increases for electrons and decreases for ions.     

中国古代常规日食记录的整理分析

收集并分析了公元前8世纪到公元15世纪的中国古代密集、简略而公式化的日食记录。基于这些记录整理成一个包括938条日食记录的计算机可读形式的“常规日食记录表”。该表给出每次记录的原日期、公历日期、当时首都、所属朝代以及一部分记录所载的进一步详情。对该表的构成作了介绍,并对这些历史记录进行了初步的分析和归纳。     

虚拟太阳天文台及其发展

伴随着太阳物理研究的深入、观测仪器的发展、观测数据的积累,促使人们去思考这样一个问题:如何使研究者能够方便地检索、分析和使用在不同时间、不同地点、不同波段上观测得到的大量与太阳有关的数据,从而能探索更多悬而未决的科学谜题。这就是虚拟太阳天文台(VSO)项目被提出后得到有关天文台、研究所和大学积极响应并迅速投入运作的原因所在。介绍了虚拟太阳天文台的由来、作用、采用的技术和发展状况等。     

Location and parameters of a microwave millisecond spike event

A typical microwave millisecond spike event on November 2, 1997 was observed by the radio spectrograph of National Astronomical Observatories (NAOs) at 2.6–3.8 GHz with high time and frequency resolution. This event was also recorded by Nobeyama Radio Polarimeters (NoRP) at 1–35 GHz and Radio Heliograph (NoRH) at 17 GHz. The source at 17 GHz is located in one foot-point of a small bright coronal loop of YOHKOH SXT and SOHO EIT images with strong photospheric magnetic field in SOHO MDI magnetograph. It is assumed that the electron cyclotron maser instability and gyro-resonance absorption dominate, respectively, the rising and decay phase of the spike event. For different harmonic number of gyro-frequency or magnetic field strength, a fitting program with free plasma parameters is used to minimize the difference between the observational and theoretical values of the exponential growth and decay rates for a given spike. The plasma parameters at third harmonic number are more comparable to their typical values in solar corona. Hence, it is able to provide a diagnosis for the source parameters (magnetic field, density, and temperature), the properties of radiations (wave vector and propagation angle), and the properties of non-thermal electrons (density, pitch angle, and energy). The results are also comparable with the diagnosis of the gyro-synchrotron radiation model, the frequency drift rates and a dipole magnetic field model, as well as the YOHKOH SXT and SOHO MDI data. This study is supported by the NFSC project nos. 10333030 and 10273025, and “973” program with no. G2000078403.     

Physics in Next Geoneutrino Detectors

The KamLAND liquid scintillator detector demonstrated the detection of antineutrinos produced by natural radioactivities in the Earth, so-called geoneutrinos. Although this first result of geoneutrinos is consistent with current geophysical models, more accurate measurements are essential to provide a new window for exploring the inside of the Earth. In this article I would like to discuss the future prospects of KamLAND geoneutrino detection, and the possibility of directional measurement of incoming geoneutrinos. It is interesting to consider the application of geoneutrino detectors to measurements of other neutrino signals. The possibility of detecting the solar 7Be, pep and CNO neutrinos is discussed. A new type detector concept is proposed not only to explore the precise measurement of reactor neutrino oscillations but also to enable us to realize the neutrino tomography inside the Earth.     

Strategy for Applying Neutrino Geophysics to the Earth Sciences Including Planetary Habitability

Antineutrino data constrain the concentrations of the heat producing elements U and Th as well as potentially the concentration of K. Interpretation is similar to but not homologous with gravity. Current geoneutrino physics efficiently asks simple questions taking advantage of what is already known about the Earth. A few measurements with some sites in the ocean basins will constrain the concentration of U and Th in the crust and mantle and whether the mantle is laterally heterogeneous. These results will allow Earth science arguments about the formation, chemistry, and dynamics of the Earth to be turned around and appraised. In particular, they will tell whether the Earth accreted its expected share of these elements from the solar nebula and how long radioactive heat will sustain active geological processes on the Earth. Both aspects are essential to evaluating the Earth as a common or rare habitable planet.     

研究太阳分离活动体光谱不对称轮廓的“多云模型”方法和应用

本文提出了处理分离的太阳活动体光谱不对称轮廓的一种方法──“多云模型”方法。在某些假设和一定的近似条件下利用本文提出的方法可同时得到太阳多个分离活动体的视向速度Ｖ，多普勒线宽△λ_Ｄ和线心光学深度τ_０，源函数Ｓ的近似值。文章给出了该方法的几个应用实例并进行了讨论。研究表明，计算所得的Ｖ和△λ_Ｄ的值是较为可靠的，二云模型是处理由两个分离活动体沿视线重叠而产生的不对称轮廓较为有效的方法。     

Long-periodic and secular perturbations to the orbits of Explorer 19 and Lageos due to direct solar radiation pressure

A theory for the long-term variations in the orbit of a spherically symmetric satellite due to direct solar radiation pressure is tested using two satellite orbit analyses. The first of these analyses is in terms of mean elements for the balloon satellite Explorer 19. The results are compared with the expected theoretical variations with short-period terms omitted. The second analysis utilises satellite laser ranging observations of the geodetic satellite, Lageos. A novel long-term analysis technique is developed primarily for laser ranging studies. The technique is tested along with the solar radiation pressure perturbation theory by comparing the results from the theory and the analysis.