基于非线性动力学模型的旅游生态容量分析

近年来,大量增加的游客给景区的旅游生态容量带来了较大的压力,矛盾日渐突出。为了实现景区的环境保护与可持续发展,研究游客活动量与景区旅游生态容量之间的关系是十分必要的。本文从非线性动力学观点出发,构建二者非线性动力学模型,并进行平衡态分析。研究结果表明:(1)系统要达到可持续发展,必须建立在景区环境的自我更新能力及人工恢复程度之和大于外界污染水平,且游客的增长率必须保持在较低水平的基础上;(2)景区旅游生态容量的承载力是有限的,所能容纳的游客也是有限的,超过一定的限度就会引起生态系统失衡。采取严格控制游客量,加强对景区内外环境的保护和改善、提升游客素养等措施,对于系统的协调发展至关重要。     

皱纹盘鲍野生与养殖群体微卫星标记遗传变异研究

采用7个微卫星标记对辽宁大连、山东烟台、荣城、崂山和胶南5个皱纹盘鲍养殖群体,以及山东长岛、荣城、日本岩手、韩国仁川4个皱纹盘鲍野生群体进行了群体遗传多样性与遗传分化的研究.结果表明,从等位基因数与杂合度上分析,养殖群体(N=8.0～9.4,He=0.754～0.787)遗传多样性显著低于野生群体(N=11.3～15.0,He=0.821～0.866);等位基因频率分布揭示出野生群体中一些稀有等位基因在养殖群体中有所丢失;亲鲍选用数量少与性别比例不均衡可能是产生养殖群体中遗传多样性显著减少的原因.通过对等位基因频率比较分析,5个养殖群体之间以及养殖群体与野生群体之间观察到显著差异的Fst与Rst值,野生群体之间日本群体Fst与Rst值与其他3个野生群体差异显著,群体间存在遗传分化;养殖群体间遗传距离与地理距离不相关,可能是皱纹盘鲍育苗过程中亲鲍和苗种频繁交流所造成的结果;日本群体与其他3个野生群体间存在显著遗传分化与皱纹盘鲍短暂的浮游期与有限的扩散能力有关.     

Rossby waves with linear topography in barotropic fluids

Rossby waves are the most important waves in the atmosphere and ocean, and are parts of a large-scale system in fluid. The theory and observation show that, they satisfy quasi-geostrophic and quasi-static equilibrium approximations. In this paper, solitary Rossby waves induced by linear topography in barotropic fluids with a shear flow are studied. In order to simplify the problem, the topography is taken as a linear function of latitude variable y, then employing a weakly nonlinear method and a perturbation method, a KdV （Korteweg-de Vries） equation describing evolution of the amplitude of solitary Rossby waves induced by linear topography is derived. The results show that the variation of linear topography can induce the solitary Rossby waves in barotropic fluids with a shear flow, and extend the classical geophysical theory of fluid dynamics.     

一种基于BP网的非线性变换信号模式识别算法

为了获取常用超短波信号的特征参数,采取一种非线性变换的方法。根据信号参数的分布信息,对信号特征不够明显的参数进行二次变换,使所有信号的特征参数都具有较好的区分度,并利用BP网对这些特征参数进行识别。大量的仿真实验表明,该方法参数提取容易,计算量较小,在较低信噪比下能够较好地识别常用的超短波信号。识别的信号为2FSK、MSK、QAM、DPSK和FM。     

基于客观识别的冬季南支槽强度年际变化及其与南方降水的关联性

利用欧洲中心ERA Interim逐日再分析资料,基于南支槽客观识别方法定义了一个南支槽强度指数,并结合格点降水资料,对1980—2019年冬季南支槽强度的年际变化特征及其与中国降水、大气环流和水汽输送的联系进行了研究。结果表明：① 南支槽强度变化主要呈准4年周期。② 赤道中东太平洋海温是影响南支槽年际变化的一个重要因素,与南支槽强度有很强的负相关关系,其中Nino 3区的海温变化对南支槽强度的影响更显著。③ 南支槽偏强年从云南南部到华南一带降水量较常年偏多,其中广东、湖南和江西南部至福建一带降水量较常年偏多30 mm以上;南支槽偏弱年西南至华南一带降水较常年偏少,其中广东、广西东部降水量较常年偏少30 mm以上。④ 南支槽偏强年时存在两支异常水汽输送路径,一支为从赤道以北至10°N,从60°E延伸至菲律宾附近的异常强西风水汽输送带;另一支位于20°N附近,由南支槽的槽前西南气流将孟加拉湾地区水汽输送到我国境内,是冬季西南与华南的主要水汽通道。     

南沙群岛海域混合层深度季节变化特征

基于南沙群岛海域综合科学考察11个航次的实测资料,研究了南沙群岛海域的混合层深度季节变化特征。研究结果表明,南沙群岛海域混合层深度存在明显的季节变化,并且与季风和海表热通量的变化密切相关。春季,风速较小且风向不稳定,海面得到的净热通量全年最大,上层水体层结稳定,混合层深度较小;夏季,南海西南季风盛行,上层为反气旋式环流,海面得到的净热通量减少,混合层呈加深的趋势;秋季,海面净热通量继续减少,混合层深度达到最大值;冬季,东北季风驱动下形成的上层气旋式环流引起深层冷水的上升,限制了混合层的加深。     

人工繁育大黄鱼(Pseudosciaena crocea)群体F2及F3遗传差异分析

利用15对微卫星标记对人工繁育的岱衢族(DQ1和DQ2)、闽-粤东族(MY1和MY2)及正交(DM1和DM2)和反交(MD和MD21)F2及F3连续两代共8个群体的250个样品进行了遗传多样性及遗传差异检测.15个位点在所有检测群体中均为高度多态,共检测等位基因215个.每个位点的平均等位基因数是8.1-11.7,平均观察和期望杂合度分别是0.598-0.790和0.732-0.794.F2和F3代内的等位基因频率无明显差异(P>0.05),而两代间在15个位点的等位基因频率上存在约34.13%的遗传差异;Fst值检测发现,F2的4个群体间的Fst值是0.028-0.067,平均0.0429,F3的Fst值是0.037-0.068,平均0.0535.经过一代繁殖,F2和F3之间的遗传分歧平均增加了1%(0.0106);群体间的N-J聚类图显示,8个群体虽然聚成一族,但是F2和F3之间的遗传距离有增大的趋势.以上结果表明,随着人工选育力度的加强,岱衢族和闽-粤东族大黄鱼群体间的遗传距离由近及远,遗传分歧有加大的趋势.     

2000-2008年期间南海海面温度的年际与空间变异

通过对2000-2008年更高空间分辨率的南海海面温度(SST)的卫星遥感数据进行经验正交函数(EOF)分析,着重研究21世纪以来整个南海海域SST年际变化的时空变异,并探讨了其与南海海面风场和海面高度的关系,以及期间南海发生的两次负异常事件的特点和成因.SST年际变化的第一模态表现为全海盆同相变化,年际振荡主要发生在...     

Arctic sea-ice motion and its relation to pressure field

Daily Arctic sea-ice motion maps during the winter seasons (December–March) from December 1988 to March 2003 derived from NSCAT, QuikSCAT, SSM/I, and AMSRE data by a wavelet analysis method have been merged with those derived from buoy data. These merged sea-ice motion data have been used to study the circulation regimes and winter-to-winter variability of Arctic sea-ice motion. The relation between sea-ice motion and the pressure field in the Arctic Ocean was also studied by applying Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to the monthly merged sea-ice motion data and the monthly pressure field data from IABP. The mean Arctic sea-ice motion map of the 15 winter seasons has two distinct features: the Beaufort Gyre and a cyclonic circulation system in the Eurasian Basin, which moves ice from the Laptev Sea to Fram Strait. The strengths and sizes of the two features change from one winter season to another. Seasons with a strong or normal Beaufort Gyre alternate with seasons with a weak or no Beaufort Gyre every one to three seasons. The principal components of the first two modes of PCA of the monthly sea-ice motion are closely correlated with their counterparts of the monthly pressure field in the Arctic Ocean. The mode-one components of these two anomalies alternate between anticyclonic and cyclonic circulation systems. The correlation between Arctic Oscillation indexes and the principal components of the first mode of PCA of the monthly Arctic sea-ice motion is low but statistically significant.     

A Modified Form of Mild-Slope Equation with Weakly Nonlinear Effect

Nonlinear effect is of importance to waves propagating from deep water to shallow water.Thenon-linearity of waves is widely discussed due to its high precision in application.But there are still someproblems in dealing with the nonlinear waves in practice.In this paper,a modified form of mild-slope equa-tion with weakly nonlinear effect is derived by use of the nonlinear dispersion relation and the steady mild-slope equation containing energy dissipation.The modified form of mild-slope equation is convenient to solvenonlinear effect of waves.The model is tested against the laboratory measurement for the case of a submergedelliptical shoal on a slope beach given by Berkhoff et al,The present numerical results are also comparedwith those obtained through linear wave theory.Better agreement is obtained as the modified mild-slope e-quation is employed.And the modified mild-slope equation can reasonably simulate the weakly nonlinear ef-fect of wave propagation from deep water to coast.