Shaking table tests on a high‐rise RC building model having torsional eccentricity in soft lower storeys

A series of shaking table tests on a 1:12‐scale model using scaled TaftN21E earthquake records were conducted to investigate the seismic performance of a 17‐storey high‐rise reinforced concrete structure with a high degree of torsional eccentricity and soft‐storey irregularities in the bottom two storeys. Based on the analysis of test results, the following conclusions were drawn: (1) the model responded mainly in the coupled mode of translation and torsion or in the torsional mode. Under severe table shaking, the flexible side underwent large inelastic deformation, and the predominant mode of the model changed from the coupled mode to the torsional mode, resulting in greatly increased torsional stiffness, thereby limiting damage in the flexible frame; (2) the shear force and deformation of the flexible side were governed by the torsional behaviour, whereas those of the stiff side were affected mainly by the overturning deformation. The lateral stiffness of the shear wall in the torsional mode was about four times that in the coupled mode because the warping deformation due to torsion counteracted the flexural deformation due to overturning moment in the torsional mode; and (3) the reversed cyclic overturning moments predicted by linear elastic dynamic analysis in the direction transverse to the table excitations contradicted unilateral overturning moments of the serviceability‐level test results, which showed a bias towards tension or compression in the columns. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

对未来陕西省可能发生的最大地震震级的探讨

以古登堡—李希特的震级—频度关系式(logN=a-bM)为基本公式,导出计算不同震级复发周期及未来一定时间内可能发生的最大地震的震级公式。利用陕西省丰富完整的历史地震资料,对陕西未来地震的最大震级及中长期地震趋势进行了初步探讨。     

小茅山铜铅锌矿陈家桥矿段控矿构造研究

陈家桥矿段矿体受F2构造控制,通过对矿体形态与控矿构造关系的研究,用地质力学方法、建立控矿模型,指出找矿方向。     

中国西北地区的干旱与旱灾——变化趋势与对策

干旱与水资源短缺是西北地区的基本环境特征。西北地区在气候变暖的背景下,区域降水量出现了明显的区域差异:西北西部的新疆地区,20世纪80年代以来降水量增加;西北东部大部分地区降水量持续减少,干旱、连旱趋势增加;黄河流域西北区域降水量减少,干旱化趋势最为显著。在气候干旱化增强的背景下,新疆地区总体上经过70年代的枯水期后,在80年代中期开始较大范围内径流量呈现增加趋势;河西东部、西北东部的黄河流域等地区,70年代以来径流持续减少,大部分河流枯水频率在78%以上,水文干旱化趋势显著。水资源的开发利用、水土保持以及土地利用等人类活动使得西北地区水文干旱进一步加剧。干旱是西北地区最为严重的自然灾害之一,受干旱化气候和水文变化趋势的影响,黄河流域和内陆流域干旱灾害不断加剧,近50a干旱灾害受灾面积急剧扩张,旱灾造成的农业粮食损失不断增加。从创新水资源开发利用途径与管理等角度,提出了提高气候变化的地区适应性和区域水-经济系统旱灾抵御能力的对策与建议。     

Multicollinearity in cross-sectional regressions

The paper examines robustness of results from cross-sectional regression paying attention to the impact of multicollinearity. It is well known that the reliability of estimators (least-squares or maximum-likelihood) gets worse as the linear relationships between the regressors become more acute. We resolve the discussion in a spatial context, looking closely into the behaviour shown, under several unfavourable conditions, by the most outstanding misspecification tests when collinear variables are added to the regression. A Monte Carlo simulation is performed. The conclusions point to the fact that these statistics react in different ways to the problems posed.     

中国华北地区大地震复发周期及迁移特征

以古地震、历史地震和现代地震作为时间域,以华北地区、山西地震带、河北平原地震带和郯庐地震带为单元,分析和研究了华北地区大地震复发周期和迁移特征。在此基础上,讨论了华北地区地震活动的动力学问题、块体框动、地震迁移和地震活动趋势。     

应用灰色理论估计我国未来地震趋势

应用灰色理论ＧＭ（１,１）预测模型估计我国未来的地震趋势。为提高预测精度和反映“最新信息”,在组成原始数列时,对于Ｍ≥７．５级地震,由平静幕、活跃幕采用不同震级阈值联合组成;对于其它级别地震则尽可能采用当前活动期以来的数据。计算结果表明,１９９７￣２０００年期间我国大陆及邻区有发生Ｍ≥７．５级地震的可能,大陆西部可能发生７．０至７．５级以上地震;东部可能发生５．５至６．０级以上地震。同时,估计本活     

库车坳陷同沉积演化的古地磁研究

运用古地磁学方法研究了库车坳陷第三系同沉积褶皱,同褶皱检验发现上新统和渐新统原生剩磁主要是同沉积剩磁,说明该区上新世和渐新世表现出较强的构造活动性;因而,对推断控制库车坳陷油气分布的构造格架和相关的构造形迹有十分重要的地质意义。     

划分重力区域异常与局部异常的变阶滑动趋势分析法

本文在分析一般趋势分析缺陷的基础上,提出了变阶滑动趋势分析法,并用正交变换代替趋势分析中的解线性方程组,避免了线性方程组病态而造成的异常失真。最后用理论模型和实际资料处理结果说明了变阶滑动趋势分析的优点。