PDCA循环法用于专业硕士产教融合培养模式研究

为满足新时代对卓越工程技术人才的需求,本文在分析专业硕士培养现状基础上,从人才培养方案入手,提出了PDCA理念用于产教深度融合培养模式,讨论了产教深度融合培养的目标制定、计划落实、课程体系开发、导师团队优化及实践基地的质量保障建设等方面的模式与对策,论述了专业硕士研究生培养的质量监控体系,总结出教育教学各环节的计划、执...     

全站仪交汇法在高速公路路面沉降监测中的应用

文章介绍了全站仪交会法沉降监测,方便简洁地解决了测量人员不能进入的高速公路等特殊位置的测量问题,并通过对该方法的精度分析,论证了其可行性和有效性,对以后类似的测量工作提供经验和依据。     

保定—沧州地区土壤地球化学公里网格样方代表性研究

土壤中的元素在空间上的分布具有一定变异性。在开展土壤地质环境调查监测时,有必要进行单点采样的科学性分析。对于在1 km2的区域内,如何实现科学、有效和合理地采样来获得区域内土壤元素含量的空间分布特征是一个需要解决的课题。本文在保定—沧州平原地区,选择36个县市,在每个县市的大片农田区以十字形方式采集9个单点样,通过不同的样品组合方式,来研究其结果之间的差别。结果显示:不同的混合方式,元素浓度含量的相对偏差大部分小于15%,在可接受的误差范围内。因此在1 km2区域的中心采集一个单点样,即可基本代表该区域内土壤元素的含量组成。     

福建旱涝短期气候预测统计方法试验研究

利用最优子集、神经网络、EOF—CCA和均生函数4种常用统计方法,对福建春季、前汛期、后汛期和秋冬季进行年度、季度旱涝的短期气候预测试验,采用统一的评分标准评定。结果表明：最优子集、神经网络模型具有较好的预测能力,EOF-CCA模型有一定的预测能力,均生函数模型相对较差。     

河北省冬麦区土壤水分监测预测系统及其应用

河北省冬小麦生育阶段正值少雨时期,一般年份只有在灌溉的情况下才能满足小麦生长发育的需求,麦区土壤水分实时监测预测对于灌溉决策十分重要。在冬小麦单站多层次土壤水分动态模型(VSMB模型)的基础上,根据河北省麦区从南到北冬小麦发育期和土壤类型的不同进行参数调整和修正,并对数据库进行设计,形成河北省整个冬麦区麦田土壤水分监测预测系统(RSM-MFS)。文中介绍了该系统的基本原理和功能,并对实际应用进行了效果分析。从近年在河北省冬麦区土壤水分的监测预测结果来看,监测相对误差在10%左右,风险预测相对误差在20%左右。     

A laboratory experiment to monitor the contact state of a fault by transmission waves

We performed a series of laboratory experiments in which elastic waves were transmitted across a simulated fault. Two types of experiments were carried out: (1) Normal Stress Holding Test (NSHT): normal stress was kept constant for about 3 h without shear stress and transmission waves were observed. (2) Shear Stress Increasing Test (SSIT): shear stress was gradually increased until a stick-slip event occurred. Transmission waves were continuously observed throughout the process of stress accumulation. We focused on the change in transmission waves during the application of shear stress and especially during precursory slips.It was found in NSHT that the amplitude of transmission waves linearly increased with the logarithm of stationary contact time. The increase amounted to a few percent after about 3 h. Creep at asperity contacts is responsible for this phenomenon. From a theoretical consideration, it was concluded that the real contact area increased with the logarithm of stationary contact time.We observed in SSIT a significant increase in wave amplitude with shear stress application. This phenomenon cannot be attributed to the time effect observed in NSHT. Instead, it can be explained by the mechanism of “junction growth” proposed by Tabor. Junction growth yields an increase in real contact area. It is required for junction growth to occur that the material in contact is already plastic under a purely normal loading condition. A computer simulation confirmed that this requirement was satisfied in our experiments. We also found that the rate at which the amplitude increased was slightly reduced prior to a stick-slip event. The onset time of the reduction well coincides with the onset of precursory slip. The cause of the reduction is attributed to the reset of stationary contact time due to displacement. This interpretation is supported by the result of NSHT. Taking the time of stationary contact in SSIT into account, we may expect the change in wave amplitude to be, at most, only a few percent. The observed slight reduction in increasing rate is, in this sense, reasonable. The static stiffness of the fault also decreases with precursory slip. It was also found that low frequency waves are a better indicator of precursory slip than high frequency waves. This might suggest that low frequency waves with longer wavelength are a better indicator of average behavior of faults. The problem, however, merits a further investigation. The shifts in phase were also found to be a good indicator of the change in contact state of the fault. The changes in both amplitude and phase of transmission waves are unifyingly understood through the theory of transmission coefficient presented by Pyrak-Nolte et al. Rough surfaces have a tendency to give larger stick-slips than smooth surfaces. The amount of precursory slip is larger for rough surfaces than for smooth surfaces. Although it was confirmed by a computer simulation that rough surfaces have larger contact diameters than smooth surfaces, the rigorous relationship between the surface roughness (contact diameter) and the amount of precursory slips was not established.     

多时相组合分类法在土地利用动态监测中的应用

介绍了土地利用遥感动态监测的基本概念，简述了遥感土地利用变化信息提取等遥感监测方法．重点探讨了多时相组合分类方法的相关技术。对广西2002年和2003年两个时相的MODIS数据．采用多时相直接分类法对土地利用变化状况进行了遥感动态监测。对不同方式波段组合的试验表明。经过差值、比值处理的波段组合具有较差的试验效果(总体精度只有30％～40％)，而经过PCA变换的波段组合则具有相对较好的试验效果(总体精度超过70％)。     

宽频带地震台网在滑坡地质灾害监测预报中的应用

在千将坪滑坡前地震动事件分析基础上,总结滑坡前滑坡体内部岩体形变和破裂所产生地震信号的典型特征,并建立宽频带地震台,对金坪子滑坡体和早谷田危岩体进行监测实验,提取基岩类、土质类和危岩体类3种基本物质组成滑坡的微振动前兆信息特征,为地震台网在滑坡监测预报中的应用推广和监测预报系统软件的研制奠定基础.根据测震学原理,研发滑坡监测分析系统软件（Smas）,可为滑坡大规模活动前快速预警.     

宁夏及青海地震活动性统计指标及未来地震趋势的综合概率预报

本文叙述了地震活动的综合概率预报方法，并对宁夏及青海地区（３５°００’－４１°００’Ｎ，１００°００’－１０７°４０’Ｅ）１９７０年以来的地震活动资料进行了统计计算，对１９９２年－１９９３年该区地震活动进行了综合预报效能检验。并据此对该区１９９４年－１９９５年的地震趋势做了估计。     

GNSS 监测数据预处理在变形预测中的应用

GNSS监测技术被广泛应用于变形监测工作中,但GNSS监测数据中会有缺失值、噪声等误差的存在,对预测结果造成影响。引入改进的小波神经网络模型进行变形预测,并考虑该模型的自适应性和容错性,分别采用三次样条插值法、小波滤波法和拉依达准则对原始监测数据进行缺失值填补、去噪和粗差剔除等预处理。并利用实际监测数据进行短期预报分析,对比原始监测数据和预处理后的监测数据的预测结果,结果表明预处理后的监测数据的预测效果更好。