2010年墨西哥Baja MW7.2地震与中国玉树MW6.9地震强地震动特征的对比研究

2010年4月4日墨西哥Baja地区发生MW7.2地震,2人遇难; 同年4月14日中国青海省南部玉树地区发生MW6.9地震,截至2010年4月25日,已造成2 220人遇难．有报道指出,玉树地震矩震级小于Baja地震,人员伤亡却远大于后者,主要原因在于玉树地区抗震设防标准低、建筑物抗震性能差．地震造成破坏程度的大小并非仅仅取决于矩震级的大小,而同时与其释放的地震波辐射能及发震后造成的强地面运动的大小有关. 玉树地震释放的地震波辐射能约相当于Baja地震的10倍,目前玉树地震尚无实测的强震记录．针对玉树地震和Baja地震建立动态复合震源模型,分别模拟基岩上及浅层速度结构（V30,地下30 m平均剪切波速）下近断层区域的强地面运动．结果表明,基岩上及V30下玉树地震近断层区域强地面运动整体约相当于Baja地震的2倍．因此,玉树地震造成发震区域内建筑物损毁程度及人员伤亡情况均严重于Baja地震,重要原因之一在于其地震波辐射能大,且强地面运动较强．本文中所应用的动态复合震源模型,在地震矩守恒和地震波辐射能守恒的条件约束下,可以作为地震发生后补充强地面运动数据的有效手段之一。     

Inversion of long-period body-wave data for the source process of the Gonghe, Qinghai, China earthquake

Long period body waves data recorded by the China Digital Seismograph Network (CDSN) are inverted for the seismic moment tensors of the April 26, 1990, Gonghe, QinghaiM _S=6.9 earthquake and itsM _S=5.0 after-shock occurred on May 7, 1990. In the inversion, the generalized reflection-transmission coefficient matrix method is used to generate Green’s function. From the inversion it is obtained that the rupture process of theM _S=5.0 aftershock is relatively simple, and that of the main shock is rather complex. There are at least two events during main shock rupture process with an interval about 35 seconds. The focal mechanisms of two events are roughly the same as that of the aftershock, all of them were mainly reverse dip-slipping faulting with minor left-lateral strike-slip motion. These results indicate that the Gonghe earthquake was the result of the farther extension of one NWW-SEE striking buried fault on the southern margin of Gonghe basin from shallower depth to deeper depth and from NW to SE under the action of a nearly horizontal NE direction compressive stress. Contribution No. 95A0111, Institute of Geophysics, SSB, China.     

估算雨滴谱Γ分布三参数的阶矩法研究

利用2014年8月4—23日山西忻州OTT-Parsivel二代激光雨滴谱仪获得的雨滴谱资料,研究了估算雨滴谱T分布三参数的阶矩法。把降水云分为层状云、积状云、积层混合云三种,采用最小二乘法和阶矩法估算雨滴谱,并在现有阶矩法的研究上,提出一种新矩量组合M036与其他矩量一起分1 min、5 min平均和5 mm滑动平均估算雨滴谱样本的均方根误差和误差谱分布,并进行比较,同时研究了不同降水云雨滴谱三参数随雨强R的变化关系。结果表明:阶矩法估算T分布雨滴谱,M036矩量组合代表雨滴数浓度、液态水含量和雷达反射率因子,三个物理量计算方便,物理意义清晰,实际应用中如能通过探测手段获得三个矩量,就能反演得到云中雨滴谱。阶矩法中M036估算最好;估算三种不同时间雨滴谱样本的均方根误差平均值,M036误差最小;分析三种不同时间雨滴谱样本的均方根误差谱分布,M036谱宽最窄,误差集中;估算三种降水云雨滴谱三参数随雨强R的增大而减少;拟合雨滴谱T分布三参数N_0、μ、λ满足二项式分布且相关系数较好。     

Framework of aftershock fragility assessment–case studies: older California reinforced concrete building frames

Current seismic design codes and damage estimation tools neglect the influence of successive events on structures. However, recent earthquakes have demonstrated that structures damaged during an initial event (mainshock) are more vulnerable to severe damage and collapse during a subsequent event (aftershock). This increased vulnerability to damage translates to increased likelihood of loss of use, property, and life. Thus, a reliable risk assessment tool is required that characterizes the risk of the undamaged structure subjected to an initial event and the risk of the damaged structure under subsequent events. In this paper, a framework for development of aftershock fragilities is presented; these aftershock fragilities define the likelihood that a building damaged during a mainshock will exhibit a given damage state following one or more aftershocks. Thus, the framework provides a method for characterizing the risk associated with damage accumulation in the structure. The framework includes the following: (i) creation of a numerical model of the structure; (ii) characterization of building damage states; (iii) generation of a suite of mainshock–aftershocks; (iv) mainshock–aftershock analyses; and (v) development of aftershock fragility curves using probabilistic aftershock demand models, defined as a linear regression of aftershock demand–intensity pairs in a logarithmic space, and damage‐state prediction models. The framework is not limited to a specific structure type but requires numerical models defining structural response and linking structural response with damage. In the current study, non‐ductile RC frames (low‐rise, mid‐rise, and high‐rise) are selected as case studies for the application of the framework. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

胶东半岛地区震源波谱参数研究

利用山东数字地震台网记录到的胶东半岛及附近地区2010年以来的地震波形资料,采用Brune模型,并结合遗传算法反演了本区134次2.0级以上地震的震源波谱参数.结果表明胶东半岛地区中小地震的地震矩在9.76×1011～5.9×1014N·M之间;应力降范围在0.017～25MPa之间,均值是0.97MPa;视应力范围在0.06～10.2MPa,平均应力水平在0.396MPa.地震矩、应力降和视应力都与震级呈正相关关系,拐角频率与震级的关系不是很明显;地震矩和拐角频率成负相关关系.根据本区震源参数和震级的定量统计关系,去除震级影响,通过应力降和视应力随时间的变化得到目前正处于应力的释放时期.     

三阶非线性海浪波面斜率的联合概率统计分布

从Longuet-Higgins于1963年建立的非线性随机海浪模型出发,对各向同性波面斜率的联台概率统计分布进行了理论研究.结果表明,在三阶近似下,波面斜率联合概率统计分有为截断的Gram-Charlier级数,截断的项数取决于非线性近似的阶数,每一阶近似均对前一阶近似结果有所修正如果不考虑非线性耦合相互作用的影响,则分布蜕化为高斯分布.     

2011年Ms4.6瑞昌-阳新地震的震源机制及发震构造探讨

2011年Ms4.6瑞昌-阳新地震是瑞昌地区继2005年M5.7地震后的又一中等强度地震,文中从多角度对此次地震的发震构造进行了探讨.利用双差定位法进行的地震精定位结果显示,主震发生在NE向断裂的西南端,余震的分布则呈现出沿NNE和NW两个方向展布的特征.野外考察发现,等震线长轴方向为NE,沿此方向烈度衰减较慢.考虑震源时间函数的影响,采用波形反演方法得到了此次地震的震源机制解.节面Ⅰ走向302.2°,倾角68.2°,滑动角-3.8°;节面Ⅱ走向33.6°,倾角86.5°,滑动角-158.1°.综合分析认为,NNE向郯庐断裂的南端隐伏段(瑞昌-武穴断裂)为此次地震的发震构造,而与NW向断裂的共轭作用造成了部分余震沿着NW向分布的特征.     

华北地区大地震矩释放率和GPS应变率的一致性研究

GPS测量技术可以在较大地区范围内获得高精度地壳形变速率。稳定的应变速率提供了精确确定地震活动率的机会。本文运用Kostrov(1974)的公式将经平滑的华北地区应变速率转化为矩释放率，并与运用1303年洪洞地震以来的地震目录计算的矩释放率进行比较，发现两者之比南北向为60．6％，东西向为68．9％，北东剪切分量为104．1％。近似为1的比率表明了GPS测量结果的可靠性。这个结果对结合历史地震及大地形变测量估计矩释放进行地震危险性评估具有一定参考意义。     

Moment tensor inversion and source rupture process of the September 27, 2003 M S=7.9 earthquake occurred in the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia

We conducted moment tensor inversion and studied source rupture process for M _S=7.9 earthquake occurred in the border area of China, Russia and Mongolia on September 27 2003, by using digital teleseismic P-wave seismograms recorded by long-period seismograph stations of the global seismic network. Considering the aftershock distribution and the tectonic settings around the epicentral area, we propose that the M _S=7.9 earthquake occurred on a fault plane with the strike of 127°, the dip of 79° and the rake of 171°. The rupture process inversion result of M _S=7.9 earthquake shows that the total rupture duration is about 37 s, the scalar moment tensor is M ₀=0.97×10²⁰ N·m. Rupture mainly occurred on the shallow area with 110 km long and 30 km wide, the location in which the rupture initiated is not where the main rupture took place, and the area with slip greater than 0.5 m basically lies within 35 km deep middle-crust under the earth surface. The maximum static slip is 3.6 m. There are two distinct areas with slip larger than 2.0 m. We noticed that when the rupture propagated towards northwest and closed to the area around the M _S=7.3 hypocenter, the slip decreased rapidly, which may indicate that the rupture process was stopped by barriers. The consistence of spatial distribution of slip on the fault plane with the distribution of aftershocks also supports that the rupture is a heterogeneous process owing to the presence of barriers.