贵州省兴仁县近50年气候特征及其变迁分析

局地气候资料的整理分析,是对更大范围内某一地区的气候研究提供参考的依据之一。贵州省兴仁是国家基准气候站,观测资料较长,对贵州西南片区有较好的代表性。通过对兴仁50年完整的气象资料整理分析,得出该地温度、降水、风、相对湿度、云量、雾日、光照等气象要素的基本特征,并以此特征作出该地的气候类型评定;同时根据该地近50年冷暖趋势、干湿趋势的变化,分析总结出其近代的气候变迁。     

珠三角地区地震前兆场特征及近期地震危险性分析

应用时空域层次分析新思路及我国地震科技攻关成果对珠江三角洲地区的地震前兆资料进行了数据处理和综合分析,对该区的地震前兆场特征作了较全面系统的研究,并对目前存在的区域前兆异常场进行特征分析。研究认为,区内现有的前兆监测方法在中强地震发生前呈现出与正常动态变化相异的中期或中短期前兆异常反映,并具有相对丛集的总体特征。前兆异常场由东莞虎门重力、广州水化学等构成。最后对珠江三角洲地区近期的地震危险性进行了     

随机介质理论在深基坑稳定性分析中的应用

使用矿业工程中广为应用的随机介质理论和方法,计算深基坑开挖引起的地表及土体变形,并据此探讨深基坑边坡的稳定性。     

张北6.2级地震发生在小震条带上

分析晋、冀、蒙交界地区的地震分布格局,发现张北地震前存在小地震条带。条带由２０余年持续发生的小震组成,与华北地壳应力场最大剪切应力方向相同,是燕山－渤海地震构造带的西延段落。６．２级强震发生在条的东端。文中讨论了张北地震地点预测失误的原因,提出采用地震学和地震地质学交叉,融合的思路,分析观今小地震活动图象、震源机制资料,从构造学,运动学,动力学角度,研究地壳深部地震构造的方法。     

The impact of cooling flows on the TX–LBol relation for the most luminous clusters

We examine the effects of cooling flows on the T _X– L _Bol relation for a sample of the most X-ray luminous ( L _Bol > 10⁴⁵ erg s⁻¹) clusters of galaxies known. Using high-quality ASCA X-ray spectra and ROSAT images we explicitly account for the effects of cooling flows on the X-ray properties of the clusters and show that this reduces the previously noted dispersion in the T _X– L _Bol relationship. More importantly, the slope of the relationship is flattened from L _Bol ∝  T ³_X to approximately L _Bol ∝  T ²_X, in agreement with recent theoretical models which include the effects of shocks and pre-heating on the X-ray gas. We find no evidence for evolution in the T _X– L _Bol relation within z  ∼ 0.3. Our results demonstrate that the effects of cooling flows must be accounted for before cosmological parameters can be determined from X-ray observations of clusters. The results presented here should provide a reliable basis for modelling the T _X– L _Bol relation at high X-ray luminosities.     

The relationship between cooling flows and metallicity measurements for X-ray-luminous clusters

We explore the relationship between the metallicity of the intracluster gas in clusters of galaxies, determined by X-ray spectroscopy, and the presence of cooling flows. Using ASCA spectra and ROSAT images, we demonstrate a clear segregation between the metallicities of clusters with and without cooling flows. On average, cooling-flow clusters have an emission-weighted metallicity a factor ∼ 1.8 times higher than that of non-cooling-flow systems. We suggest that this is caused by the presence of metallicity gradients in the cooling-flow clusters, coupled with the sharply peaked X-ray surface brightness profiles of these systems. Non-cooling-flow clusters have much flatter X-ray surface brightness distributions and are thought to have undergone recent merger events, which may have mixed the central high-metallicity gas with the surrounding less metal-rich material. We find no evidence for evolution in the emission-weighted metallicities of clusters within z  ∼ 0.3.     

Formation and evolution of elliptical galaxies and QSO activity

We present the results of a numerical code that combines multi-zone chemical evolution with 1D hydrodynamics to follow in detail the evolution and radial behaviour of gas and stars during the formation of elliptical galaxies. We use the model to explore the links between the evolution and formation of elliptical galaxies and QSO activity. The knowledge of the radial gas flows in the galaxy allows us to trace metallicity gradients, and, in particular, the formation of a high-metallicity core in ellipticals. The high-metallicity core is formed soon enough to explain the metal abundances inferred in high-redshift quasars. The star formation rate and the subsequent feedback regulate the episodes of wind, outflow and cooling flow, thus affecting the recycling of the gas and the chemical enrichment of the intergalactic medium. The evolution of the galaxy shows several stages, some of which are characterized by a complex flow pattern, with inflow in some regions and outflow in other regions. All models, however, exhibit during their late evolution a galactic wind at the outer boundary and, during their early evolution, an inflow towards the galactic nucleus. The characteristics of the inner inflow could explain the bolometric luminosity of a quasar lodged at the galactic centre as well as the evolution of the optical luminosity of quasars.     

对流层高层偏北气流在梅雨暴雨中的作用

文中对江淮梅雨暴雨过程中的高低空流场特征及物理过程进行分析．结果表明：对流层上部青藏高原东侧常有高空偏北大风轴汇入南亚东风急流中．在这支强北风轴北端发现高空辐散和辐散的增长．亦即有利于低层辐合上升的持续、发展和加强;表明了低层西南急流与高空青藏高压东侧的偏北强风轴之间的次级环流圈,有利于梅雨暴雨的持续．     

宁夏3～7天天气预报逐日滚动制作系统

在建立ＭＯＳ预报系统的基础上,充分利用实时资料库中所提供的各种气象信息,开发应用多种预报方法以及有关实况、气候背景资料、对ＭＯＳ预报结果逐步进行人机交互订正,最后生成对外发布的宁夏各地３￣７天中期天气预报。