一种相关观测的Partial EIV模型求解方法

Partial errors-in-variables(Partial-EIV)模型作为EIV模型的扩展形式,其构造方式更有规律,解算方法更为简便,能有效应用于实际情况。针对已有Partial EIV模型方法未考虑观测向量和系数矩阵存在相关性这一情况,通过提取观测向量和系数矩阵组成的增广矩阵中非重复出现的随机元素,构建更具一般适用性的Partial EIV模型,在该模型的基础上,将特殊假定条件扩展到不限定观测数据相关性的一般情况,详细推导了观测向量和系数矩阵元素相关且不等精度情况下的加权总体最小二乘方法,通过算例试验,并与目前已有的解决EIV模型相关观测情况下的方法进行了比较分析,研究表明本文方法可以提高计算效率,更具一般性,特别是对于观测向量和系数矩阵中存在常数元素和重复元素的情况。     

一种提高单历元解算大高差短基线精度的方法

单历元基线解算可以避开传统基线解算中周跳探测等复杂的数据预处理过程。但是当两站高差较大时,即使是短基线,通过双差技术也不能充分消除对流层延迟,且残余对流层误差对单历元基线解算的影响较大,定位精度无法达到毫米级水平。针对以上问题,该文提出了采用半参数广义补偿最小二乘对大高差短基线进行单历元解算,削弱残余对流层误差影响的方法。实际算例表明,与常规的最小二乘法相比,该方法能很好地分离GPS残余对流层误差,各方向定位精度能达到毫米级水平。     

黑河中游地区耕地景观演变及社会经济驱动力分析

选取1987~2010年的土地利用数据,运用变化轨迹分析方法以及景观指数表征黑河中游地区耕地景观的演变过程,采用偏最小二乘回归模型分析耕地景观演变的驱动力。结果表明：从耕地的变化轨迹来看,研究期间耕地的扩张是黑河中游地区耕地景观演变的主要趋势;从空间上来看,扩张型耕地和缩减型耕地分布趋向集中,主要集中在稳定型耕地边缘,同时耕地扩张的方向趋向河流;从驱动因素分析来看,总人口、城市化、产业发展、机电井数等是促使耕地景观演变的主要社会经济驱动因素,但是各个驱动因素的驱动作用均有差异。     

An expanded surface-water palaeotemperature inference model for use with fossil midges from eastern Canada

Using an expanded surface sample data set, representing lakes distributed across a transect from southernmost Canada to the Canadian High Arctic, a revised midge-palaeotemperature inference model was developed for eastern Canada. Modelling trials with weighted averaging (with classical and inverse deshrinking; with and without tolerance downweighting) and weighted averaging partial least squares (WA-PLS) regression, with and without square-root transformation of the species data, were used to identify the best model. Comparison of measured and predicted temperatures revealed that a 2 component WA-PLS model for square-root transformed percentage species data provided the model with the highest explained variance (r =0.88) and the lowest error estimate (RMSEP _jack =2.26 °C). Comparison of temperature inferences based on the new and old models indicates that the original model may have seriously under-estimated the magnitude of late-glacial temperature oscillations in Atlantic Canada. The new inferences suggest that summer surface water temperatures in Splan Pond, New Brunswick were approximately 10 to 12 °C immediately following deglaciation and during the Younger Dryas. During the Allerod and early Holocene, surface water temperatures of 20 to 24 °C were attained. The new model thus provides the basis for more accurate palaeotemperature reconstructions throughout easternmost Canada.     

使用ERS-1/2干涉测量SAR数据生成DEM

干涉合成孔径雷达（ＩＮＳＡＲ）数据已被证明能生产精确的数据高程模型（ＤＥＭ），我们已开发了从单视ＳＡＲ复影像数据自动生成数字高程模型的新软件，基于ＳＡＲ多视强度影像的最小二乘曩像匹配被用于复影像对的配准，达到很高的配准精度（０．０１～０．０５像元精度）。一种新的计算目标点３维坐标（Ｘ，Ｙ，Ｚ）的方程还被提出，卫星轨道，姿态和基线参数以及相位常数被纳入在方程中并被表示了时间的线性函数，利用至少６个地面控制点能够同时估算这些参数，本文还给出了意大利埃特地区ＥＲＳ－１／２ＳＡＲ数据处理结果。     

Financing loss and damage: reviewing options under the Warsaw International Mechanism

After decades of pressure from vulnerable developing countries, the Warsaw International Mechanism on Loss and Damage (the WIM) was established at the nineteenth Conference of the Parties (COP 19) in 2013 to address costly damages from climate change. However, little progress has been made towards establishing a mechanism to fund loss and damage. The WIM's Executive Committee issued its first two-year workplan the following year at COP 20 which offered, among other things, a range of approaches to financing loss and damage programmes, which we review here. We provide brief overviews of each mechanism proposed by the WIM ExCom, describe their current applications, their statuses under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), some of their advantages and disadvantages, and their current or potential application to loss and damage. We find that several of these mechanisms may be useful in supporting loss and damage programmes, but identify some key gaps. First, most of the mechanisms identified by the WIM ExCom are insurance schemes subsidized with voluntary contributions, which may not be adequate or reliable over time. Second, none were devised to apply to slow-onset events, or to non-economic losses and damages. That is, if harms are inflicted on parts of a society or its ecosystems that have no price, or if they occur gradually, they would probably not be covered by these mechanisms. Finally, the lack of a dedicated and adequate flow of finance to address the real loss and damage being experienced by vulnerable nations will require the use of innovative financial tools beyond those mentioned in the WIM ExCom workplan.

Key policy insights

• Despite a full article of the 2015 Paris Agreement devoted to loss and damage, there is little international agreement on the scope of loss and damage programmes, and especially how they would be funded and by whom.

• Most of the loss and damage funding mechanisms identified by the WIM ExCom are insurance schemes subsidized with voluntary contributions, which may burden the most vulnerable countries and may not be reliable over time.

• None of the mechanisms were devised to apply to slow-onset events, or to non-economic losses and damages.

     

地图扫描矢量化误差的最小二乘配置法处理研究

屏幕扫描数字化是地图数字化的常用方法。在数字化过程中,由于地图本身的变形、扫描仪分辨率等系统误差会影响数字化的结果。仿射变换是实现栅格数据向矢量化数据转换的常用方法之一,研究表明基于最小二乘的仿射变换只可以消除整体变形,而不能消除局部变形。为此作者提出采用最小二乘配置。采用最小二乘配置可以在计算转换参数的同时估计局部系统变形信号,可以消除或减弱以上误差的影响,改善数字化精度。实例分析表明,是提高扫描数字化的有效方法。     

概略坐标对GPS PWV解算的影响

利用GAMIT 10.6和2016年第101天至第160天南昌站的GPS观测资料,开展了13组概略坐标变化对GPS PWV解算的影响研究试验(南昌站概略坐标设置以10 m等间距从0~120 m逐渐向西偏移真实坐标)。其结果发现:当概略坐标与实际坐标偏离在60 m以内时,概略坐标的变化对GPSPWV的解算影响不大(长基线的相对误差和均方根残差NRMS分别维持在5.7×10~(-9)和0.24附近);但当概略坐标与真实坐标偏离超过60 m后,概略坐标的变化对GPS PWV的解算有着显著的影响,其中基线相对误差和GPS PWV与探空PWV的标准偏差随概略坐标偏离的增加而快速增大,NRMS和GPS PWV与探空PWV的相关系数也有明显的增加和减小,GPSPWV的成功解算日数则随概略坐标偏离的增加而快速减小(当偏离≥120 m时南昌无GPS PWV生成);概略坐标变化对基线相对误差、GPS PWV精度以及GPS PWV能否被成功解算的影响仅限于本站,某站概略坐标的偏离不会对其他站GPS PWV解算造成明显的影响。     

一种基于MAD改进的GNSS高程时间序列粗差探测方法

针对GNSS高程时间序列中不可避免地含有粗差,以及在非线性、不平稳性的高程时间序列中粗差难以探测的问题,在传统MAD方法基础上,构建一种引入小波分析的WT-MAD粗差探测方法.利用模拟数据和LHAZ、BJFS、TWTF三个IGS站的实测高程数据进行实验,将WT-MAD法与基于最小二乘的3σ法、IQR法和MAD法进行对比...     

二维视电阻率断面的快速最小二乘反演

快速最小二乘反演是以平滑限定的最小二乘方法为基础,是对二维视电阻率断面进行反演的一种方法。反演过程不需要提供初始模型,在首次迭代时使用一均匀介质地下模型作为初始模型,该模型的视电阻率偏导数值可以用解析法得到。在后面的迭代中,使用了拟牛顿法去修改每一次迭代的偏导数矩阵,避免了偏导数矩阵的直接计算,从而减少了计算时间和存储空间。同时运用牛顿矩阵校正技术解最小二乘方程组也减少了大量的计算时间。总之,该方