2001年11月14日新疆-青海交界8.1级地震

简要介绍了2001年11月14日新疆－青海交界8．1级地震的预测情况，给出了中、美、日等对此次地震的震源参数测定和震源机制，以及余震的分布和加卸载响应比随时间的变化。进而对震区近期地震趋势进行预测。     

国际地磁学与高空物理学协会和国际地震学与地球内部物理学协会联合科学大会及地震电磁研究进展

简要介绍了 2 0 0 1年 8月 1 9～ 3 1日在越南河内召开的国际地磁学与高空物理学协会 ( IAGA)和国际地震学与地球内部物理学协会 ( IASPEI)联合科学大会以及地震电磁研究进展 ,表明地震电磁前兆在地震预测研究中具有一定的实际效果与良好的研究前景。我们建议在不久的将来能在北京举办 IAGA,IASPEI和 IUGG(国际大地测量学与地球物理学联合会 )大会。这将促进我国的科技进步 ,有助于加强我国在国际科学界的地位与影响。     

地震预报思路的再讨论

文中回顾了1974年提出的“块、带、源、兆、触、报”六字预报思路，并基于近20年来的研究对此进行了补充和深化。     

当前我国地震预报面临的主要科学问题及其建议

论述了我国目前在长期、中期和短临预报中所面临的主要科学问题，提出了从哪些方面进行突破的建议。     

川滇地区地震(Ms≥5.0)破裂类型与前兆异常分布的关系

对川滇地区 31次 (组 ) 5 .0级以上地震与余震次数的关系进行了统计 ,结合“强地震分为走滑型地震和断错型地震”的理论 ,确定了各次 (组 )地震的破裂类型。从物理机制上对地震破裂类型与震前前兆异常分布关系进行了讨论 ,由此进一步探讨了 5 .0级以上地震震后趋势预测     

The Advances and Prospects of Research on Earthquake Engineering at IEM

This paper describes briefly the recent advances and acievements of the research projects conducted by the Institute of Engineering Mechanics(IEM) in the period of the Ninth Five-Year Plan(1995-2000) with the support of the China Seismological Bureau(CSB),These projects are related with key problems in the field of earthquake engineering.They are:development of the methods for determining earthquake resistant design load level,study on mechanisms of earthquake damage to buildings.development of new technology of base isolation,and study on earthquake damage prediction and seismic losss assessment methods.Through these studies,quite a number of problems have een solved and some of them have een applied in earthquake engineering design and practice.     

An scientific evaluation of annual earthquake prediction ability

Introduction There have been nearly 40 years for earthquake prediction since the research on earthquake prediction was carried out in plan by some advanced countries since 1960s. For the hard long process of earthquake prediction, Alen, American famous scientist and former president of the evaluation commission of earthquake prediction in California, USA, said that the difficulty of earthquake prediction is more than the expected and the practical progress of earthquake prediction is more sl…     

Surface vibration due to a sequence of high speed moving harmonic rectangular loads

The transmission of vibrations over the surface of the ground, due to high-speed moving, vertical harmonic rectangular loads, is investigated theoretically. The problem is three-dimensional and the interior of the ground is modelled as an elastic half-space or a multilayered ground. The transformed solutions are obtained using the Fourier transform on the space variable. A new damping model in the spatial wavenumber domain, presented in Lefeuve-Mesgouez et al. [J. Sound. Vibr. 231 (2000) 1289] is used. Numerical results for the displacements on the surface are presented for loads moving with speeds up to and beyond the Rayleigh wave speed of the half-space.     

川滇藏三江流域生态环境功能区建设目标及影响预测

三江流域具有特殊严酷的自然环境和相对落后的经济条件,本区域的生态环境极度脆弱,不但限制了本区域的经济发展,还严重威胁着中下游地区的安全。本文运用景观生态学原理,从流域生态环境功能区建设目标及影响预测两个方面分析,提出了三江流域生态功能区建设的措施,对生态功能建设的效果进行了预测。     

遵义市城区及周边地带制砖页(泥)岩地质特征和开发前景

文章对遵义市城区及周边地带各地质时代的页（泥）岩已有资料进行了系统收集、归纳和适当的野外调研，认为区内制砖页（泥）岩层位可分为三类，第一、二类利用价值小或仅有部分可以利用，第三类则易于露采，大部分可利用，其层位为下奥陶统湄潭组和下三叠统夜郎组九级滩段，是区内可作制砖页（泥）岩利用最有开发前景的层位。同时对页（泥）岩的形成沉积环境作了简要分析，对其资源量进行了概略估算，经优化筛选，提出了10个供制砖厂企设置布局和矿源地选择之前需进行地质勘查的区块。