Application of matter-element model in soil nutrient evaluation of ecological fragile region

On the basis of the soil environment investigation in Da'an City, Jilin Province, China, 40 soil samples from main land use types were obtained and tested by standard method. Soil organic matter (SOM), total N (TN), total P (TP), total K (TK), available N (AN), available P (AP) and available K (AK) were chosen as the evaluation factors. A regional soil nutrient evaluation model was developed based on the matter-element model. The results show that the soil samples with nutrient grade Ⅱ-Ⅴ respectively account for 10%, 30%, 32.5% and 27.5%, and those with grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ account for 60% in all samples. The relationship between soil nutrients and land types indicates that the nutrients of farmland are relatively good, with 41.7% of soil samples with the nutrient grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ. The nutrients of saline-alkali land and sandy land are the worst, with 100% of soil samples with the nutrient grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ. And the ratios of soil samples grade Ⅳ and Ⅴ in grassland and wasteland are respectively 62.5 % and 54.55%. Generally speaking, the soil nutrients status in Da'an City is poor, 60% of soil samples are in poor and extremely poor conditions, indicating that the soil has been severely eroded. Being a relatively superior evaluation method with more accurate resuits and spatial distribution consistency, matter-element analysis is more suitable for regional soil nutrient evaluation than previous models.     

岩质滑坡−碎屑流的运动距离计算公式研究

滑坡?碎屑流的远程运动距离是碎屑流体所能够达到的最大堆积距离,是灾害预警和评估的重要指标。通过总结已有碎屑流运动距离研究成果,从岩体势能入手开展研究,并结合量纲分析,首先建立了运动距离与势能之间的基本方程。其后,采用4种颗粒材料开展岩质碎屑流滑槽试验,研究碎屑体体积V、滑移区坡度?、碎屑粒径d以及最大垂直运动距离H等对碎屑流运动距离L的影响,通过逐步拟合回归,建立了基于势能的岩质滑坡?碎屑流最大水平运动距离的计算公式。最后,采用汶川地震触发的38个岩质碎屑流以及17个其他典型岩质滑坡碎屑流数据对计算公式进行了验证,结果表明,考虑该运动距离计算公式具有较好的可靠性,能够为山区滑坡?碎屑流灾害预警工作提供理论指导。     

含水率对岩石电荷感应信号影响规律研究

水是诱发矿井灾害的主要因素之一,研究水?岩相互作用下的岩石破坏电荷信号,可丰富矿井水引起灾害的监测方法。为研究含水率对岩石破坏电荷感应信号的影响规律,基于损伤理论推导了岩石损伤破坏力?电耦合模型,得到了感应电荷量与岩石力损伤和水损伤的理论关系。利用自主研制的电荷感应信号数据采集系统,对不同含水率条件下的岩石试样进行了单轴压缩电荷感应信号监测试验,分析了水对岩石力学性质和岩石破坏过程中各阶段电荷感应信号的影响规律,并对含水率影响感应电荷产生的机制进行了讨论。结果表明：岩石变形破坏过程中的电荷感应信号与岩石的损伤程度有关,累积感应电荷量与感应电荷总量的比值可以表示岩石在水和力作用下的损伤量,且含水率越高,试样越易在较低的应力下产生大量的电荷感应信号。不同含水率岩石的宏观破坏特征明显不同,随着含水率升高,岩石的抗压强度降低,裂隙发育,岩石破坏形式由单剪式破坏向张拉和剪切混合破坏转变。电荷感应信号分布形态上,含水率的升高使得高幅值电荷簇数增加,并向弹性阶段发展,且高幅值电荷感应信号主要分布在弹性阶段后期和塑性阶段。感应电荷量上,随着含水率的升高,弹性阶段的感应电荷释放量占比逐渐增大,塑性阶段占比逐渐减小,两阶段的感应电荷量之和占试样变形破坏过程中产生感应电荷总量的90%以上。水通过弱化岩石颗粒和渗透压作用,使岩石在较低应力下产生或扩展裂隙,感应电荷信号更丰富。     

应力路径对地表变形特性影响的数值模拟

针对不同环境条件及工程因素对地表变形影响的不同特点,研究了不同应力状态下土的变形特性,得出其影响地表变形的基本规律。通过典型三轴试验对比分析了变形规律,由试验数据空间反演了各应力路径下的本构模型空间,编制相应的模块嵌入有限元程序,模拟了几种不同路径下地表沉降算例,得到了导致地表变形的几个基本规律：①不同的地表变形问题对应的应力路径千差万别,需要用不同的应力路径条件下的本构模型进行分析;②应力路径的影响是不可忽略的,甚至在诸多因素中起主导作用;③数值建模方法建立起来的模型通过权值系列的不同反映应力路径的影响,能较好应用于此类问题的分析;④CTC与TC路径极限体变相差近20 %;⑤CTC路径的剪缩区范围比CTE路径大,两种路径下剪缩体应变值最大相差近17.3 %;CTE路径较CTC路径的剪胀更为明显,剪胀体应变最大相对差值近98 %。     

地热异常的水槽模型实验

作为地球物理场的一个分支,地温场在理论和应用研究方面与其它地球物理场一样,也主要是依靠数学方法和物理模型实验的方法来进行的。本文讨论了地热异常水槽模型实验的理论原理;介绍了实验方法技术、实验结果和实际应用效果。     

Selection of regional historical rainfall time series as input to urban drainage simulations at ungauged locations

It has become established practice during the past 20 years to use high-resolution historical rainfall time series as input to hydrological model packages for detailed simulation of urban drainage systems. However, sufficiently long rain series are rarely available from the exact catchment in question and simulations are hence often based on available rain series from other locations. Extreme rainfall properties of importance to the performance of urban storm drainage systems vary significantly even in regions with only minor physiographic differences. Part of this variation can be explained by regional variations of the mean annual rainfall and the remaining statistical residue can be interpreted as statistical uncertainty.In Denmark, more than 75 high-resolution rain gauges are installed across a total area of 43,000 m. About 40 gauges had sufficiently long records to be included in a comprehensive national investigation where newly developed statistical regionalisation procedures were used to model the regional variation of extreme rainfalls. On this basis, a spreadsheet model was made available for estimation of extreme design rainfalls and the associated uncertainty at any location in the country. Statistics were furthermore computed to classify historical rainfall time series according to the developed regional model, and this makes it possible to assess the uncertainty related with using different historical rain series for simulations at ungauged locations.This research indicates that use of historical point rainfall data at ungauged locations introduces a significant uncertainty that is largely overlooked in today's practice. The engineering recommendation is to select historical rain series based on an evaluation of the local physiographic characteristics (e.g., the mean annual rainfall) and a (pre-defined) desired safety level of the simulations.     

Fengyun-4 Geostationary Satellite-Based Solar Energy Nowcasting System and Its Application in North China

Surface solar irradiance (SSI) nowcasting (0–3 h) is an effective way to overcome the intermittency of solar energy and to ensure the safe operation of grid-connected solar power plants. In this study, an SSI estimate and nowcasting system was established using the near-infrared channel of Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) geostationary satellite. The system is composed of two key components: The first is a hybrid SSI estimation method combining a physical clear-sky model and an empirical cloudy-sky model. The second component is the SSI nowcasting model, the core of which is the derivation of the cloud motion vector (CMV) using the block-matching method. The goal of simultaneous estimation and nowcasting of global horizontal irradiance (GHI) and direct normal irradiance (DNI) is fulfilled. The system was evaluated under different sky conditions using SSI measurements at Xianghe, a radiation station in the North China Plain. The results show that the accuracy of GHI estimation is higher than that of DNI estimation, with a normalized root-mean-square error (nRMSE) of 22.4% relative to 45.4%. The nRMSE of forecasting GHI and DNI at 30–180 min ahead varied within 25.1%–30.8% and 48.1%–53.4%, respectively. The discrepancy of SSI estimation depends on cloud occurrence frequency and shows a seasonal pattern, being lower in spring–summer and higher in autumn–winter. The FY-4A has great potential in supporting SSI nowcasting, which promotes the development of photovoltaic energy and the reduction of carbon emissions in China. The system can be improved further if calibration of the empirical method is improved.     

Measurements of the direction of the solar wind using interplanetary scintillation

EISCAT observations of the interplanetary scintillation of a single source were made over an extended period of time, during which the orientation of the baselines between the two observing sites changed significantly. Assuming that maximum correlation between the scintillations observed at the two sites occurs when the projected baseline is parallel to the direction of plasma flow, this technique can be used to make a unique determination of the direction of the solar wind. In the past it has usually been assumed that the plasma flow is radial, but measurements of eleven sources using this technique have indicated conclusively that in at least six cases observed at mid or high heliocentric latitude there is a significant non-radial component directed in four cases towards the heliocentric equator and in two cases towards the pole.     

273.15 到 308.15 K下二元体系（LiCl-H2O 和 MgCl2-H2O）和三元体系（LiCl-MgCl2-H2O）的体积性质研究

用高精度振动管在 273.15 至 308.15 K 的温度范围内以 5 K 的间隔对两个二元系统（LiCl-H2O 和 MgCl2-H2O）和三元系统（LiCl-MgCl2-H2O）的密度进行了实验测定密度计。基于 Vogel-Fulcher-Tamman (VFT) 方程,对 LiCl(aq) 和 MgCl2(aq) 密度与温度和摩尔浓度的相关方程的系数进行了参数化。 Young的理想混合规则被成功地应用于基于相关的二元解性质关联三元系统的密度。根据二元和三元体系的体积特性数据,根据 Pitzer 离子相互作用理论,得到 Pitzer 单盐参数和混合离子相互作用参数。在本工作中确定了三元体系在恒定离子强度下的混合体积 (ΔVm)。