Effect of water stress on ecosystem photosynthesis and respiration of a Leymus chinensis steppe in Inner Mongolia

Many studies on global climate have forecast major changes in the amounts and spatial patterns of precipitation that may significantly affect temperate grasslands in arid and semi-arid regions. As a part of ChinaFLUX, eddy covariance flux measurements were made at a semi-arid Leymus chinensis steppe in Inner Mongolia, China during 2003-2004 to quantify the response of carbon exchange to environmental changes. Results showed that gross ecosystem production (FGEP) and ecosystem respiration (Reco) of the steppe were significantly depressed by water stress due to lack of precipitation during the growing season. Temperature was the dominant factor affecting FGEP and Reco in 2003, whereas soil moisture imposed a significant influence on both Reco and FGEP in 2004. Under wet conditions, Reco showed an exponentially increasing trend with temperature (Q10 = 2.0), but an apparent reduction in the value of Reco and its temperature sensitivity were observed during the periods of water stress (Q10=1.6). Both heat and water stress can cause decrease in FGEP. The sea-sonality of ecosystem carbon exchange was strongly correlated with the variation of precipitation. With less precipitation in 2003, the steppe sequestrated carbon in June and July, and went into a senescence in early August due to water stress. As compared to 2003, the severe drought during the spring of 2004 delayed the growth of the steppe until late June, and the steppe became a CO2 sink from early July until mid-September, with ample precipitation in August. The semi-arid steppe released a total of 9.7 g C·m-2 from May 16 to the end of September 2003, whereas the net carbon budget during the same period in 2004 was close to zero. Long-term measurements over various grasslands are needed to quantify carbon balance in temperate grasslands.     

水库汛期限制水位控制理论与观念的更新探讨

传统的水库汛限水位的控制,只利用了洪水的统计信息,使水库在汛期要时刻预防设计与校核洪水事件的发生,致使一些水库在汛期不敢蓄水而汛后又无水可蓄,造成洪水资源的浪费。提出水库汛限水位动态控制的新理念及其综合推理模式,适应当前预报技术的发展水平,考虑降雨径流洪水预报与一定时间内的短期降雨预报,排除不可能发生的洪水事件,预报可能发生的洪水,实施水库汛限水位的动态控制。但预报不可避免地存在误差,当小概率预报误差事件发生时,仍可采取弥补措施以确保大坝的防洪安全。     

2002年6月13日重庆区域大暴雨分析

通过对重庆西部“6 1 3”区域大暴雨的分析 ,发现此次天气过程是一次典型的高原涡与西南涡耦合 ,结合地面弱冷空气条件下产生的 ,同时对ECMWF和T2 1 3数值预报产品进行了简要的分析 ,发现ECMWF和T2 1 3的形势预报能力都比较好 ,但T2 1 3的部分物理量要素和降水量预报能力还有待提高。     

降雨入渗诱发黄土滑塌的模式及临界值初探

国内外对诱发滑坡的降雨阈值的研究多采用统计方法对历史滑坡和降雨量数据进行相关分析,而在分析过程中很少按降雨入渗诱发模式的不同进行分类.实际上,降雨临界值与被触发的滑坡类型紧密相关,不同模式的降雨可以触发不同类型和规模的滑坡,而不同类型的滑坡也“需要”不同的降雨临界值.本文以陕北黄土高原广泛发育的-种典型地质灾害-黄土滑塌作为研究对象,从定性分析降雨入渗的机理入手,探讨了不同入渗模式下雨水对滑塌的诱发作用,初步建立了缓慢下渗诱发型、下渗阻滞诱发型、下渗贯通诱发型三种降雨诱发黄土滑塌的模式.运用统计学的方法,对陕西北部地区25个县(市、区)1960年～2008年发生的有准确日期记录的227个黄土滑塌和降雨数据进行分类,建立了不同降雨入渗诱发类型下的黄土滑塌降雨临界值或预警值.     

流域非点源磷素输出负荷估算方法研究

目前水质常规监测频率较低,难以客观反映流域非点源污染物浓度随降雨径流过程的变化情况,结果会低估了流域非点源污染物的输出负荷。本文利用流域次降雨过程的连续水质水量同步监测资料,研究分析次降雨过程与流域非点源磷素输出负荷之间的因果关系,并建立次降雨总量与磷素输出负荷的定量相关关系。研究结果表明,流域次降雨总量与非点源磷素输出负荷之间存在较好的相关关系。通过这种定量关系,以流域次降雨总量为输入,可以更为合理地估算出流域非点源磷素输出负荷。     

无锡站年际降雨趋势、特征与预报分析

针对近年极端灾害性气候频发的现状,对暖冬影响下无锡站降雨年际变化趋势、历史演变特征和近几年水文预报情况进行了分析。结果表明:在暖冬影响下,无锡站降雨年际间呈现出干旱—湿润周期性变化的特征,具有水文旋回的性质,在太湖地区有代表性,可作为该时段的降雨预报模型;该模型打破了年际降雨无规律的传统思维定式,与历史演变法相结合,能提高预报效率与精度;水文旋回的发现和降雨预报模型的建立,可推动水文气象长期预报与气候展望研究。     

考虑降雨入渗的有密集排水孔幕渗流场分析

有复杂边界面的渗流场求解问题经常会同时涉及降雨入渗边界和密集排水孔边界,这一般是一个非饱和渗流问题,因此传统的稳定饱和排水子结构模型不能适用。根据2类不同的排水孔,给出了排水子结构典型网格划分型式,提出了相应的非饱和排水子结构水力学模型,并引入传统模型中未考虑的降雨入渗等其它边界,使得模型更全面和完善。     

“雨量效应”与“环流效应”:近1 ka亚澳季风区石笋和大气降水δ18O的气候意义

亚澳季风主要由东亚季风、印度季风和澳大利亚季风三部分组成。目前,该地区石笋和大气降水δ18O气候意义的最大争议在于到底反映的是降水量变化还是水汽源的变化。针对这一争议,本文选取亚澳季风区的18个大气降水站点和5个洞穴近1 ka石笋记录的δ18O数据进行对比分析,主要得到以下几点认识：1）在月时间尺度上,亚澳季风区大气降水δ18O与月降水量均呈现明显的反相关关系,数学统计结果符合"雨量效应",而实质原因是不同季节水汽源的差异。2）在年际尺度上,在东亚季风区与澳大利亚季风区大气降水δ18O的年加权平均值与年降水量的相关性并不明显,但在印度季风区呈现明显的负相关关系,说明主要受相对单一水汽源影响的印度季风区大气降水中δ18O的年际变化"雨量效应"显著;在受复合水汽源影响的东亚季风与澳大利亚季风区"雨量效应"并不显著。3）在亚澳季风影响的广大地区,各地区年际尺度的大气降水中δ18O变化趋势以及近1 ka洞穴石笋记录δ18O变化趋势均呈现相似的特征,但二者本质并不相同。印度季风区大气降水和石笋δ18O反映的是"雨量效应",但在受复合水汽源影响的东亚季风与澳大利亚季风区大气降水δ18O和石笋δ18O反映的是"环流效应"。     

太平庄井地下流体动态主要干扰因素研究

通过分析多年的观测资料，认为太平庄井地下流体动态的主要干扰因素为区域地下热水开采，其次为降雨。气压的明显变化对水位、水温也有一定干扰。区域开采造成太平庄井水位、水温同步下降，氢气测值升高；降雨导致太平庄井水位上升、水温下降。     

Paleoclimate studies and natural-resource management in the Murray-Darling Basin I: past,present and future climates

This paper provides an incisive review of paleoclimate science and its relevance to natural-resource management within the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB). The drought of 1997–2010 focussed scientific, public and media attention on intrinsic climate variability and the confounding effect of human activity, especially in terms of water-resource management. Many policy and research reviews make statements about future planning with little consideration of climate change and without useful actionable knowledge. In order to understand future climate changes, modellers need, and demand, better paleoclimate data to constrain their model projections. Here, we present an insight into a number of existing long-term paleoclimate studies relevant to the MDB. Past records of climate, in response to orbital forcing (glacial–interglacial cycles) are found within, and immediately outside, the MDB. High-resolution temperature records, spanning the last 10⁵ years, exist from floodplains and cave speleothems, as well as evidence from lakes and their associated lunettes. More recently, historical climate records show major changes in relation to El Niño–Southern Oscillation cycles and decadal shifts in rainfall regimes. A considerable body of research currently exists on the past climates of southeastern Australia but, this has not been collated and validated over large spatial scales. It is clear that a number of knowledge gaps still exist, and there is a pressing need for the establishment of new paleoclimatic research within the MDB catchment and within adjacent, sensitive catchments if past climate science is to fulfil its potential to provide policy-relevant information to natural-resource management into the future.