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101.
Knowledge of the age of undated events is not null if a time-order relationship can be found among these events. The knowledge of such a time-ordered sequence can be formalized by using non-informative (uniform) prior probability densities for the ages of undated events and Bayes' theorem to introduce the time-order relationship condition. We show that the conditional probability densities of the ages of events of unknown age are given by various forms of Euler's beta distribution. These distributions yield an estimate of the probability for an undated event to occur in a given age interval.
We use this method to propose appropriate probabilistic representations of our actual knowledge of the dating of the magnetic polarity reversals during the Cenozoic. These representations take into account the uncertainties arising from irregularities in accretion process and from the quality of a few calibration points. Both types of uncertainties generate large ambiguities in the age of magnetic reversals, which should be taken into consideration when the geomagnetic polarity timescale is used for dating purposes. We propose to use the entropy function to quantify these ambiguities. 相似文献
We use this method to propose appropriate probabilistic representations of our actual knowledge of the dating of the magnetic polarity reversals during the Cenozoic. These representations take into account the uncertainties arising from irregularities in accretion process and from the quality of a few calibration points. Both types of uncertainties generate large ambiguities in the age of magnetic reversals, which should be taken into consideration when the geomagnetic polarity timescale is used for dating purposes. We propose to use the entropy function to quantify these ambiguities. 相似文献
102.
Magnetostratigraphy of Palaeocene basalts from the Vaigat Formation of West Greenland 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
A palaeomagnetic study comprising the directional results from 289 individual lava flows, sampled along eight sections in the Palaeocene basalts of West Greenland, is reported. The eight individual sections are correlated using lithostratigraphical marker horizons to form a single composite profile. Generally, the lithological correlation is in good agreement with the record of geomagnetic secular variation.
The total composite palaeomagnetic profile represents a stratigraphic thickness of 1.6 km through the Vaigat Formation, which is the lowermost of the two volcanic formations formed during the main stage of plateau volcanism. Only two polarity zones are found in the composite profile, suggesting a very short duration for the West Greenland main plateau-building volcanism.40 Ar/39 Ar dates support a high extrusion rate and also indicate that the lower normal polarity zone is Chron C27n and that the upper reverse polarity zone is Chron C26r.
The C27n–C26r transition is fully recorded along one of the sections (Nuusap Qaqqarsua), with intermediate directions covering a 200 m thick succession of lavas. A combined palaeomagnetic, field and geochemical study along this profile showed good agreement; that is, geochemically and geologically derived single magmatic events show groupings of the palaeomagnetic directions. Supposing a duration for the geomagnetic transition of 5000 years, the eruption frequency during this period was as high as one flow every 80 years. 相似文献
The total composite palaeomagnetic profile represents a stratigraphic thickness of 1.6 km through the Vaigat Formation, which is the lowermost of the two volcanic formations formed during the main stage of plateau volcanism. Only two polarity zones are found in the composite profile, suggesting a very short duration for the West Greenland main plateau-building volcanism.
The C27n–C26r transition is fully recorded along one of the sections (Nuusap Qaqqarsua), with intermediate directions covering a 200 m thick succession of lavas. A combined palaeomagnetic, field and geochemical study along this profile showed good agreement; that is, geochemically and geologically derived single magmatic events show groupings of the palaeomagnetic directions. Supposing a duration for the geomagnetic transition of 5000 years, the eruption frequency during this period was as high as one flow every 80 years. 相似文献
103.
The possibility that the Earth's tides are a triggering factor of Vrancea subcrustal earthquakes is investigated in the first part of this paper. A possible correlation between Vrancea subcrustal earthquakes and geomagnetic jerks is demonstrated in the second part. The last part of the paper presents a number of results concerning a possible relationship between the regularities of strong Vrancea subcrustal seismicity and the Chandler nutation parameters. An attempt is made to integrate all of these phenomena in a more general framework that takes into account physical processes in the Earth mantle and core. A long-term prediction of the next strong Vrancea earthquake is finally attempted. 相似文献
104.
房宗绯 《地震地磁观测与研究》1999,20(3):56-59
从系统分析的角度出发,提出以磁报震的实质是综合预报,而综合预报的基础则是综合解释。作为一个认识系统,以磁报震的综合解释主要由4个层次(4个要素)组成,即地磁场异常变化(层次I),构造环境及应力场的变化(层次Ⅱ),系统相关要素的变化(层次Ⅲ),外部环境要素的变化等(层次Ⅳ)。以磁报震不应简单归结为完全以地磁异常变化为基点的地震预报,而应是由多要素(层次)组成的有机分析系统,即在以层次I为核心的认识基 相似文献
105.
根据西太平洋暖池WP92-5,WP92-3柱样沉积物的磁性地层学研究结果,发现WP92-5柱样沉积物的磁性记录了3个地球磁场漂移(地球磁场极性反转),即Gothenburg,MonoLake(或Rubjerg)和Mungo(或Maelifell),其界限年龄分别为12.5kaB.P.,24.0(23)kaB.P.和31.0(28—31)kaB.P.;WP92-3柱样沉积物的磁性也记录了前两个地球磁场漂移。这一结果表明,西太平洋暖池区对35kaB.P.以来地球磁场极性发生的3次短暂的漂移有明显的响应。由于两柱样都采集于赤道附近南半球暖池区,其磁倾角的变化有一定的特殊性。 相似文献
106.
107.
将1996—2015年太阳黑子数、强磁暴和M_S≥7.0亚洲浅源地震,按Dst指数大小对磁暴进行分类和统计,按震级大小对地震进行分类统计,结果发现,在1996—2015年太阳活动周下降年易发生大磁暴,且M_S≥7.0地震年发生率明显高于太阳活动周上升年、极大年和极小年。 相似文献
108.
选用中国21个地磁基准台站2011年的绝对子夜均值数据,分析D、H、Z分量年变化量空间分布特征。结果显示,各分量年变化量等值线分布比较均匀,其中:D分量年变化量等值线大致沿南北向分布,零经线附近台站年变化量较小;H分量年变化量等值线大致呈U型分布,且中心点位于甘肃省;Z分量年变化量等值线沿纬线方向,随纬度减小而增大。 相似文献
109.
成都地磁台距成灌高铁运行线路垂直距离约1.5 km,使用数字化磁通门磁力仪GM4,在轨道沿线不同距离处进行野外测试。测试结果表明,轨道交通的运行对周围地磁观测环境产生干扰,干扰距离约6 km,干扰主要来自轨道泄露电流及输电线路产生的磁场。 相似文献
110.
近距离铁磁性物质干扰(农田耕作、基建等)、直流供电干扰(高压直流输电、地电阻率观测等)是地磁场地面观测的主要干扰方式。在滦县地震台布设地磁场井下观测系统,检验井下观测的抗干扰效果,结果发现,地磁场井下观测可抑制近距离铁磁性物质干扰,但无法抑制直流供电干扰(可通过避让一定距离解决),该分析结果为未来地震监测手段的选取提供技术参考指标和依据。 相似文献