长江经济带城乡居民福祉测度及其差异

通过构建城乡居民客观发展指数、主观幸福感指数和福祉差异系数,分析了2005-2015年长江经济带城镇、乡村居民福祉水平及其差距的动态变化过程和空间差异,探讨其影响因素与作用机制.结果表明:1)长江经济带及各省城乡居民福祉均呈上升趋势,区域城镇和乡村居民福祉指数分别由2005年的0.6653、0.5704提高至2015年...     

2010年2月27日智利Mw8.8地震前全球地震活动特征分析

通过对智利地震前全球不同时空范围地震活动特征分析,发现:①智利地震前出现了两类地震空区:第一类空区为1900年以来形成的360 km长的Mw≥8.0地震空段,第二类空区为震前5年形成的780 km长的M≥5.5地震空段;②1986-2010年,智利中南部仅发生1次Mw7.1地震,表现为显著的Mw≥7.0地震平静异常;③...     

青藏高原北部地区7级以上地震前地震活动特征

发现青藏高原北部7级以上地震前震中区普遍存在5级以上地震空段,空段时间在7~33年之间,且在青海发生的7级以上地震前震中区还存在ML≥4.0级地震空区,四川北部的7级以上地震前弱震活动出现显著增强现象。未来2~8年间青藏高原北部有可能发生7级以上地震,其危险区域为祁连地震带西部、甘肃东南部、宁夏和内蒙西部。     

新疆北天山Ms≥5.0地震前的中长期地震活动空间图像特征

对新疆北天山l931年以来6级以上、l970年以来5级以上地震前的地震活动空间图像进行了分析，发现震前多有不同程度的地震空区或条带出现，其孕育时间一般为8－14年；震源深度呈现由浅而深、通常超过25km的变化，孕育时间一般为3—4年。同时对上述地震活动空间图像前兆特征的机理进行了定性分析，并对所选资料的精度等问题进研了讨论。     

新疆7级强震前的围空特征

讨论了新疆40年代以来所发生的8次7级强震前的围空现象。结果表明,除1974年巴里坤7.1级地震因资料不全外,7级强震前均出现明显的围空现象。研究发现,这种围空一般都经历了三个过程,时间通常为10—20年。最后分析讨论了7级强震前围空的特征以及判别指标。这将为今后确定强震危险区提供依据。     

The identification and criteria of short-term seismicity gap before a great earthquake

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地震台站空隙角对地震定位精度的影响

利用四川测震台网记录的芦山余震资料,选取20个M≥2.5地震,以Loc3D(川滇)定位方法定位结果为标准。采用MSDP中常用定位方法(HypoSAT、HYP2000、LocSAT、单纯型),在人为增减台站情况下,使得台站空隙角在25°—320°范围内任意变化,采用相同震相和相同台站对选定的地震事件进行定位,并对定位结果与标准结果对比,结果表明:震中位置在台站空隙角25°—130°任意变化时,4种定位方法效果较好,差别不大;在空隙角达到130°时,震中位移具有随着空隙角增大而逐步变大趋势;在空隙角达到190°时,单纯型法震中位移明显加大,出现随机突跳现象。总体而言,LocSAT法定位效果较好,平均震中位移2.6 km,HYP2000法平均震中位移2.8 km,HypoSAT平均震中位移4.1 km,单纯型定位效果较差,平均震中位移10.3 km。     

Contrasting mineral isograd sequences in metabasites of the Cape Smith Belt, northern Québec, Canada: three new bathograds for mafic rocks

Regional-scale mapping of index-mineral isograds in mafic units of the early Proterozoic Cape Smith Thrust Belt (northern Québec) has revealed contrasting pressure-temperature regimes associated with two distinct structural domains. In the southern domain, crustal thickening was accomplished by early, piggy-back thrust faults. Isograds cross-cut the thrusts, indicating that thermal-peak mineral growth outlasted deformation associated with early imbrication. Mineral zones are: (1) actinolite (Act) + albite (Alb); (2) hornblende (Hbl) + Act + Alb; (3) Hbl + Act + oligoclase (Oli); (4) Hbl + Oli; and (5) garnet (Grt) or clinopyroxene + Hbl + Oli-andesine. The oligoclase isograd occurs at higher grade than the hornblende isograd, a sequence typical of medium-pressure terranes (5–7 kbar). An Hbl-Alb bathograd. calibrated from mixed-volatile equilibria in the NCMASH-CO₂ model system, suggests minimum pressures of about 5.4 kbar. Metamorphism in the northern domain was a consequence of re-imbrication, by means of out-of-sequence thrust faults active during and after peak metamorphic conditions. Mineral growth was coeval with thrusting, as documented by the syn-kinematic garnet porphyroblasts. Compared to the southern domain, a different sequence of isograds in mafic rocks shows that the albite-oligoclase transition takes place in the garnet zone. Based on thermobarometry in garnet-hornblende rocks, the oligoclase isograd occurs in a temperature range of 525–600°C, typical of high-pressure terranes (7–10 kbar). Calibrated bathograds for the Hbl-Ms-Alb and Grt-Alb bathozonal assemblages, respectively in the KNCMASH-CO₂ and NCMASH model systems, indicate minimum pressures in the northern domain of 6.7 and 8.5 kbar. Higher-pressure series for this domain are explained by out-of-sequence thrusts exposing deeper crustal levels. For similar structural levels, only minor amounts of syn-deformational uplift (1–2 kbar and 50–75°C) are recorded in metabasites of this domain, compared to results in adjacent metapelites of the area (essentially isothermal uplift of 3–5 kbar). RESUME La bande du Cap Smith (nord du Québec) est une ceinture de chevauchement d'ǎge protérozoique inférieur, dominée par des roches mafiques. La cartographie d'isogrades à minéraux indicateurs dans les unités mafiques de la ceinture a révelé deux régimes contrastes de pression–température, chacun associéà des épisodes distincts d'épaississement crustal. Dans le domaine sud, des failles de chevauchement en-série sont responsables pour l'empilement tectonique. Les isogrades recoupent les failles, indiquant que l'apogée thermale a suivi l'emplacement initial des nappes de charriage. Les zones minérales sont: (1) actinote (Act) + albite (Alb); 2) hornblende (Hbl) + Act + Alb; (3) Hbl + Act + oligoclase (Oli); 4) Hbl + Oli; et (5) grenat (Grt) où clinopyroxene + Hbl + Oli-andésine. L'isograde d'oligoclase apparaǐt à plus haute température que l'isograde d'hornblende, une séquence typique des terrains de pressions moyennes. Un bathograde Hbl–Alb, calibréà partir d'équilibre mixte de volatiles dans le système NCMASH–CO₂, suggère des pressions minimales d'environ 5.4 kbar. Le métamorphisme dans le domaine nord de la ceinture a été le résultat d'une réimbrication, causé par des chevauchements hors-série actifs pendant et après l'apogée thermale. La croissance minérale fǔt synchrone au chevauchement, documentée par des porphyroblastes de grenat syn-cinénatique. Comparé au domaine sud, une différente séquence d'isogrades dans les métabasaltes montre que la transition albite–oligoclase se situé dans la zone à grenat. Par la thermobarométrie dans les roches à grenat–hornblende l'isograde d'oligoclase se situe dans un écart de température de 525–600°C, typique des terrains de hautes pressions (7–10 kbar). Des bathogrades calibrés pour les assemblages bathozonales Hbl–Ms–Alb et Grt–Alb, rcspectivement dans les systèmes KNCMASH–CO₂ et NCMASH, indique des pression minimales pour le domaine nord de 6.7 et 8.5 kbar. Une zonégraphie à plus haute pression pour ce domaine est expliquée par des chevauchements hors-série exposant des niveaux plus inférieurs de la croǔte imbriqué. Pour des niveaux structuraux similaries, des soulèvements syn-métamorphiques mineurs sont enregistrés dans les métabasaltes (1–2 kbar et 50–75°C), comparés aux métapélites adjacentes avec un soulèvement (essentially isothermal uplift of 3–5 kbar.     

Genealogical concordance,comparative species delimitation,and the specific status of the Caspian pipefish Syngnathus caspius (Teleostei: Syngnathidae)

To evaluate the specific validity of the Caspian pipefish Syngnathus caspius, we used a comparative molecular species delimitation method on a COI barcode library of Syngnathus, as well as principles of genealogical concordance. Comparative species delimitation allowed us to delineate putative species without a priori assignment of individuals to nominal species, while genealogical concordance extended our species delimitation results to multiple genes, multiple codistributed species, and comparisons with biogeographic evidence. All species delimitation analyses including two topology‐based, one network‐based, and one distance‐based analysis showed genetically isolated lineages of pipefish in the Black and Caspian Sea, corresponding to S. abaster and S. caspius, respectively. Mean evolutionary divergence between the two lineages (0.029) was within the range separating species of Syngnathus (0.024–0.217). The interclade/intraclade ratio of variation was comparable to the operational criterion of divergence between clades greater or equal to 10 × the level within clades to recognize separate species. Our argument on taxonomic validity of S. caspius is also supported by the principles of genealogical concordance as a conceptual basis for recognition of biological species. As a second objective, using a limited number of S. caspius specimens from two semi‐confined water bodies along the Caspian Sea south coastal zone (i.e., Anzali Wetland in the west and Gorgan Bay in the east), we searched for a possible matrilineal structure. The retrieved phylogeographic pattern was characterized by a shallow genealogy and lineage distributions varied, most probably caused by low to modest contemporary gene flow between populations of S. caspius across the southern Caspian Sea that are linked tightly through history.     

On the Lack of Asteroids in the Hecuba Gap

The lack of asteroids in the 2/1-resonance is explained by the global stochasticity of the solutions in the Sun-Jupiter-Saturn-asteroid model. The explanation is based on data obtained with Laskar's frequency map analysis and on simulations showing the decisive influence of Jupiter's orbit perturbations related to the "Great Inequality". This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.