西南三江地区矿产资源遥感综合预测方法

详细阐述了矿产资源遥感综合预测方法的工作程序、控矿要素的数字化分析与遥感找矿模型的建立,以及遥感矿产的综合分析评价方法与应用等,并以西南三江中段遥感综合预测成果佐证了矿产资源遥感综合预测方法在矿产资源预测中能使野外调查工作更具预见性和目的性,从而大大缩短了矿产资源调查的工作周期。     

多因素复杂系统最佳因素权重确定的一种新思路——以深港西部通道工程深圳湾公路大桥为例

为了客观地反映各因素对目标问题的影响程度,本文首次提出了最佳因素权重概念。定义最佳因素权重为研究区域内系统质量处于极限状态时的各因素权重之组合。结合深港西部通道工程深圳湾公路大桥桥址比选方案,详细说明了本方法的研究思路及其确定方法。通过最佳因素权重方法,能客观地、定量地确定出多因素复杂系统中的最优场址。     

Floodplain Residents' Preferences for Water Level Management Options in Flood Control Projects in Bangladesh

A maximum difference conjoint (MDC) model was part of a questionnaire toassess floodplain residents' preferences for the outcomes of water level managementinside an enclosed embankment system on the left bank of the Dhaleswari River, calledthe Compartmentalization Pilot Project (CPP)-Tangail. The outcomes were described as(a) varied flood depths in the rice field, (b) incidence of flooding on the courtyard andinside homes, (c) changes in floodplain and culture fisheries, and (d) varied conditionsof drainage congestion. Following a standard survey, the respondents from inside andoutside a completed section of the compartment (Cluster 1b) were shown profiles of these flood management outcomes and were asked to indicate for each profile the one most preferred and the one least preferred item. The results of the study indicated that the respondents had a clear preference for preventing flooding of their homes and courtyards and for an ideal water depth of 2 ft in the aman rice fields. At the same time, they also showed a strong concern about malfunctioning of sluices and to a lesser extent about the changes in the fish habitat. The successful application of the MDC as an approach to model tradeoffs among rural residents of Bangladesh shows that a relatively complex quantitative survey method, incorporating choice cards as pictograms, can be applied successfully even in a developing country.     

Flood Damage Reduction Program (FDRP) in Québec: Case Study of the Chaudiére River

This study presents the evolution of agreements between the governments of Canadaand Québec on flood damage reduction. In Québec, the implementation of a regulation about building in floodplains came about in 1983–1984. Today, this regulation takes the form of a policy called ``Policy of shores, littoral and floodplain protection'. Municipalities must adopt rules that concur with the principles of this policy.The Chaudiére River basin was selected for analysis of urban developmentduring the period following the application of building rules in flood-risk areas.Despite the ban on building in the strong current zone (0–20 year return periodflood zone), many buildings, essentially residential, have been erected in thiszone. These new constructions generally account for a low percentage of thetotal property value in the 0–100 year flooding area, but are legal since theyare connected to a water and sewage network that existed prior to the officialfloodplain regulation.Flood damage along the Chaudiére River will tend to increase for two reasons.Firstly, while respecting the policy mentioned above, sites are still available infloodplains for future development. Secondly, no structural flood protection workshave been erected in view of the fact they are only marginally profitable from anbenefit-cost point of view.     

岩质边坡稳定性分析的探讨

通过最大剪应力等值线来确定边坡的滑动面,并与其结构面抗剪强度相比较,给出了确定边坡的稳定系数的方法。     

日照市短时冰雹定时-定点-定量预报

利用1960～2000年青岛、射阳、徐州3站08时探空资料及日照站08时地面气象资料，分析了日照地区出现的16次降雹天气的时空分布特征，在对降雹天气分型的基础上利用积云数值模式计算降雹因子，用降雹因子和单站要素因子建立历史降雹因子个例库，用历史实况资料建立实况个例库，用距离相似法实现日照地区短时冰雹定时、定点、定量的客观预报。     

脑卒中与气象要素关系的探讨

1994年1月至2000年12月北京地区若干社区脑卒中发病人数与同期气象资料分析结果表明：北京地区脑卒中发病有明显的季节性，冬春季高发，夏秋季低发；出血性脑卒中发病是春秋季高发，夏季低发；缺血性脑卒中发病是夏季高，秋季低。脑卒中发病与气温、气压和相对湿度有密切关系；寒冷与高温，气温、气压的剧烈变化等，可能是诱发脑卒中的重要气象因素。     

威特DI2002测距仪实测精度分析

通过对威特ＤＩ２００２测距仪的实测资料的分析，认为（１）ＤＩ２００２测距仪实测精度较高，与ＭＥ－３０００测距仪具有同等的实测精度，（２）ＤＩ２００２仪器性能稳定，加、乘常数变化幅度小，频率变化也很小，其频率的稳定性远比ＭＥ－３０００测距仪匹配的测频仪高。（３）ＤＩ２００２与ＭＥ－３０００测距成果有很好的一致性。在ＭＥ－３０００测距仪老化的情况下，可以用ＤＩ２００２替代ＭＥ－３０００用于跨断层水平形     

7月份降雨分布型的预报方法

综述了我国７月份雨型的划分方法，各种雨型的多雨特点及环流特征，总结了各类雨型的预报判据，着眼于赤道东太平洋海温（ＳＳＴ），冬季（１－３月）５００ｈＰａ环流，春季（３－５月）西太平洋副热带高压，夏季（６－８月）赤道平流层纬向风准两年振荡（ＱＢＯ）等方面，分析了与７月雨型的关联。该方法对业务预报有很好的指导意义。     

济宁地区水稻生产与气象因子关系分析

利用济宁市３１年的水稻产量和气象资料，分析了水稻生产的不同气候年型、产量与气象因子的关系，找出了影响产量变异的着急时期和主导气象因子及其时间变化规律，并探讨了相应的对策措施。