Intensifying Earthquake Prediction in the Light of Action of International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction

This paper is a review on earthquake prediction and forecast research,progress in earthquake prediction work and pre-estimation of earthquake hazard degree in China in recent years.It indicates that China is the first country,the government of which has promoted and organized the state administration department on reduction of seismic hazards and ensured the socialization of earthquake prediction and forecast in the world.A program of earthquake prevention and protection and hazard reduction based on the results of research on earthquake occurrence regularities and prediction of earthquake preparation trend has been completed,and hence the socialization of results of earthquake prediction and forecast research can be expected to be in practice.The practical seismological works in last 20 years indicate that the earthquakes are not considered to be unpredictable,but it is a challenge remaining to be accepted.We are willing to cooperate with all friends who are engaged in earthquake prediction and forecas     

我国5月降水的气候特点和长期变化

从月尺度降水长期预报业务的需要出发，根据中央气象台长期科１６０站月降水资料，分析了中国５月份降水的基本气候特点和长期变化，进一步明确了５月份降水预报业务的工作重点，揭示出某些对５月份降水预报业务有价值的气候现象，其中５月份南北方降水长期变化的阶段性及其反位相振荡现象（ＳＮ现象）对５月份降水长期预报业务具有重要实践意义。     

镇旬盆地金矿成矿规律研究

文章总结了镇旬盆地金鸡岭复式向斜南北两带金矿的成矿条件、成矿规律、成矿模式、找矿标志,分析复式向斜南北两翼的成矿条件,认为运用北带的成矿规律、成矿模式、找矿标志可以指导在南带及其他地区微细浸染型金矿床的找矿工作.     

Coarsening of three-dimensional structured and unstructured grids for subsurface flow

We present a generic, semi-automated algorithm for generating non-uniform coarse grids for modeling subsurface flow. The method is applicable to arbitrary grids and does not impose smoothness constraints on the coarse grid. One therefore avoids conventional smoothing procedures that are commonly used to ensure that the grids obtained with standard coarsening procedures are not too rough. The coarsening algorithm is very simple and essentially involves only two parameters that specify the level of coarsening. Consequently the algorithm allows the user to specify the simulation grid dynamically to fit available computer resources, and, e.g., use the original geomodel as input for flow simulations. This is of great importance since coarse grid-generation is normally the most time-consuming part of an upscaling phase, and therefore the main obstacle that has prevented simulation workflows with user-defined resolution. We apply the coarsening algorithm to a series of two-phase flow problems on both structured (Cartesian) and unstructured grids. The numerical results demonstrate that one consistently obtains significantly more accurate results using the proposed non-uniform coarsening strategy than with corresponding uniform coarse grids with roughly the same number of cells.     

湛江港邻近海域台风浪的模拟研究

对第三代近岸海浪数值模式SWAN及包含的物理过程进行了简要介绍，利用该模式对影响南海湛江港海域的二次台风浪过程进行了模拟研究：由藤田台风风场模型同化相应时刻的台风要素、NCAR/NCEP网格点资料、单站观测资料后，提供模式所需风场；利用自嵌套的方式，提供模式波谱边界条件；两次模拟结果与实际海浪观测资料相符较好，可以为该海域台风浪的模拟预报提供较为重要的参考。     

Shape Similarity measures of Linear Entities

The essential of feature matching technology lies in how to measure the similarity of spatial entities.Among all the possible similarity measures,the shape similarity measure is one of the most important measures because it is easy to collect the necessary parameters and it is also well matched with the human intuition.In this paper a new shape similarity measure of linear entities based on the differences of direction change along each line is presented and its effectiveness is illustrated.     

基于等高线数据的地性线追踪技术研究

通过研究特征点的提取技术和建立系统的特征点匹配的数学模型，研究了基于矢量等高线数据的地性线的自动追踪技术，利用所述方法，提取的特征点完整，准确；理论和实验表明，所建立的数学模型简捷，实用，有可靠的数学理论基础，且地性线追踪效果良好。     

城市交通网络面向对象的时空数据模型研究

原有的城市交通网络数据模型无法对大比例地图中道路的面状特征进行描述。本文引入面向对象的时空数据模型 ,把各种实体作为对象 ,把道路作为面状要素描述。作为面状要素的道路对象直接继承原有道路的非空间特征 ,通过道路中心线对象和交点对象来继承原有线状要素的道路特征 ,包括网络关系和叠加关系等 ,通过车道段对象来增加作为面状要素的道路特征     

Delaunay三角网内插特征点算法研究

在Delaunay三角剖分网的基础上，对内插特征点算法进行了研究，提出了一种快速内插点算法。根据本算法的特点，提出了一种快速确定点所在的三角形的方法。     

闽台地震速报技术研究

本文通过系统地分析台网正式运行以来记录到主要的网内、网缘、网外地震的各种震相特征和定位参数 ,总结研究各区的震相特征、台站记录状况和震级的误差 ,力争提高台网地震速报的速度和精度。