基于遗传算法优化BP神经网络的玉米遥感估产方法

以内蒙古自治区开鲁县玉米作物为研究对象,将生育期内玉米遥感影像所提取的多种植被指数和实地采样点的测产数据作为训练值,利用BP(back propagation)神经网络和遗传算法优化BP(GA-BP)神经网络估产模型,得出网络预测的玉米产量数值。通过决定系数R 2和均方根误差RMSE,比较实测产量与预测产量之间的精度,BP神经网络模型R^2为0.8452,RMSE(%)为28.37;遗传算法优化BP神经网络模型R^2为0.9850,RMSE(%)为6.70,表明遗传算法优化BP神经网络估产模型具有一定可行性和可信度。     

济宁地区水稻生产与气象因子关系分析

利用济宁市３１年的水稻产量和气象资料，分析了水稻生产的不同气候年型、产量与气象因子的关系，找出了影响产量变异的着急时期和主导气象因子及其时间变化规律，并探讨了相应的对策措施。     

农产物产量预报模式管理应用系统的软件设计

为更加系统有效地开展农作物产量预报工作，研制了《农作物产量预报模式管理咨询应用服务系统》，可将各种类型的已建产量预报模式归入档入库，为用户提供咨询服务并自动实现预报结果输出     

主要作物产量分离方法比较

对作物产量进行分离是分析气象因子对产量影响的重要步骤之一。以1985—2018年江苏省24个县（市）水稻统计产量为基础,分别采用3年滑动平均法、5年滑动平均法、五点二次平滑法、二次指数平滑法、HP滤波法和年际增量法对作物产量进行分离。从趋势产量与气象产量两方面比较6种方法的一致性与差异性,将分离出的气象产量与典型年增减产记录对比,选出更能准确捕获气象因子导致产量变异的方法,利用气象因子与产量关系的合理性对选定的方法进行检验。结果表明：就趋势产量拟合而言,前5种方法（年际增量法不能模拟趋势产量）均能较好地拟合趋势产量,与研究区域的趋势产量的一致性相关系数绝大多数为较好和极好等级范围;就气象产量而言,HP滤波法和年际增量法分离气象产量的合理性较差,标准差明显大于其他方法。综合看,3年滑动平均法与五点二次平滑法更具有普适性,可以捕获整个地区绝大多数典型年份气象因子带来的产量变化。     

Application of <Superscript>137</Superscript>Cs fingerprinting technique to interpreting sediment production records from reservoir deposits in a small catchment of the Hilly Loess Plateau,China

According to variations of 137Cs and clay contents, 44 flood couplets were identified in a profile of reservoir deposit with a vertical length of 28.12 m in the Yuntaishan Gully. Couplet 27 at the middle of the profile had the highest average 137Cs content of 12.65 Bq kg-1, which indicated the 1963s' deposits, then 137Cs content decreased both downward and upward in the profile. The second top and bottom couplets had average 137Cs contents of 2.15 Bq kg-1 and 0.92 Bq kg-1, respectively. By integrated analysis of reservoir construction and management history, variations of 137Cs contents over the profile, sediment yields of flood couplets and rainfall data during the period of 1958-1970, individual storms related to the flood couplets were identified. 44 floods with a total sediment yield of 2.36×104 m3 occurred and flood events in a year varied between 1 and 10 times during the period of 1960-1970. 7-10 flood events occurred during the wet period of 1961-1964 with very wet autumn, while only 1-2 events during the dry period of 1965-1969. Average annual specific sediment yield was 1.29×104 t km-2 a-1 for the Yuntaishan Gully during the period of 1960-1970, which was slightly higher than 1.11 ×104 t km-2 a-1 for the Upper Yanhe River Basin above the Ganguyi Hydrological Station and slightly lower than 1.40 ×104 t km-2 a-1 for the nearby Zhifang Gully during the same period. Annual specific sediment yields for the Yuntaishan Gully were correlated to the wet season's rainfalls well.     

水分胁迫/复水对谷子光合特性及产量影响

以谷子品种大金苗为研究对象,采用遮雨棚控水的大田试验方法,比较孕穗开花期和灌浆期水分胁迫/复水对叶片光合特性及产量影响,分析光合速率的限制因素,阐述光合速率、水分利用效率与产量的协同关系。结果表明：水分胁迫会导致谷子光合速率和产量下降,水分利用效率提高,随胁迫增强和持续时间延长,光合速率和产量下降幅度增大;水分胁迫后复水后,光合性能有所恢复,光合作用可产生补偿效应,水分胁迫越强和持续时间越长,补偿效应越低;轻度和持续时间短的水分胁迫,光合速率降低主要由气孔因素决定,随胁迫增强和持续时间延长,非气孔限制逐渐成为光合速率下降的主要原因;与孕穗开花期相比较,灌浆期水分胁迫对光合速率的影响更大且复水后光合性能恢复能力更低,光合速率与产量的协同关系更明显,产量对灌浆期水分胁迫更敏感。     

硬脆性大理岩拉剪破坏特征与屈服准则研究

岩土工程中常用的屈服准则多以压缩剪切为其破坏机制,然而硬脆性岩体的脆性破坏包括拉伸破坏、张拉剪切破坏和压缩剪切破坏3类,且随着岩体工程向深部发展,张拉剪切破坏成为了洞壁围岩的主要破坏机制。针对此问题,开展了硬脆性大理岩的室内拉剪试验,分析了大理岩拉剪破坏特征,并结合压剪试验结果,建立了考虑张拉剪切破坏机制和应力状态影响的Mohr-Coulomb准则。研究结果表明,硬脆性大理岩破裂面在拉剪应力状态和低正应力压剪应力状态下均具有张拉剪切破坏特征,高正应力压剪应力状态下则只具有压缩剪切滑移特征;拉剪应力状态下,大理岩破裂面张拉破坏特征明显,无明显剪切痕迹,剪切力固定时,剪切位移随着轴向拉力增加而增加;凝聚力和内摩擦角受应力状态影响,凝聚力随正应力增大先减小后增大,内摩擦角则随正应力的增大而减小;凝聚力、内摩擦角随正应力的变化趋势可分为4段,拉剪段、低压应力段、中压应力段和高压应力段,每段的凝聚力、内摩擦角与正应力皆可认为是线性关系,靠近抗拉强度处,内摩擦角趋近90°,凝聚力趋于无穷大;考虑张拉剪切破坏机制和应力状态影响的Mohr-Coulomb准则曲线分为两部分,可采用二次抛物线进行拟合的拉剪段和考虑凝聚力、内摩擦角随正应力演化的压剪段,由此建立的Mohr-Coulomb准则更全面、精度也更高。     

Response of fish communities in rivers subjected to a high sediment load

Erosion and sediment yield are a significant problem in the Guadalquivir River basin. Such phenomena are largely driven by a land use devoted to intensive cultivation of olive trees, with a large socioeconomic influence in Andalusia. This sediment overload in rivers causes serious impacts on all fluvial ecosystem components.In this study we assess the chronic effect of sediment yield on fish communities at 104 river sites located in two different sub-catchments – the Bembézar and Guadajoz rivers – both with different lithological composition and erosion rates. Sediment yield was estimated using a semi-quantitative Factorial Score Model (FSM), developed specifically for Spanish rivers. The fish populations of both basins were evaluated in composition and abundances by the study of Fernández-Delgado et al., 2014. The influence of sediment yield on the fish community was analyzed using General Additive Models.The sediment yield was higher in the Guadajoz basin (921 T/Km2 per year) than in Bembézar (701 T/Km2 per year). In the former, fish communities were poorer in both fish density and diversity, with Luciobarbus sclateri as the only substantially present species and a significant relationship between sediment yield and load, and fish density. In contrast, in the Bembézar basin, sediment yield was correlated with total fish density, including Luciobarbus sclateri, Pseudochondrostoma willkommii, Cobitis paludica, Iberochondrostoma lemmingii, Anaecypris hispanica, and Cyprinus carpio. Intermediate values of sediment yield led to maximum densities, while those higher decreased the density of these species.     

基于性能的抗震设计方法在剪力墙结构中的应用

本文对基于性能的抗震设计方法中最具有代表性的直接基于位移的设计方法在剪力墙结构中的应用进行了研究。采用结构非线性分析程序探讨了墙厚、混凝土强度等级、纵筋配筋率、钢筋级别、轴压比、墙长等因素对单肢剪力墙屈服位移的影响,从而对现有的屈服曲率计算公式进行了改进。另外将按顶点荷载作用下的屈服位移计算公式求出的屈服位移与实际倒三角形荷载作用下的剪力墙屈服位移进行了比较,,从而推导出倒三角形荷载作用下的屈服位移计算公式。     

Long-term bed load transport rate based on aerial-photo and ground penetrating radar surveys of fan-delta growth, Coast Mountains, British Columbia

Sequential aerial photography, sonar bathymetry, ground-penetrating radar (GPR), and sediment sampling and analysis provide the basis for calculating the volumetric and mass rate of progradation of the delta of Fitzsimmons Creek, a steep, high-energy, debris-flow-dominated channel draining about 100 km² of the southern Coast Mountains of British Columbia. Fitzsimmons Creek is typical of small mountain rivers in the region. GPR imaging is used to define the pre-depositional morphology of the receiving basin, a technique that improves the accuracy of the volumetric survey. The 52-year record (1947–1999) of progradation yielded an average annual volumetric transport rate of 1.00±0.16×10⁴ m³ year⁻¹ for bed load, corresponding to a mass transport rate of 1.60±0.28×10⁴ Mg year⁻¹. Bed load yields are consistent with those obtained in hydrogeomorphically similar basins in the region and elsewhere. Decade-based annual rates, which vary from 0.64±0.11×10⁴ to 2.85±0.38×10⁴ Mg year⁻¹, provide poor estimates of the 52-year average. Indeed, the 52-year record may also not be long enough to fully integrate the significant fluctuations in the sediment efflux from Fitzsimmons Creek. The methodology proposed in this paper can be transferred to other comparable mountain environments worldwide.