根据i—f—j模式估计山西平陆地区的长期强震潜势

山西省平陆地区位于山西地震带南端，为了分析该地区未来的长期强需求潜势，本较系统地分析当地的破坏性地震及１５００年以来的有地震地震资料，并进一步应用中国在陆特征的地震轮回模式及其复发时间概率模型估算法当前特征地震轮回的平均时间间隔，以及从１９９５年起未来百年内复发强震的概率，结果表明：未来１００年来该地区复发强震的危险性很高，未来５０年内复发强震的危险性也不能排除。     

福建地壳运动观测网络观测成果初步分析

利用最新GAMIT软件,对福建省地壳运动观测网络的厦门、福州、泉州、龙岩、南平5个GPS基准站2004年3月1日至2005年3月6日的观测资料在ITRF2000全球坐标系统框架下,使用IGS精密星历数据及其核心观测站的坐标和运动速率为控制参数进行了统一解算,并利用GLOBK软件进行联合平差,得到了5个测站的观测精度。结果表明,福建地区形变南强北弱、东强西弱,且该地区随中国大陆较均匀地向SE（SEE）方向运动。     

野外型断层活动连续监测系统

介绍野外型断层活动连续监测系统的组成、布设及主要技术指标。     

立交桥曲线箱梁动力分析模型

提出了1种双脊骨空间有限元模型,用来模拟和分析立交桥曲线箱梁的固有振动特性和动力反应。将曲线箱梁分别看作是由空间梁或壳组成的空间结构,并分别采用分段空间直梁模型、壳元模型和实体元模型进行模拟,分析相同曲线箱梁的振动特性和地震时程反应,通过与双脊骨模型的计算结果的比较验证双脊骨模型的可靠性。初步研究了在相同曲率半径下不同跨度的曲线箱梁的固有振动特性,分析了双脊骨模型的脊骨间距、横向连接间距等参数对模型计算结果的影响。研究结果可为曲线梁桥抗震性能和地震反应分析提供参考。     

基于复合方法的天水盆地宽频带地震动模拟

本文采用有限差分和随机振动合成结合的复合方法,模拟了当礼县—罗家堡断裂发生矩震级Mw7.7级大地震时,在天水盆地产生的宽频带地震动场,分析了在设定地震条件下盆地内的地震动分布特征,为该区黄土地震滑坡分析提供了地震动参数结果。结果显示:(1)有限差分法和随机振动合成法可以很好地互补,得到盆地内地表宽频带地震动;(2)地震在盆地区域产生了强烈地震动,PGA(峰值加速度)介于150~900 gal,离断层较近的区域东南角的PGA最大,随着断层距的增加,PGA逐渐减小。河谷南侧的PGA值相比北侧较大,具备诱发滑坡的强大动力条件;(3)盆地区域PGV(峰值速度)最大为120 cm/s。受第四系覆盖层放大效应和地形放大效应共同影响,水平向地震动在盆地区域东侧和中部具有较大PGV,而西侧PGV相对较小。竖向地震动在盆地区域东侧较弱,而在中部和西侧较强,特别是最西侧陡峭的山坡上,PGV达到了最大值。此外,竖向地震动明显受到覆盖层厚度的影响,譬如在盆地区域南侧的中间部位,也具有较大的PGV。     

澜沧—耿马地震的震源机制研究

本文利用中国数字化地震台网（CDSN）记录的2°—40°范围内的长周期P波垂直分量波形资料,通过理论地震图拟合的方法,研究了1988年云南澜沧—耿马地震主震及两个余震的震源机制.结果表明,主震由三个震源机制不尽相同的子事件组成.第一个子事件的震源机制为:走向N30°W,倾角88°,错动角185°,地震矩为0.55×1020Nm.第二个子事件的震源机制为:走向N33°W,倾角90°,错动角209°,地震矩0.24×1020Nm,延迟时间为25s.第三个子事件的震源机制为:走向N65°W,倾角82°,错动角172°,地震矩为0.14×1020Nm,延迟时间为70s.这种在空间上相距甚小而在时间上有分离、子事件的震源机制相差较为显著的复杂震源过程,与现场综合考察所见的地表裂缝分布一致,可以解释为单一裂缝的X型共轭剪切破裂,两个余震震源机制均为:走向N10°W,倾角86°,错动角185°,地震矩分别为0.54×1018Nm和4.29×1018Nm.     

Stochastic Response Analysis of Piled Offshore Platform Excited by Stationary Filtered White Noise

In this paper,the analysis method of stochastic response of piled offshore platform excited bystationary filtered white noise is presented.With this method,the strong ground motion is considered asthree direction stationary filtered white noise process,the theoretic solutions of three special integrationequations are derived with the residue theorem,and the expression of response nodal displacements andmember forces of offshore platform excited by the stationary filtered white noise is put forward.Thestochastic response of a piled offshore platform excited by the stationary filtered white noise,which is lo-cated 114.3m in water depth,is computed.The results are compared with those obtained with the re-sponse spectrum analysis method and the stationary white noise model analysis method,and the corre-sponding conclusion is drawn.     

Shallow seismic refraction analysis: Application to studying the active North Sakhalin fault

Results are presented from a seismic refraction survey (P-S waves) carried out in different years on recent faults of North Sakhalin. Structural features of the near-surface zone of active faults with different types of tectonic motions and their imaging in seismic fields are demonstrated. Criteria for estimating the activity of the studied tectonic disruption are proposed.     

地基 结构系统地震响应的突变模型分析

由拉格朗日方程导出地基 结构系统地震响应分析的动力方程，利用突变模型分析了系统对地震响应的复杂过程，并分析了振幅响应的跳跃现象和“路径”效应等非线性动力特性，得出了有意义的结论。分析结果对地基 结构系统的参数设计有一定的参考价值。     

Variations in wave direction estimated using first and second order Fourier coefficients

In most design applications such as alignment of the berthing structure and breakwater alignment, it becomes necessary to determine the direction of design wave. There are two different approaches to determine wave direction. One involves the use of first order Fourier coefficients (mean wave direction) while the other uses second order Fourier coefficients (principal wave direction). Both the average wave direction over the entire frequency range (0.03–0.58 Hz) and the direction corresponding to the peak frequency are used in practice. In the present study, comparison is made on wave directions estimated based on first and second order Fourier coefficients using data collected at four locations in the west and east coasts of India. Study shows that at all locations, the mean and principal wave directions for frequencies ranging from 0.07 to 0.25 Hz (±0.5 times peak frequency) co-vary with a correlation coefficient of 0.99 but at lower and higher frequencies, difference between the parameters is large. Average difference between the mean wave direction at peak frequency and the average over the frequency related to spectral energy more than 20% of maximum value is less, around 13°. Study shows that average difference in the sea and swell directions is around 39°.