MULTI-TIMESCALE VARIATIONS OF SOMALI JET AND ITS RELATION WITH PRECIPITATION IN CHINA

Based on the ERA reanalysis winds data, the multi-time scale variations of Somali jet are analyzed synthetically. The jet’s influences on rainfall in China on interannual, interdecadal and sub-monthly scales are also studied using correlation and composite analyses. The results demonstrate that the interdecadal variations of the jet are significant.The Somali jet became weaker in the 1960 s and became the weakest in the early 1970 s before enhancing slowly in the late 1970 s. Moreover, the relation between the Somali jet and summer precipitation in China is close, but varies on different timescales. Preliminary analysis shows that the intensity variations in May and June during the early days of establishment are well correlated with summer precipitation in China. The Somali jet intensity on the interdecadal scale is closely related with interdecadal variations of the precipitation in China. Regardless of leading or contemporaneous correlation, the correlations between the Somali jet intensity and the rainfall in northern and southern China show obvious interdecadal variations. Moreover, the link between the anomalies of the jet intensity in May-August and precipitation evolution on synoptic scale in China is further studied. China has more rainfall with positive anomalies of the Somali jet but less rainfall with negative anomalies during the active period of the jet. The influence of positive Somali jet anomalies on China precipitation is more evident.     

冬季北太平洋海气环流年代际异常的统计动力诊断

本文对冬季北太平洋大气和大洋环流做了联合复经验正交函数(CEOF)分解和小波分析, 并分别讨论了第一、二模态的年代际变化及其与海表温度异常(SSTA)年代际变化(PDO、NPGO模态)的关系, 得到以下主要结论:第一、二模态对时间系数的分析显示, 其与PDO、NPGO指数的相关性较高, 且小波分析表明其分别具有明显的准22、12年的年代际变化周期, 这与PDO、NPGO模态的周期相同;第一、二模态时间系数对北太平洋SSTA的回归分析表明, 其回归系数场的空间分布分别与PDO、NPGO的十分接近。第一、二模态空间场中大气环流异常分别类似于海平面气压异常(SLPA)的AL、NPO模态, 可分称其为AL、NPO的风场模;而大洋环流异常则分别相应于SSTA的PDO、NPGO模态, 可称其为PDO、NPGO的流场模。由第一、二模态近表层流场异常得到的垂直运动空间分布分别与PDO、NPGO的空间结构相似, 说明海洋上层海盆尺度大洋环流引起的垂直运动所导致的海温动力变化是形成PDO、NPGO的重要原因, 而大洋环流异常扮演着中介角色。     

Variations and statistical probability characteristic analysis of extreme precipitation events under climate change in Haihe River Basin,China

The magnitude and frequency of regional extreme precipitation events may have variability under climate change. This study investigates the time–space variability and statistical probability characteristics of extreme precipitation under climate change in the Haihe River Basin. Hydrological alteration diagnosis methods are implemented to detect the occurrence time, style and degree of alteration such as trend and jump in the extreme precipitation series, and stationarity and serial independence are tested prior to frequency analysis. Then, the historical extreme precipitation frequency and spatio‐temporal variations analyses are conducted via generalized extreme value and generalized Pareto distributions. Furthermore, the occurrence frequency of extreme precipitation events in future is analysed on the basis of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change multi‐mode climate models under different greenhouse gases emission scenarios (SRES‐A2, A1B and B1). Results indicate that (1) in the past, alteration of extreme precipitation mainly occurred in the area north of 38°N. Decreasing trends of extreme precipitation are detected at most stations, whereas jump alteration is not obvious at most stations. (2) Spatial variation of estimated extreme precipitation under different return periods shows similarity. Bounded by the Taihang Mountain–Yan Mountain, extreme rainfall in the Haihe River Basin gradually reduces from the southeast to the northwest, which is consistent with the geographical features of the Haihe River Basin. (3) In the future, extreme precipitation with return period 5–20 years accounts for a significant portion of the total occurrence times. The frequency of extreme precipitation events has an increase trend under A1B and A2 scenarios. The total occurrence times of extreme precipitation under A1B senario are not more than that under B1 senario until the 2030s. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

论重力归算

利用构造参考地球模型的观点解释重力归算的物理意义。通过对不同模型的比较表明,厘米级大地水准面的确定必须考虑地球内部质量分布的不均匀性，且密度数据的精度应达到0.001 g/cm ³。     

重力极潮的小波分析

分别分析Brussels台站的观测记录,首先扣除数据序列中的合成潮得到重力残差,接着用小波带通滤波器将残差滤波,得到256～512 d时间尺度上的序列,然后运用最小二乘法估算Chandler和周年项的潮汐因子.由于小波滤波器能更有效地消除仪器漂移,计算结果具有更小的均方差,更加可靠.     

Comment on " Volume of magma accumulation or withdrawal estimated from surface uplift or subsidence, with application to the 1960 collapse of Kīlauea volcano" by P. T. Delaney and D. F. McTigue

 In volcanoes that store a significant quantity of magma within a subsurface summit reservoir, such as Kīlauea, bulk compression of stored magma is an important mode of deformation. Accumulation of magma is also accompanied by crustal deformation, usually manifested at the surface as uplift. These two modes of deformation – bulk compression of resident magma and deformation of the volcanic edifice – act in concert to accommodate the volume of newly added magma. During deflation, the processes reverse and reservoir magma undergoes bulk decompression, the chamber contracts, and the ground surface subsides. Because magma compression plays a role in creating subsurface volume to accommodate magma, magma budget estimates that are derived from surface uplift observations without consideration of magma compression will underestimate actual magma volume changes. Received: 30 September 1998 / Accepted: 27 July 1999     

Variation Characteristics of Ambient NMHCs at Shangdianzi and Lin''an Regional GAW Sites

In order to study the variation characteristics of concentration of the atmospheric non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) in background area of China, the atmospheric concentrations of NMHCs were measured at Lin'an (LA) regional GAW (Global Atmosphere Watch) Station (30°250'N , 119° 440'E; 132.0 m ASL)and Shangdianzi (SDZ) regional GAW Station (40°190'N , 117°07'E; 286.5 m ASL) with the sorbent sorption/thermal desorption/gas chromatographic method. Totally 145 samples were collected during the period of October 2003 and July 2004. Among the 52 NMHC species of C2-C10 detected there were 26 alkanes,17 alkenes, and 9 aromatics. The average concentrations of total NMHCs (TNMHCs) at LA and SDZ were(238.5±126.0) 10-9C and (278.7±185.5) 10-9C, respectively. The results showed the ambient concentrations of TNMHCs at LA regional GAW Station increased notably over the last decade. The compositions of NMHCs at SDZ and LA were relatively similar. The proportions of alkanes, alkenes, and aromatics for SDZ and LA were in ranges of (27.3±4.0)%, (10.3±3.5)%, and (62.5±4.8)%,respectively, with features of vehicle exhaust emissions. The concentrations of NMHCs at the two sites showed obvious diurnal and seasonal variations. The TNMHC concentrations in October-November were high at the two sites, and relatively low in April and July. The diurnal variation patterns at the sites were different. The high TNMHC concentrations at SDZ normally appeared in evening and night, but appeared in morning at LA. The TNMHCs concentrations at the two sites were significantly influenced by the meteorological condition. The high TNMHC concentration associated with the local wind from the urban areas or trafic in upper reaches.     

Transfer of carbon dioxide and methane through the soil‐water‐atmosphere system at Mer Bleue peatland,Canada

Surface waters associated with peatlands, supersaturated with CO₂ and CH₄ with respect to the atmosphere, act as important pathways linking a large and potentially unstable global repository of C to the atmosphere. Understanding the drivers and mechanisms which control C release from peatland systems to the atmosphere will contribute to better management and modelling of terrestrial C pools. We used non‐dispersive infra‐red (NDIR) CO₂ sensors to continuously measure gas concentrations in a beaver pond at Mer Bleue peatland (Canada); measurements were made between July and August 2007. Concentrations of CO₂ in the surface water (10 cm) reached 13 mg C l^?1 (epCO₂ 72), and 26 mg C l^?1 (epCO₂ 133) at depth (60 cm). The study also showed large diurnal fluctuations in dissolved CO₂ which ranged in amplitude from ～1·6 mg C l^?1 at 10 cm to ～0·2 mg C l^?1 at 60 cm depth. CH₄ concentration and supersaturation (epCH₄) measured using headspace analysis averaged 1·47 mg C l^?1 and 3252, respectively; diurnal cycling was also evident in CH₄ concentrations. Mean estimated evasion rates of CO₂ and CH₄ over the summer period were 44·92 ± 7·86 and 0·44 ± 0·25 µg C m^?2s^?1, respectively. Open water at Mer Bleue is a significant summer hotspot for greenhouse gas emissions within the catchment. Our results suggest that CO₂ concentrations during the summer in beaver ponds at Mer Bleue are strongly influenced by biological processes within the water column involving aquatic plants and algae (in situ photosynthesis and respiration). In terms of carbon cycling, soil‐stream connectivity at this time of year is therefore relatively weak. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

SMALL项目数字化地磁资料可靠性分析

在对中美合作 SMALL (中国低纬地磁台阵 )项目安装在北京地磁台 (白家疃 )和云南通海地磁台的磁通门磁力仪记录资料与磁变仪模拟记录资料进行了详细的对比分析后 ,得出的结果表明 ,两者的日变形态、日变幅有较好的一致性 ,所选特定事件的变化幅度非常一致 ,说明磁通门磁力仪记录到的变化磁场的资料是真实可靠的。尽管目前磁通门磁力仪的基线值存在温度影响和离散度较大的问题 ,但随温度变化有明显的规律性 ,若能采取改进观测条件和观测方法以及缩短观测时间等措施 ,并对基线值进温度校正 ,磁通门磁力仪完全可以提供长期连续可靠的资料。而其为地震预报 ,空间环境预报 ,为日地物理 ,空间物理和地磁学的研究提供的高精度、高分辨率、连续可靠的数字化变化磁场资料是磁变仪模拟记录无法比拟的。     

Diurnal variation of urban structure in terms of time distance: A spatio-temporal analysis of an urban area

The purpose of this paper is to clarify the diurnal variations in structure of an urban area from the viewpoint of time distance. To accomplish this, for one entire day, and for the morning, noon, and evening periods, time maps are delineated by using MDS; also, the indices of accessibility and circuity are computed from the time distances. As a result, the difference in shape between the time and actual maps becomes clear especially in the morning and also in the evening. Both the accessibility and circuity measured from the time distance show a concentrically shaped pattern where the regional disparity is especially distinct within the morning and evening periods. The diurnal variations as described above are thought to occur against the backdrop of the topological traffic conditions within the study area. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.