中国地震台网监测能力评估和台站检测能力评分(2008—2015年)

针对中国地震台网"十五"项目建成后的地震监测能力科学评估的需求,为进一步优化台网布局、提升边疆海域等重点地区监测能力,本研究利用"基于概率的完整性震级"（PMC）方法,对中国地震台网1001个台站以及2008-10-01-2015-09-17期间实际产出的地震观测资料进行了研究,分析了指定震级档下的检测概率P_E和最小完整性震级M_P的分布.除台网整体监测能力分布外,为直观地用单分值表述逐个台站的地震检测能力,本文发展了基于等振幅曲线的"地震检测能力评分表",给出了国家台和区域台每个台站的地震检测能力评分统计特征和空间分布特征.此外,研究中还采用设定"最佳"地震监测能力目标函数的方式,模拟了通过改进观测条件可获得的地震台网监测能力提升的理论结果.研究结果表明,我国华北和东南沿海等东部地区地震监测能力较高,西部尤其是青藏高原南部地区M_p仅约为4.5,近海海域M_p仅约为3.5;从单个地震台站的运行效益角度,台网运行水平和地震观测资料的分析程度对台站的实际的地震检测能力影响显著,新疆等部分台站稀疏地区地震检测能力较高,而中等台站密度的贵州等部分区域相对较低;国家台的地震检测能力评分D_score系统优于区域台,新疆等西部边疆地区,以及福建等东南沿海地区的D_score明显高于台站密集的东部地区;模拟结果显示,在现有台站布局条件下,通过台站优化改造和提升运维管理水平,可显著提升对内蒙古西部、四川西部、甘肃-青海的北部交界地区、鄂尔多斯地块内部、贵州大部分地区,以及我国近海海域、朝鲜半岛北部和中南半岛北部地区的地震监测能力.     

基于不等式约束的三维电阻率探测混合反演方法

三维电阻率探测的线性反演和非线性反演中均存在着多解性的固有难题.电阻率线性反演方法的效率较高,但反演结果对初始模型的依赖性较强,易陷入局部极小;而非线性反演方法不依赖初始模型,但搜索效率极低,尚未见到关于三维电阻率非线性反演的文献.针对上述问题,融合线性与非线性反演方法的互补优势,提出了最小二乘法(线性方法)与改进遗传算法(非线性方法)相结合的混合反演方法的概念和思想.首先,提出了将介质电阻率变化范围作为不等式约束引入反演方程的思路,以实现压制多解性、提高可靠性的目标.提出了宽松不等式约束和基于钻孔推断的局部严格不等式约束的获取及定义方法.在此基础上,分别提出了基于不等式约束的最小二乘线性反演方法和遗传算法非线性反演方法.其次,对于遗传算法在变异搜索方向控制、初始群体产生等方面进行了改进,优化了其搜索方向和初始群体多样性.然后,提出了混合反演方法及其实现方案,利用改进遗传算法进行第一阶段反演,发挥其对初始模型的依赖程度低的优势,搜索到最优解附近的空间,输出当前最优个体;利用最小二乘法进行第二阶段反演,将遗传算法得到的当前最优个体作为初始模型,在最优解附近空间执行高效率的局部线性搜索,最终实现地电结构的三维成像.最后,开展了合成数据与实际工程算例验证,与传统最小二乘方法进行了对比,发现混合反演方法在压制多解性、摆脱初始模型依赖和提高反演效果方面有较好效果.     

Bayesian probabilistic damage detection of a reinforced‐concrete bridge column

A Bayesian probabilistic approach for damage detection has been proposed for the continuous monitoring of civil structures (Sohn H, Law KH. Bayesian probabilistic approach for structure damage detection. Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics 1997; 26 :1259–1281). This paper describes the application of the Bayesian approach to predict the location of plastic hinge deformation using the experimental data obtained from the vibration tests of a reinforced‐concrete bridge column. The column was statically pushed incrementally with lateral displacements until a plastic hinge is fully formed at the bottom portion of the column. Vibration tests were performed at different damage stages. The proposed damage detection method was able to locate the damaged region using a simplified analytical model and the modal parameters estimated from the vibration tests, although (1) only the first bending and first torsional modes were estimated from the experimental test data, (2) the locations where the accelerations were measured did not coincide with the degrees of freedom of the analytical model, and (3) there existed discrepancies between the undamaged test structure and the analytical model. The Bayesian framework was able to systematically update the damage probabilities when new test data became available. Better diagnosis was obtained by employing multiple data sets than just by using each test data set separately. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

ETM+卫星影像极地云层检测及分析

云一直是遥感图像预处理和分析中的一大难点,本文在分析南极地区成像特点的基础上,试图利用增强型主题成像传感器(ETM+)获取影像的多波段特点,对南极格罗夫山地区ETM+卫星影像进行云的检测。结果表明,该方法不仅能比较成功地检测极地云层像元,而且能有效地去除部分厚云的影响。     

Determination of land degradation causes in Tongyu County,Northeast China via land cover change detection

Tongyu County in Northeast China is highly prone to land degradation due to its fragile physical settings characterized by a flat topography, a semi-arid climate, and a shallow groundwater table. This study aims to determine the causes of land degradation through detecting the long-term trend of land cover changes. Degraded lands were mapped from satellite images recorded in 1992 and 2002. These land cover maps revealed that the area subject to land degradation in the form of soil salinization, waterlogging and desertification increased from 2400 to 4214 km², in sharp contrast to most severely degraded land that decreased by 122.5 km². Newly degraded land stems from productive farmland (263 km²), harvested farmland (551 km²), and grassland (468 km²). Therefore, the worsened degradation situation is attributed to excessive reclamation of grassland for farming, over cultivation, overgrazing, and deforestation. Mechanical, biological, ecological and engineering means should be adopted to rehabilitate the degraded land.     

一种基于高斯马尔可夫随机场的异常目标探测方法

利用高斯马尔可夫随机场模型描述像元的邻域相关性信息,并将这种邻域信息引入到局域异常探测器中,提出了一种顾及邻域信息的高光谱遥感影像局域异常目标探测算法。实验证明,该方法克服了传统异常探测方法仅仅利用光谱信息的不足,比经典的RX算法的探测效果更好,并且可以更有效地探测出大于一个像元的异常目标。     

僵尸网络在线检测技术研究

僵尸网络为平台的攻击发展迅速,当前大多数的检测方法是通过分析历史网络流量信息来发现特定协议的僵尸网络,难以满足实时需要,且不能通用。针对这种情况,提出了一种独立于控制协议与结构的僵尸网络在线检测技术,能够从网络流量数据中快速检测出可疑僵尸主机。模拟实验结果表明,该技术能够高效地实现僵尸网络在线检测。     

张量分类算法的遥感影像目标探测

提出了一种基于张量学习机的遥感影像目标探测方法。该方法基于张量数据模型和张量代数运算, 针对遥感影像数据多维或高维的特点, 将基于向量的监督法学习机扩展为基于张量的监督法学习机, 然后利用凸函数最优化理论和交互投影迭代法求得张量学习机的最优解。最后分别以高光谱遥感影像和高分辨率遥感影像为例, 使用张量学习机进行目标探测。实验表明, 与支持向量机等方法相比, 本文的方法在保持较高探测成功率的同时更好的抑制了虚警。     

引入PLSA模型的光学遥感图像舰船检测

提出一种基于概率潜在语义分析(Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis,PLSA)的检测算法,首先通过PLSA将目标表述为潜在成分的概率组合,然后利用统计模式识别方法对获取的潜在成分概率进行判别,从而完成最终的检测。其中,生成的潜在成分反映了目标与特征之间相互出现的频率关系,并以潜在成分在目标中概率差异的形式对上述不对应现象给出了直观描述。实验结果表明,所提出的算法对多种复杂情况下的光学图像舰船检测具有很好的准确性和鲁棒性。     

国家1:50000数据库更新工程总体设计研究与技术创新

为了全面提高1:50000数据库的信息现势性和要素完整性,我国"十一五"期间组织实施了国家1:50000数据库更新工程.介绍该工程总体技术研究与技术创新工作,包括研究设计以地形数据全要素更新、全区域变化检测和全过程质量控制为主要特征的1:50000数据库全面更新模式,研究提出符合我国大面积快速更新实际需要的缩编更新优先、影像一体化更新为主的主体更新方法,设计研制规模化更新所需的生产技术系统,制定配套的生产技术规定,建立规模化更新生产业务体系,并在全国大规模更新生产中广泛使用.

Abstract：

The currency of geographic data refers to its consistency with respect to the real world, and plays a criti-cal role in geographic information service and applications. In order to improve the quality of geographic informa-tion service, State Bureau of Surveying and Mapping of China had launched a five year's national campaign to up-date 1 : 50000 topographic database. This paper outlines the master design and technical development of this na-tional updating engineering, which adopts a full coverage updating strategy characterized by all element topo-graphic data modeling, change detection in all related areas, and whole process data quality controlling. High resolution image-based updating and large-scale data generalization-based updating were developed and used as two majors updating techniques, a series of technical production specifications were made, Based on the above, a technical system for large scale updating production, mainly including image based updating software and data generalization based updating software, has been developed and equipped to a large number of production units. The new technical pro-duction system has been successfully implemented in national campaign to update 1 : 50000 topographic database.