Logic-tree Approach for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis and its Applications to the Japanese Coasts

For Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA), we propose a logic-tree approach to construct tsunami hazard curves (relationship between tsunami height and probability of exceedance) and present some examples for Japan for the purpose of quantitative assessments of tsunami risk for important coastal facilities. A hazard curve is obtained by integration over the aleatory uncertainties, and numerous hazard curves are obtained for different branches of logic-tree representing epistemic uncertainty. A PTHA consists of a tsunami source model and coastal tsunami height estimation. We developed the logic-tree models for local tsunami sources around Japan and for distant tsunami sources along the South American subduction zones. Logic-trees were made for tsunami source zones, size and frequency of tsunamigenic earthquakes, fault models, and standard error of estimated tsunami heights. Numerical simulation rather than empirical relation was used for estimating the median tsunami heights. Weights of discrete branches that represent alternative hypotheses and interpretations were determined by the questionnaire survey for tsunami and earthquake experts, whereas those representing the error of estimated value were determined on the basis of historical data. Examples of tsunami hazard curves were illustrated for the coastal sites, and uncertainty in the tsunami hazard was displayed by 5-, 16-, 50-, 84- and 95-percentile and mean hazard curves.     

Approximation of interfacial properties in multiphase porous medium systems

We investigate the estimation of interfacial areas, curvatures, and common curve lengths in multiphase porous medium systems. Algorithms are developed to obtain estimates of these quantities based upon a variety of potential data sources and estimation approaches. The accuracy of the derived approximations are evaluated as a function of the data type and resolution of the data. The methods advanced improve upon standard approaches now in use and show excellent accuracy at resolutions on the order of five lattice points per minimum radius of curvature of the object being resolved. Finally, we suggest a promising class of extensions that could lead to further improvements in the accuracy of such methods.     

长江口九段沙下段冲淤演变水动力机制分析

概述了长江口深水航道整治一期工程及工程对九段沙下段地形冲淤的影响.根据已建立的σ坐标系下三维非线性水流数学模型,用新测水文资料对模型进行验证.利用所建立的模型,结合由现场测量得到一期工程前后九段沙下段近期地形演变,数值模拟了北槽区域流通量、底层欧拉余流和北槽中下段平面水流特征,以综合分析北槽水域水动力变化对九段沙下段地形冲淤变化的影响.     

水体中硫化物测定方法探讨

通过对测定硫化物标准曲线的质量保证及不同污染程度水样的前处理方法的探讨,得出硫化物标准溶液需现用现配及针对污染程度不同的水样分别采取直接测定、抽滤测定和酸化-吹气法测定的结论.     

多道瞬态瑞雷波法在探测煤矿采空区中的应用

采空区探测是工程建筑和煤矿生产中亟待解决的问题。常规物探方法在对落后的“房—柱”式开采技术造成的面积较小、埋深较浅的采空区进行探测时存在漏报或误报的情况。根据采空区的地球物理特征,探讨多道瞬态瑞雷波技术的探测机理,并通过勘探实例阐述了该方法在浅层煤矿采空区探测中的实用性和有效性。     

线路平行线间面积计算的统一简捷模型

本文根据线路平行线间面积计算的统一模型，分别推证了直线，圆曲和缓和曲线段平行线间面积计算的简捷模型，据此归纳出线路平行线间面积计算的统一简捷模型，它在线路土地征及用建材用料计算等方面都有广泛的应用。     

道路曲线数字化数据的联合平差模型

在讨论道路曲线基本单元数字化数据处理模型的基础上，进一步建立了道路曲线的联合平差模型，探讨了以线形为特征的交通运输空间数据的平差处理方法，提出了评价道路曲线数字化的精度指标。这些工作为研究交通空间数据的质量和建立动态分段模型以及道路GIS空间基础数据库是有益的。     

频谱分析在周期拟合中的应用

在时间序列数据处理中常碰到确定性信息的提取。确定性信息包含趋势项和周期项。拟合周期项需要知道频率，利用频谱分析则可准确地捕捉频率，从而获得良好的计算结果。     

公路放样中曲线定线方法的探讨

介绍了公路放样中直接定线的几种方法,并给出了详细的实施步骤,供施工放样人员参考.     

带缓和曲线的特大桥坐标计算及放样方法

介绍一种带缓和曲线的特大桥桥墩在测量坐标系下的坐标计算及桥墩放样方法 ,以及Leica全站仪在桥梁施工放样中的应用