Intercomparison of Stratospheric Chemistry Models under Polar Vortex Conditions

Several stratospheric chemistry modules from box, 2-D or 3-D models, have been intercompared. The intercomparison was focused on the ozone loss and associated reactive species under the conditions found in the cold, wintertime Arctic and Antarctic vortices. Comparisons of both gas phase and heterogeneous chemistry modules show excellent agreement between the models under constrained conditions for photolysis and the microphysics of polar stratospheric clouds. While the mean integral ozone loss ranges from 4–80% for different 30–50 days long air parcel trajectories, the mean scatter of model results around these values is only about ±1.5%. In a case study, where the models employed their standard photolysis and microphysical schemes, the variation around the mean percentage ozone loss increases to about ±7%. This increased scatter of model results is mainly due to the different treatment of the PSC microphysics and heterogeneous chemistry in the models, whereby the most unrealistic assumptions about PSC processes consequently lead to the least representative ozone chemistry. Furthermore, for this case study the model results for the ozone mixing ratios at different altitudes were compared with a measured ozone profile to investigate the extent to which models reproduce the stratospheric ozone losses. It was found that mainly in the height range of strong ozone depletion all models underestimate the ozone loss by about a factor of two. This finding corroborates earlier studies and implies a general deficiency in our understanding of the stratospheric ozone loss chemistry rather than a specific problem related to a particular model simulation.     

昆明经济技术开发区场地地震易损性分析

通过对昆明经济技术开发区的地质构造，场地工程地质环境，砂土液化判别以震害预测的综合研究，进行了区内的场地地震易损性分析。根据计算出的地震易损性指数，结果表明，可将研究区划分为两个震害程度不同的区域。     

1995年康定城区洪灾成因分析

分析洪灾成因 :长时间连续降雨和随后而至的暴雨 ,是山洪成灾主要因素 ;特殊的水系结构使洪峰流量在城区河流汇合处叠加 ;山洪的动能大 ,挟带泥沙和冲蚀能力强 ;泥石流、滑坡、崩塌强烈活动 ,为山洪提供大量泥沙、推移质 ;人类经济活动不当 ,加大了灾害损失     

水灾遥感实时监测与快速评估的实践与思考

总结了参加１９９１￣１９９５年间３次水灾遥感监测与评估科学实验所取得的结果，并结合国情分析，提出进一步发挥航天遥感作用，航天与航空相结合，建立一个花费较少，切实可行，能满足水灾实时监测与快速评估需要的设想。     

锚喷材料经时蠕变损伤本构方程

从以应力，湿度，温度和损伤诸函数的时间积分表示和自由能涵函出发，根据非平衡热力学定律，同时考虑了喷射混凝土老化效应及骨料因素，给出了锚喷材料损伤蠕变本构方程和损伤演化方程，养护时间及蠕变有效作用应力的定义，并用实验结果验证了该理论。     

分形几何用于岩石损伤扩展过程的研究

通过对岩石损伤扩展机理的研究，运用分形几何理论，建立了岩石损伤变量ω与分形维数之间关系。     

March 1990 Hailstorm Damage in Sydney,Australia

On 18 March 1990, an intense hailstorm in Sydney, New South Wales, Australia caused insured damage valued at A$million – the third most expensive loss event in Australian insurance history.While damage was widespread with claims for buildings spread across more than 130 postcodes, 20% of the claims came from just two postcodes. The proportion of dwellings of brick construction that made a claim was significantly less than the proportion of policies for this type of construction. Fibro (fibre-cement), timber and aluminium-clad dwellings are more likely to sustain damage than brick buildings in this type of storm.Hail caused the majority of damage to exterior building items while water damage more commonly affected interior building items and contents. While the repair of Interior building items such as ceilings and walls cost more than contents damage on average, the repair/replacement costs of contents contributed more to the total costs. Damage to window glass and roofs together made up more than 50% of the total claim.     

2003年5月4日新疆伽师-岳普湖5.8级地震烈度分布及建筑物结构破坏特点

新疆伽师-岳普湖5．8级地震宏观震中位于岳普湖县的铁热木乡和兵团农三师42团的北面，震中烈度为Ⅶ度。本次地震影响范围位于巴楚-伽师6．8级地震Ⅵ-Ⅶ度影响区域内，累计破坏效应造成了较为严重的房屋破坏。通过对大量震害资料和强震记录的分析，根据建筑物的破坏情况和场地峰值加速度衰减特征，在尽可能排除累计破坏效应的基础上确定了地震烈度分布，分析了不同烈度区中的建筑物结构破坏特点及其与地震动影响场的关系。     

地震荷载下莫高窟围岩动态损伤特性研究

本以敦煌莫高窟为研究对象，阐述了地震荷载下洞窟围岩动态损伤的影响因素；采用动力有限元法。从地震动特性入手。分析研究了地震作用对洞窟围岩及其附属构筑物可能造成的损坏，为石窟物地震安全评估及防灾对策研究提供了依据。     

遥感图象自动识别城市震害房屋-以2001年印度库奇地震和1976年唐山地震为例

近断层地震动对地表结构物造成严重的破坏，它具有明显的方向性和脉冲型特征. 在速度时程中含有大幅值、长周期的脉冲波，对结构响应影响很大. 为简化计算和分析的需要，在既有的等效速度脉冲模型的基础上，建议了较为合理等效速度脉冲模型. 在充分收集脉冲型近断层地震记录的基础上，对等效速度脉冲模型的脉冲周期、脉冲强度及卓越脉冲数等参数进行了研究，并与以往研究者的结果进行比较，以利于近断层区结构的抗震设计.