Intercomparison of the South Asian High in NCEP1, NCEP2, and ERA-40 Reanalyses and in Station Observations

The South Asian Highs (SAHs) at 100 hPa over China in the three reanalysis datasets NCEP1, NCEP2, and ERA-40 are evaluated by using station observation data. The results demonstrate a substantial discrepancy even between the reanalyses. First, the data of the three reanalyses generally underestimate the intensity of the SAH in the China domain. Second, there are interdecadal changes in the SAH, with highs in the 1960s and 1980s and lows in the 1970s, 1990s, and 2000s. This interdecadal variation of the SAH can be well depicted with NCEP1 data, but the high in the 1980s is missed by ERA-40. The NCEP2 corresponds well with NCEP 1 and captures the decreasing trend after 1979. Furthermore, the NCEP1 reanalysis overestimates the interdecadal changes of SAH, while ERA-40 underestimates the interdecadal changes. This work suggests that much caution should be exerted when the reanalysis datasets are adopted to study the interdecadal variability of SAH.     

The Coupled Model Predictability of the Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon with Different Leading Times

Leading time length is an important issue for modeling seasonal forecasts. In this study, a comparison of the interannual predictability of the Western North Pacific (WNP) summer monsoon between different leading months was performed by using one-, four-, and sevenmonth lead retrospective forecasts (hindcasts) of four coupled models from Ensembles-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES) for the period of 1960 2005. It is found that the WNP summer anomalies, including lower-tropospheric circulation and precipitation anomalies, can be well predicted for all these leading months. The accuracy of the four-month lead prediction is only slightly weaker than that of the one-month lead prediction, although the skill decreases with the increase of leading months.     

利用海气耦合模式模拟印度尼西亚贯穿流

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG)发展的全球耦合气候系统模式(FGCM-1.0)100年数值模拟结果, 分析了模式模拟的印度尼西亚贯穿流(ITF)的平均态、季节变化和年际变化, 并且利用这些资料对ITF季节变化和年际变化的成因做了初步分析.模式模拟的ITF平均态、季节变化和年际变化同已有的观测结果相比是合理的, 经作者分析认为ITF的季节变化主要是因为印度尼西亚海域地处亚澳季风区, 海流对于季风的响应使得ITF发生季节变化; ITF的年际变化主要是因为热带环流的年际变化及其所导致的洋流调整造成的, 太平洋和印度洋都有影响.     

高层钢结构地震反应形状记忆合金拉索控制研究

本文通过形状记忆合金(SMA)材料的超弹性性能试验确定了SMA材料的各项参数和常温状态下的本构模型。对采用SMA拉索实施振动控制的20层钢结构的Benchmark模型的地震响应进行了时程分析。计算结果表明,实施SMA拉索控制后,层间相对位移可降低70％左右,且SMA材料很好的耗能作用有效地减少了地震能量向上部楼层的传递,对上部结构具有一定的隔振作用;顶层相对位移的控制效果达到51％;顶层加速度可降低43％;地震波强度和拉索初应变对拉索的被动控制效果影响较大。最后给出了拉索的安装位置与拉索的应变之间的关系曲线,建议了合理的布置方案。     

Seismic spatial effects on long-span bridge response in nonstationary inhomogeneous random fields

The long-span bridge response to nonstationary multiple seismic random excitations is investigated using the PEM (pseudo excitation method). This method transforms the nonstationary random response analysis into ordinary direct dynamic analysis, and therefore, the analysis can be solved conveniently using the Newmark, Wilson-θ schemes or the precise integration method. Numerical results of the seismic response for an actual long-span bridge using the proposed PEM are given and compared with the results based on the conventional stationary analysis. From the numerical comparisons, it was found that both the seismic spatial effect and the nonstationary effect are quite important, and that both stationary and nonstationary seismic analysis should pay special attention to the wave passage effect.     

Seismic response analysis of the deep saturated soil deposits in Shanghai

The quaternary deposits in Shanghai are horizontal soil layers of thickness up to about 280 m in the urban area with an annual groundwater table between 0.5 and 0.7 m from the surface. The characteristics of deep saturated deposits may have important influences upon seismic response of the ground in Shanghai. Based on the Biot theory for porous media, the water-saturated soil deposits are modeled as a two-phase porous system consisting of solid and fluid phases, in this paper. A nonlinear constitutive model for predicting the seismic response of the ground is developed to describe the dynamic characters of the deep-saturated soil deposits in Shanghai. Subsequently, the seismic response of a typical site with 280 m deep soil layers, which is subjected to four base excitations (El Centro, Taft, Sunan, and Tangshan earthquakes), is analyzed in terms of an effective stress-based finite element method with the proposed constitutive model. Special emphasis is given to the computed results of accelerations, excess pore-water pressures, and settlements during the seismic excitations. It has been found that the analysis can capture fundamental aspects of the ground response and produce preliminary results for seismic assessment.     

结构多重双重调谐质量阻尼器(MDTMD)的新控制策略

本文提出了一种新的控制策略——多重双重调谐质量阻尼器(以下简称为MDTMD)。MDTMD系统参数的可能组合形成十种MDTMD模型,本文评价其中最易制作的一种MDTMD模型。利用定义的优化目标函数,评价了MDTMD的控制性能。数值结果表明MDTMD比双重调谐质量阻尼器(DTMD)具有更好的有效性和对频率调谐的鲁棒性。但MDTMD的冲程大于DTMD的冲程。     

提高斜拉索索力估算精度的方法

振动法是测量实际索力的首选方法,但其测试精度会受到外界环境因素如温度、风和桥面对拉索作用等的影响。本文围绕如何将外界环境因素的影响降至最小,从测量时机的选取、数据处理方法的选择等方面,综合运用随机振动、风工程、非线性和误差分析理论,提出了提高拉索索力估算精度的实用改进方法,得出了一些有意义的结论。并通过哈尔滨松花江斜拉桥实例进行验证对比,结果表明,该方法具有较高的精度。     

隔震结构"小震不坏"的动力可靠度分析

本文探讨叠层橡胶隔震体系在“小震不坏”条件下的动力可靠度分析。基于等效线性化的隔震工程设计参数,建立非比例阻尼隔震结构模型。采用双过滤白噪声功率谱模型描述地震动,并用林家浩虚拟激励法进行随机响应分析。以各层的最大层间位移响应作为控制指标,取结构的弹性位移限值作为位移极限值,建立功能状态方程。根据一次二阶矩方法,用串联模式计算体系的总体可靠度。文末选用了一个7层隔震框架作为数值算例,探讨了隔震阻尼、寒冷环境、节点构造误差所引起的隔震层刚度上升,以及场地土类别等对体系动力可靠性的影响。     

宝清东升5000年以来花粉记录与气候波动的响应

根据宝清东升泥炭剖面的花粉记录及14C测年数据分析,划分出3个孢粉组合带.BQ-1组合(3 700 aB.P.以前)以耐干旱的蒿属、藜科花粉高含量和喜湿的莎草科低含量为特征,针叶植物很少,气候温暖干旱,沼泽尚未形成;BQ-2组合(大约在1 333～3 700 aB.P.时期)以喜湿的莎草科含量明显增加和耐干旱的蒿属、藜科花粉含量明显减少为特征,针叶松及云、冷杉急剧增加,气候温凉湿,沼泽发育繁盛;BQ-3组合(大约在1 333 aB.P.至现在)以喜湿的莎草科含量开始逐渐减少,耐干旱的蒿属花粉逐渐增加为特征,针叶松及云、冷杉继续增加,气候向冷干发展,沼泽逐渐萎缩.