基于融合U-Net及ConvLSTM的海面高度异常预报方法研究

海面高度异常是反映海洋环境状况的主要变量之一。本文使用1993—2019年的融合月均海面高度异常数据,建立了基于深度学习的海面高度异常预测神经网络模型,提出了基于融合U型网络(U-Net)和卷积长短记忆网络(ConvLSTM)的中长期海面高度异常预报模型。在研究海域0.25°×0.25°的空间分辨率下,模型测试集预报结果的均方根误差和平均绝对误差分别为0.039 m和0.027 m,均优于全连接LSTM预报模型和ConvLSTM+CNN预报模型,为大中尺度的海面高度异常预报提供了新的方法。     

A New Retracking Technique for Brown Peaky Altimetric Waveforms

A new Brown-Peaky (BP) retracker has been developed for peaky waveforms that usually appear within ～10 km to the coastline. The main feature of the BP is that it fits peaky waveforms using the Brown model without introducing a peak function. The retracking strategy first detects the peak location and width of a waveform using an adaptive peak detection method, and then estimates retracking parameters using a weighted least squares (WLS) estimator. The WLS assigns a downsized weight to corrupted waveform gates, but an equal weight to other normal waveform gates. The BP retracker has been applied to 4-year Jason-1 waveform (2002–2006) in two Australian coastal zones. The results retracked by BP, MLE4 and ALES retrackers have been validated against tide-gauge observations located at Burnie, Lorne and Broome. The comparison results show that three retrackers have similar performance over open oceans with the correlation coefficient (～0.7) and RMSE (～13 cm) between altimetric and tide-gauge sea levels for distance >7 km offshore. The main improvement of BP retracker occurs for distance ≤7 km to the coastline, where validation results indicate that data retracked by BP are more accurate (15–21 cm) than those by ALES (16–24 cm) and MLE4 (19–37 cm).     

尼泊尔地震的NOAA卫星数据震前异常分析

发生地震时常伴随有地热辐射增强现象,这些异常信息隐藏于遥感卫星NOAA所捕获的地球射出长波辐射（OLR）数据中,目前多数研究还停留在对源数据的解读,缺乏有效的信息处理技术,致使大部分的OLR数据没有得到充分利用。因此,本文提出一种基于鞅理论的概率统计方法来识别异常特征算法,从有噪声的非结构化的源数据中提取出震前OLR数据异常变化特征序列,从时间序列和地域范围进行震前异常分析。本算法实验是以尼泊尔的在2014年9月至2015年7月期间（包括2015年4月25日Ms7.8大地震）发生的3次地震的OLR数据为例,实验结果显示震中区域的OLR数据在震前的2~3个月开始有显著的异常数据变化,通过分析发现数据显示数据异常在震前出现的时间长短与地震的大小相关,异常的发生区域与震区周围的地貌特征相关。这说明基于鞅理论的算法所提取的OLR数据异常点序列的确与地震发生的时间地点是有关系的。     

燕山地区重、磁场特征分析与构造分区

本文对燕山地区的重、磁异常进行了处理与分析，根据重力场和磁场特征提出整个研究区分为4个部分。由北往南为：丰宁-隆化断裂带以北地区；丰宁-隆化断裂带至密云平泉之间的地区；密云-平泉至三河-昌黎之间的地区；三河-昌黎以南的平原区。丰宁-隆化断裂带为内蒙地轴（即华北地台北缘隆起带）南部边缘的界线。丰宁-隆化和三河-昌黎密度陡变带，以及密云-半壁山密度陡变带可能延深至中地壳。承德县-平泉密度陡变带延深比前面的密度陡变带略浅一些。     

中地壳的地球化学动力学和矿石成因

笔者重点进行了大于300℃——在近临界区至超临界区条件下的硅酸盐矿物与水反应动力学实验。矿物(钠长石Ab、透辉石Di、阳起石Act和磁铁矿Mt)的溶解反应动力学实验是使用流体通过叠层反应器的开放体系在25～400℃和22MPa下完成的。实验发现矿物在300℃至400℃范围,在跨越水临界点时出现反应速率的涨落。各种多金属氧化物硅酸盐与水反应时,各个元素溶解到溶液里的释放速率一般不一样,常称为一致溶解作用。但是,在近300℃变为一致溶解作用。实验发现在22MPa时硅酸盐矿物的最大溶解反应速率多是在300℃,如硅的最大释放速率是在300℃。其余元素如Na、K、Mg、Ca、Fe、Al等释放速率在<300℃22MPa时都高于硅的释放速率,在>300℃时硅的释放速率要高于其它元素的释放速率。确切地说,金属与氧之间的键的性质决定了它们(金属氧化物)与水之间反应速率。在一般情况下,Na-Obr,Ca-Obr,Mg-Obr,Al-Obr和Si-Obr的键桥(br),它们之间相对地由具有离子键性质逐步变为具有极性键的性质。由常温常压到亚临界区(300～374℃22MPa),再到大于临界点374℃、22MPa进入超临界区,水的性质随温度、压力变化。水由容易溶解离子键逐渐变为容易打破极性键。笔者还研究了黑钨矿、锡石(玄武岩、花岗闪长岩)与水在250～400℃条件下的反应动力学过程,得出了相同的结果。实验均发现在跨越水临界点时矿物(或岩石)与水反应的动力学涨落。这些实验结果可以用于说明中地壳上部的水/岩相互作用的特征。发生于中地壳的水、岩相互作用大多是在300～450℃和20～50MPa条件下进行的。各地区的地壳厚度不一,中地壳温度压力并不完全相同。模拟中地壳条件下水/岩相互作用实验,目的主要是研究矿物(或岩石)在300～450℃条件下反应动力学过程。已有热液矿床矿物流体包体数据表明:有一批矿床的主要矿石形成于300～500℃,低于NaCl H2O溶液临界线的条件。中地壳的流体处于由亚临界态跨越临界态,进入超临界流体太的演化过程。这种流体的性质变化会引起水/岩相互作用的反应动力学涨落和矿石大量沉淀。     

贵州梵净山地区震旦系微量元素特征及沉积环境

为了详细研究梵净山地区震旦系沉积地球化学特征及沉积环境演化,笔者对该处永义剖面自下而上进行系统采样.样品分析结果表明该处剖面稀土元素呈轻稀土(LREE)富集,重稀土(HREE)亏损,铈总体上表现为亏损,垂向上逐渐变小,铕异常发生3次波动,表明该处震旦系沉积时总体上为氧化环境,局部沉积环境发生变化.而且陡山沱组底部"碳酸盐帽"稀土元素标准化分配模式不同于冷泉碳酸盐岩分配模式,表明两者处于不同的沉积环境,成因上无关.V/Cr、Ni/Co、U/Th及V/V Ni等微量元素比值均表明震旦系沉积时为总体上氧化环境,但垂向上仍有沉积环境及水体分层性的变化.     

BTEX anomalies used as indicators of submarine oil and gas reservoirs

It is a conventional method for petroleum prospecting to generally use paraffin hydrocarbon as basic indexes of oil and gas. This conventional geochemical technology, however, shows some limits in the prospecting as paraffin is vulnerable to influences from human and biologic activities. Consequently, BTEX (short for benzene, toluene, ethyl benzene and xylem, which are direct biomarkers) among aromatic hydrocarbon series has been taken into account for the oil and gas prediction. Domestic and foreign study results demonstrate that BTEX is hardly disturbed and can well indicate oil and gas reservoirs. Based on measured data from a South China Sea area, the present authors have used self-developed visual assessment software for petroleum prospecting has been used to process data, strip background anomalies, and outline significant BTEX anomalies. By comparison with stratigraphic profiles of the target area, it is confirmed that BTEX is a good indication of marine oil and gas during the petroleum prospecting.     

Modeling an atypical petroleum system: A case study of hydrocarbon generation,migration and accumulation related to igneous intrusions in the Neuquen Basin,Argentina

In the Altiplanicie del Payún area (Neuquen Basin, Argentina), immature source rock sections intruded by up to 600 m thick Tertiary laccoliths show full spectrum maturity aureoles over hundreds of meters from the contacts. Commercial oil accumulations (20–33°API) and oil shows are located along the entire column, both in sandstone/carbonate and fractured igneous reservoirs. A challenging numerical model that included the emplacement of the intrusive bodies, with extreme temperature ranges and unusually short calculation time steps, has been done with the aim to better understand hydrocarbon generation and migration processes related to these thermal anomalies.     

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冀鲁豫地区重力场变化与封丘ML4.8地震关系的探讨

利用冀鲁豫测网的流动重力5期观测成果,探讨了重力场变化与封丘地震的关系。研究发现：冀鲁豫交界地区的重力点值在封丘地震前后出现了下降-上升-下降的变化过程,较好地对应了封丘ML4.8地震孕育 发震 震后调整的过程。该重力变化可能是封丘地震的异常反映。