Mainshock-aftershock state-dependent fragility curves: A case of wood-frame houses in British Columbia,Canada

During a mainshock-aftershock (MSAS) sequence, there is no time to retrofit structures that are damaged by a mainshock; therefore, aftershocks could cause additional damage. This study proposes a new approach to develop state-dependent fragility curves using real MSAS records. Specifically, structural responses before and after each event of MSAS sequences are used to obtain statistical relationships among the engineering demand parameter prior to the seismic event (pre-EDP), the intensity measure of the seismic event (IM), and the engineering demand parameter after the seismic event (post-EDP). The developed fragility curves account for damage accumulation, providing the exceeding probability of damage state (DS) given the IM of the event and the DS of the structure prior to the seismic excitation. The UBC-SAWS model, which was developed for wood-frame houses in British Columbia, Canada, is considered as a case study application. Results indicate that for the examined structural typology, state-dependent fragility curves based on residual interstorey drift ratio (pre-EDP), peak ground velocity (IM), and maximum inter-storey drift ratio (post-EDP) are the best choice to characterise the cumulative damage effect. An illustration of the developed fragility curves is provided by considering a hypothetical MSAS scenario of a M_w 9.0 Cascadia mainshock triggering a M_w 6.0 crustal event in the Leech River fault, affecting wooden houses in Victoria, Canada. The MSAS scenario increases Yellow tags (restricted access) by 12.3% and Red tags (no access) by 4.8%.     

Assessment of post-earthquake availability of hospital system and upgrading strategies

A model for the regional hospitals system behaviour in case of a seismic event is developed. The aim is the evaluation of the vulnerability of the system as well as the selection of the best intervention strategy for the retrofitting of the hospitals so as to minimize the cost benefit ratio and to evaluate the effect of different post-earthquake emergency measures like the use of camp hospitals. The efficiency of the system is measured in terms of the mean distance to be cured for persons injured by the earthquake and by damages to the system. Some simplifying assumptions are used and discussed; these can be easily removed if necessary. Results allow to clearly indicate the most convenient interventions. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

西藏地区地震类型特征研究

对1970年以来西藏地区139组5级以上地震序列类型进行统计及特征分析,发现西藏地区中强以上地震序列以主—余型和孤立型为主,约占79.1%。随主震震级的增加,主—余型所占比例逐渐增加,孤立型和多震型所占比例减少。绝大多数地震的最大震级余震在主震后3个月内发生。西藏地区多震型地震主要发生西藏中强以上地震活跃时段,因此在西藏及邻区5级以上地震频度较高时需注意多震型地震的发生。从地震序列类型空间分布来看,孤立型地震和主—余型地震大多发生在构造相对单一的地区,而多震型地震则大多发生在构造复杂且存在多组构造交汇的区域。     

贵州喀斯特山区生态环境脆弱性分析

贵州是我国喀斯特地貌最发育的省份之一,属典型的生态环境脆弱区。本文在阐述贵州喀斯特山区生态环境脆弱性基本特征的基础上,着重分析了其成因机理,并简要地提出了相应的生态治理对策。     

塔里木河下游荒漠生态系统退化机制分析

近几十年来,塔里木河下游河道断流,地下水水位剧烈下降,天然植被衰退,土地的沙质荒漠化问题十分严峻。通过对下游退化荒漠生态系统的脆弱性和不稳定性以及干扰体驱动力的分析,阐述了该系统退化的机制,并在此基础上,提出了退化荒漠生态系统的恢复对策。系统的内在脆弱性特征决定了其抗干扰的能力差,退化后恢复的弹性小;强烈的人为干扰体是系统退化的重要驱动力。下游荒漠生态系统的退化是系统内在特性和外在干扰体综合作用的结果。在干旱区严酷的生态环境下,荒漠生态系统的人为干扰结果值得重视。2000年5月以来的塔里木河下游生态输水,使系统的退化形式得到了一定程度的遏制,但系统的恢复是有限的。植被的恢复,必须遵循干旱区植物的生态学性质,密切结合植物发生所需的环境条件,特别是干旱区植被分布格局与地下水的关系。     

从新疆地区主余震活动看地震静态应力触发模型

选取新疆地区1970年以来15次MS6.0以上地震作为源地震,MS4.0以上余震作为目标余震,对地震静态应力触发模型进行检验分析.结果表明,地震静态应力触发模型在新疆地区存在问题,80％的源地震发生后,其△CFS正区目标余震数量少于负区目标余震数量;33％的源地震发生后,其正区目标余震数量远少于负区目标余震数量(前者不...     

2009年云南姚安M_S6.0地震余震序列尾波Q_c值研究

利用云南大姚地震台记录到的2009年姚安6.0级地震余震序列的数字化波形观测资料,基于尾波单次散射理论,估算该次地震震源区尾波Qc值。结果表明:中心频率为1.5 Hz时,振幅衰减率β(f)在-0.141 27～-0.043 05之间,平均值为-0.074 60;Qc值在33.3～99.8之间,平均值为65.5。并得出Qc值与频率的关系:尾波波源因子与震级成正比,与频率成反比。主震发生后头几天,尾波Qc值(1.5 Hz)波动较大,之后在±1.5倍方差线内趋于稳定,且没有超过5级的强余震发生。姚安地区尾波Qc值具有构造运动活跃、地震活动频繁地区的低Qc值特征。     

利用小震分布和区域应力场确定磁县1830年7.5级强震断层面参数

对邯郸地震台网1984-2008年记录的磁县小地震,作双差定位,然后根据定位结果,对磁县历史强震断层参数作反演计算,求解磁县历史强震断层走向、倾角等特征参数,根据当地应力场来估算磁县历史强震断层的滑动角.     

Evaluation of collapse resistance of RC frame structures for Chinese schools in seismic design categories B and C

According to the Code for Seismic Design of Buildings (GB50011-2001), ten typical reinforced concrete (RC) frame structures, used as school classroom buildings, are designed with different seismic fortification intensities (SFIs) (SFI=6 to 8.5) and different seismic design categories (SDCs) (SDC=B and C). The collapse resistance of the frames with SDC=B and C in terms of collapse fragility curves are quantitatively evaluated and compared via incremental dynamic analysis (IDA). The results show that the coll...     

Vulnerability of ordinary moment resistant concrete frames

The effects of structural modeling (bar slip in lap splice), ground motion selection process (epsilon effect) and size of a structure (number of bays and stories) on the fragility of reinforced concrete ordinary moment resisting frames are investigated. An analytical model is developed to account for bar slip in lap splice, which exhibits good correlation with existing experimental data. Then, incremental dynamic analysis is used to derive the fragility curves for four model structures. The model structures simulate frames with a different number of bays and stories. Finally, the fragility curves are corrected for the epsilon effect. The results show that slip in the lap splice can significantly increase the failure probability, especially for the collapse prevention limit state. At the same time, it is found that spectral shape has a significant impact on the fragility curves. It is also found that accounting for or ignoring bar slip or epsilon effects increases the probability of failure for larger structures. This indicates an unconservative bias in the safety of larger structures.