局部均值分解与支持向量回归的大坝变形预测

针对现有变形预测方法对于大坝变形的预测效果不理想的问题,该文利用局部均值分解方法获取生产函数分量并进行支持向量回归建模,用此方法对大坝变形进行多尺度分析。通过局部均值分解对大坝变形序列进行分解得到其乘积函数分量,然后利用支持向量机回归进行外推预测,再把各乘积函数分量的预测结果进行叠加重构生成,进而获得大坝变形预测值。通过实例分析,比较GM(1,1)、支持向量机和该文方法3种模型在变形监测数据处理中的拟合和预测结果,表明该文方法充分发掘数据本身所蕴含的物理机制和物理规律,提高了大坝变形多尺度预测精度。     

恶劣环境下GPS/BDS混合双差模糊度固定性能分析

针对在恶劣观测环境下每个GNSS系统只观测到较少的几颗卫星,采用标准双差模型很难实现整周模糊度固定的问题,该文对GPS/BDS系统间混合双差模型进行研究,利用该模型计算出GPS/BDS系统偏差。在此基础上,利用实验分别对模拟和真实恶劣观测环境下的模糊度固定性能进行分析,实验结果表明,恶劣环境下GPS/BDS系统间混合双差模型表现良好,相较于经典的双差模型可将模糊度固定平均所需时间分别缩短43%和33%,模糊度固定成功率分别提高107%和31%。     

Analysis of wave groups by wave envelope-phase and the Hilbert Huang transform methods

The wave groups are studied by both conventional wave analysis methods and by the non-stationary Hilbert Huang Transform (HHT) method. Full-scale wave records containing abnormal waves are used. Instantaneous quantities, such as envelope, phase and frequency, are adopted to study the wave grouping. A refined definition of wave group is proposed considering that the wave process is simultaneously amplitude and frequency modulated. The validation of the proposed definition is conducted by analysis of numerical simulation data. Group parameters are proposed based on the time-frequency distribution of energy. An attempt is made to find the relationship between the characteristics of abnormal waves and the group characteristics.     

Improved assessments of wave-induced fatigue for free spanning pipelines

For subsea pipeline projects, the costs related to seabed correction and free span intervention are often considerable. Development of reliable methods for fatigue analyses of pipelines in free spans contributes to minimize costs without compromising pipeline integrity. Assessment of wave-induced fatigue damage on multi-span pipelines is investigated, and improved analysis methods are suggested in this paper. A time-domain (TD) algorithm is developed, which accounts for non-linear hydrodynamic loading and dynamic interaction between adjacent spans. The proposed TD approach is employed to evaluate linearized frequency-domain (FD) solutions from recognized design standards and to study the dynamic response of multi-span pipelines to direct wave loading. Differences between multi- and single-span analyses are described for the first time, and the common assumption that the main fatigue damage contribution comes from the fundamental mode is demonstrated not to hold for multi-spans. An improved FD solution capable of predicting multi-mode response is derived and demonstrated to give accurate fatigue life estimates for multi-span pipelines.     

CFD investigations of OXYFLUX device,an innovative wave pump technology for artificial downwelling of surface water

No other environmental variable of such ecological importance to estuarine and coastal marine ecosystems around the world has changed so drastically, in such a short period of time, as dissolved oxygen in coastal waters. The prevalent methods for counteracting anoxic sea events are indirect measures which aim to cut-down anthropic loads introduced in river and marine environments. To date, no direct approaches, like artificial devices have been investigated except the WEBAP and OXYFLUX devices. The present paper adopts a numerical approach to the analysis of the pumped surface water as well as the analysis of the dynamic response of the OXYFLUX device. By means of a CFD-RANS code and through the application of overset grid method, the 1/16 OXYFLUX model’s dynamic response and pumping performance are evaluated. The appropriate grid is selected after an extensive sensitivity analysis carried out on 9 different grids. The CFD model is validated by comparing numerical and physical results of heave decay test, heave response, and surface water discharge under the action of regular waves. The extensive comparison with experimental results shows consistently accurate predictions. The main findings of the study show that nonlinear effects remarkable reduce the dynamic behaviour of the OXYFLUX and generate an unexpected second harmonic for pitch response intensifying the overtopping discharge also for small waves caused by the summer's low intensity winds.     

基于OS071X测波雷达的波浪探测分析

文章利用舟山海洋环境监测站2014年第16号台风"凤凰"过境影响期间,对OS071X测波雷达和3m波浪浮标在同一海域内的波浪探测资料进行了对比验证。通过分析,OS071X测波雷达探测反演的有效波高、周期与3m波浪浮标探测结果对比,二者按先后顺序的均方根误差分别为0.27m和0.29m,相关系数分别为0.93和0.90。结果表明,OS071X测波雷达系统的探测精度得到了验证,能够满足实时探测近岸海域波浪的需求。     

Moon-based Earth observation: scientific concept and potential applications

Although Earth’s surface parameters obtained from satellite data have become more and more precise, it is still difficult to guarantee temporal consistency and spatial continuity for large-scale geoscience phenomena. Developing new Earth observation platforms is a feasible way to improve the consistency and continuity of such data. As the planet’s only natural satellite, the Moon has special advantages as a platform for observing Earth, including long lifetime, whole disk view, tectonic stability and unique perspective. After presenting the observation geometry constructed by using the ephemeris, this paper mainly discusses the characteristics of a lunar platform and the proper Moon-based sensors, as well as the scientific objectives of Moon-based Earth observation. Solid Earth dynamics, the energy budget of Earth, Earth’s environmental elements and the Earth-space environment are four potential applications analysed in this paper.     

THE TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF SEA SURFACE WIND ALONG THE COAST OF GUANGDONG PROVINCE IN CHINA

Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of sea surface wind in Guangdong''s coastal areas were analyzed with data from four offshore observational stations between 2012 and 2015. The results are shown as follows: (1) The probability distribution of wind speed was basically consistent with Gaussian distribution characteristics; winds of Beaufort force 6 or higher were observed mainly in far offshore stations from October to March. (2) The probability distribution of wind direction was represented well by Weibull distribution. The deviation of wind direction of far station was relatively small for it was mainly controlled by monsoon over the South China Sea, while the near offshore station had a relatively large diurnal variation because of the influence of local synoptic systems such as sea-land breeze. (3) There were significant seasonal differences in wind speed and direction observed by different offshore observational stations. In strong wind seasons, the deviation of wind direction was relatively small while the deviation of wind speed was relatively large, and vice versa. In contrast with Class I station, the other three stations exhibited approximately normal distribution of wind direction and wind speed deviations. (4) Wind direction diurnal variation was moderate in windy periods, while it was obvious in relatively lower speed conditions. The deviation of wind speed in windy periods was generally greater because it was influenced by mesoscale weather systems for 10-20 h, and the influence was complicated, resulting in greater local differences in wind speed.     

各向异性介质中扭转波分裂的实验观测

实验室可以产生两种振动模式的横波,一种是剪切振动,另一种是扭转振动,在各向同性介质中两模式的横波速度是相同的,但它们的振动特性不一样,前者表现出很强的偏振特性,后者为无偏振特性.实验测试表明无偏振特性的扭转波在各向异性介质中传播时也会出现两种速度不同的扭转波,速度值与剪切横波的快慢横波速度值一致.用扭转波换能器接收时,这快慢扭转波的波形振幅不受各向异性方位影响.通过两块均匀的各向异性样品,用实验观测揭示了各向异性介质中扭转波的一些传播特征.     

地磁与空间物理资料的组织和相关坐标系

在地磁与空间物理学实验研究和理论研究中,无论是观测资料和实验数据,还是理论计算和数值模拟结果,都需要组织在一定的坐标框架中,或者用一定的函数(函数系)来表达.坐标系或函数系的选择对于合理描述资料和发现自然规律是十分重要的环节.本文综述了地磁与空间物理研究中经常使用的20多种坐标系,着重探索这些坐标系的基本设计思想和相互联系,追踪它们的发展演化轨迹,从而加深对资料组织和坐标系选择的理解.