1—3年强震危险区预测的指标体系

强震危险区预测是当前地震预报中的重要课题之一。笔者以预警活断层、预警活断层分段研究解决断层活动的时间和空间尺度为主线，配合地震活动动态分析、地震波介质特征早期信息、近场趋势性前兆异常和危险性概率预测，确定了判别几年尺度强震危险区的指标。在“八五”地震科技课题研究过程中，圈这了范围不超过１００００ｋｍ＾２的５个强震危险区，已成功地对１９９３年１０月２日若羌６．６级地震、１９９５年５月２日乌苏５．８级     

Trends In U.S. Hazardous Materials Transportation Spills

This paper examines historical and spatial trends in hazardous materials transportation spills from 1971 to 1991. While the number of spills Inc.reased steadily during the 1970s, peaking in 1978–1979, there has been a decline in frequency sInc.e then largely due to modifications in reporting. Monetary damages have the opposite temporal pattern, with major Inc.reases recorded from 1982 onward. Death and injury statistics are more variable. Spatially, accidents are more prevalent in the Rust Belt extending from the Northeast corridor westward to the Great Lakes states, as well as in the Southeast. The greatest potential risk to the public is found in smaller, more densely populated industrial states such as New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland. The spatial distribution, however, has not changed. Potential risk sources (e.g., chemical industry, number of hazardous waste facilities, number of railroad miles) are the best predictors of hazmat Inc.ident frequency. Mitigation efforts (statewide regulatory and/or management policies) also help explain the variability in hazmat Inc.idents.     

FARMING THE FOREST EDGE: VULNERABLE PLACES AND PEOPLE AROUND KIBALE NATIONAL PARK,UGANDA

ABSTRACT. Subsistence farmers near Kibale National Park, Uganda, fear and resent many wildlife species. In this article I compare records of crop damage by wildlife and livestock with local complaints about the worst animals and the most vulnerable crops. I discuss the concordance and discrepancies in complaints versus actual damage in light of physical parameters of risk and of social factors that shape perceptions and vulnerabilities. Crop losses were greatest at the edge of the forest, where immigrants are disproportionately represented. State proprietorship of wildlife amplifies local vulnerability and constrains traditional coping strategies, such as hunting.     

Unsiting Nuclear Power Plants: Decommissioning Risks and Their Land Use Context*

Nuclear power plant siting provided the first significant public opportunity to examine nuclear safety and to affect nuclear policy. These discussions were prompted and fueled by perceptions of nuclear risk. Now, as we begin the process of nuclear decommissioning, we are finding that power plant removal—unsiting–is also likely to attract public interest. This paper presents a preliminary survey of how we are likely to react to this emerging theme, applying these findings within a land use context to see if it is likely to produce issues salient to the public. In so doing it also examines how these issues could affect decommissioning timing and type. It suggests that the most likely prospect is that power plants will remain on the landscape long after they are closed.     

全国地质灾害趋势预测及预测图编制

区域地质灾害预测是地质灾害研究的难题。本文运用基于地理信息系统的风险评价方法对这一问题进行了探讨。将全国剖分为２７００个单元，对地质灾害进行现状评价，并与已数字化的地质灾害图件进行单要素叠加，编制了全国地质现状等值线图，在现状评价基础上，对地质灾害进行趋势预测，将降雨条件、区域地震活动、区域地壳稳定程度、区域岩组条件和人类工程活动等作为区域地质灾害演变的因素，运用模糊综合评判模型进行综合评判，编制了１：６００万中国地质灾害趋势预测图。     

单片机汉字处理系统

本介绍ＩＢＭ－ＰＣ机汉字点阵的获取及其与ＭＳＣ－５１单片机构成的实时通信功能的实现方法，采用ＩＢＭ－ＰＣ机作为上位机，并通过ＭＳＣ－５１单片机的控制实现１６×１６点阵汉字的显示。     

滇西孟连曼信一带火山岩微枕状构造特征及其地质意义——兼论曼信—老厂一带火山岩时代

首次发现报道了曼信一带海相火山岩微枕状构造的地质特征。主要根据野外第一手资料，分析探讨了曼信—老厂一带火山岩的时代，主要认识是：“依柳组”火山岩的主要形成于晚二叠世；老厂地区泥盆纪—中晚石炭世有少量基性—中性火山活动及三叠纪火山活动。     

火山岩熔融,结晶,淬火实验及其岩石学意义

本文对我国福建，江西，河南等地某些典型玄武岩和部分安山岩以及意大利威苏维火山的白响岩质碱玄岩进行了实验研究，其中包括熔融，结晶，淬火实验。根据实验结果，分析了熔浆成分对首晶矿物的影响，阐明了晶体形态与结晶温度，生长速度及成核密度的关系，研究了斜长石，白榴石的晶出及其矿物学，岩石学意义，论述了橄榄石，辉石的成分特生上春晶出后熔浆成分的演化趋势，讨论了单斜辉石的淬火效应与压力效应。     

南极罗斯岛及泰勒谷地区火山岩的地球化学特征及成因讨论

利用微量元素和Ｓｒ，Ｎｄ，Ｐｂ同位素资料，得出了南极罗斯岛及泰勒谷地区火山岩来自于上地幔，五个地区火山岩具有相同的源区。岩石具有大洋岛屿玄武岩（ＯＩＢ）的特征。来自地幔的火山喷发的岩浆未遭受地壳物质的混染作用。地幔源区是具有高μ（＝２０６Ｐｂ／２０４Ｐｂ）比值的地幔组分ＨＩＭＵ与亏损地幔组分ＤＭＭ混合作用的结果，其中以ＨＩＭＵ组分为主，原生岩浆由具ＨＩＭＵ组分特征的深部地幔柱与浅部的ＤＭＭ混合而成。     

大长沙火山岩盆地铀成矿条件分析

文章分析了盆地的火山活动、火山岩的地球化学特点和铀矿化特征。认为盆地是塌陷式的，岩浆活动分为两个旋迥，并且不同族迥的岩浆来源深度不同。盆地发育有多期次的矿化蚀变，铀源有地幔铀、基底铀及盖层蚀变而迁移出的活化铀。盆地断裂构造发育，有较好的矿质沉淀场所，又处在有利的铀成矿区域背景之下，因此具有较大的铀成矿远景。