利用突变二维构模对1991年7月22日施甸5.2级地震的短临预报

本文从系统结构的概念出发，对短临前兆突变的特征和二维构模进行了讨论，利用层次分析法制定综合模式，对１９９１年７月２２日云南施甸５．２级地震作出了较好的短临预报。     

黄茅海二维潮流的数值计算

将三维浅海流体动力学的流速分解模型简化为二维潮模型。在Ara-Kawa-B网格上,对黄茅海的潮位和潮流进行数值模拟。结果表明,黄茅海是一个往复流海区,与实际吻合较好。     

利用慢特征分析法提取二维非平稳系统中的外强迫特征

慢特征分析法（Slow Feature Analysis,SFA）是一个从快变的信号中提取慢变特征的有效方法,它的提出丰富了人们对非平稳系统外强迫特征的重建手段。本文以Henon映射为基础,构造二维非平稳系统模型,尝试SFA方法在二维复杂非平稳系统中重建外强迫特征的能力。试验表明,SFA方法能够较好地从单时变参数Henon映射中提取出外强迫信号;通过结合小波变换技术,可以还原双时变参数Henon映射中的外强迫信号。另外,本文利用SFA方法重建了北京市气温的外强迫信号,分析其外强迫信号的尺度特征及其可能的物理机制。这些工作将为气候系统驱动力的研究提供新的思路。     

DEPTH-AVERAGED 2-D CALCULATION OF FLOW AND SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN CURVED CHANNELS

The helical flow significantly affects the flow, sediment transport and morphological evolution in curved channels. A semi-empirical formula is proposed to determine the cross-stream distribution of the helical flow intensity in the developed regions of a channel bend. It is then used to evaluate the dispersion terms in the depth-averaged 2-D momentum equations and suspended-load transport equation as well as the bed-load transport angle, thus enhancing the depth-averaged 2-D model to account for the effect of helical flow. The tests in several experimental and field cases show that the enhanced depth-averaged 2-D model can much more reasonably predict the shifting of main flow from inner bank to outer bank, the erosion along outer bank and deposition along inner bank than the depth-averaged 2-D model without considering this effect.     

Engineered channel controls limiting spawning habitat rehabilitation success on regulated gravel-bed rivers

In efforts to rehabilitate regulated rivers for ecological benefits, the flow regime has been one of the primary focal points of management strategies. However, channel engineering can impact channel geometry such that hydraulic and geomorphic responses to flow reregulation do not yield the sought for benefits. To illustrate and assess the impacts of structural channel controls and flow reregulation on channel processes and fish habitat quality in multiple life stages, a highly detailed digital elevation model was collected and analyzed for a river reach right below a dam using a suite of hydrologic, hydraulic, geomorphic, and ecological methods. Results showed that, despite flow reregulation to produce a scaled-down natural hydrograph, anthropogenic boundary controls have severely altered geomorphic processes associated with geomorphic self-sustainability and instream habitat availability in the case study. Given the similarity of this stream to many others, we concluded that the potential utility of natural flow regime reinstatement in regulated gravel-bed rivers is conditional on concomitant channel rehabilitation.     

Peroxisomal proteomics: Biomonitoring in mussels after the Prestige’s oil spill

Peroxisomal proteomics was applied to assess possible biological effects after the Prestige’s oil spill. Mussels were sampled in July 2004 and 2005 in four stations in the NW (closest to the spill) and NE coasts of the Iberian Peninsula. Principal components analysis (PCA) suggested differences in protein expression among stations and sampling years. Several proteins were putatively identified by mass spectrometry and immunolocalization. PC1 separated the NW stations in 2004 from the rest of the stations and sampling years mainly due to up-regulation of peroxisomal β-oxidation proteins and PMP70. PC3 separated the NE stations, based on up-regulation of the antioxidant enzyme catalase in 2004 compared to 2005. PC4 separated the stations in the NE and the NW. This work shows that environmental proteomics, together with multivariate data analysis, could provide information to interpret the effects of oil spills at cellular level in mussels.     

Seismic simulation of liquefaction-induced uplift behavior of a hollow cylinder structure buried in shallow ground

When designing buried structures using a performance-based framework, it is important to estimate their uplift displacement. A simplified method is proposed for predicting the uplift displacement of a hollow cylinder structure buried in shallow backfill based on the equilibrium of vertical forces acting on the structure during earthquakes. However, this method only provides the maximum value, which frequently is overestimated in practical applications. To offset this limitation, first, the uplift behavior of buried hollow cylinder structures subjected to strong earthquake motions was simulated. Then, two-dimensional effective stress analyses based on the multiple shear mechanism for soil were conducted, and the results were compared with the centrifuge test data. The soil parameters were evaluated based on laboratory test results. The seismic response data from 20 g centrifuge tests were analyzed, and the results were generally consistent with the results of centrifuge model tests. In particular, the effective stress model showed a reasonable ability to reproduce the varying degrees of uplift displacement depending on the geotechnical conditions of trench soils adjacent to the hollow cylinder structures buried in shallow ground.     

On planar seismic wavefront modeling for estimating rotational ground motions: Case of 2-D SH line-source

At large hypocentral distances, it is convenient to approximate the curved transient seismic wavefronts as planar to estimate rotational ground motions from the single-station recordings of translational ground motions. In this paper, we investigate whether and when this approximation, referred to as the ‘plane-wave’ approximation, can be considered adequate close to the source. For this, we consider a simplistic source model comprising a two-dimensional, kinematic shear dislocation SH line-source buried in a homogenous, elastic half-space and assume this to be an equivalent representation of a finite-sized fault. The ‘plane-wave’ rotational motion is then synthesized from the exact translational motion solution to the assumed model and compared with the exact rotational motion solution for this model. The comparison between the two sets of rotational amplitudes in frequency domain suggests that the plane-wave approximation may be adequate, when the wavelengths of the seismic waves are much smaller than the source depth. When this is not true, the plane-wave approximation is seen to underestimate the Fourier amplitudes close to the source by several orders, particularly when the fault planes are vertically oriented. A similar comparison in the time domain indicates that a severe underestimation may also occur when the source rise time is longer than the shear-wave arrival time at the epicenter. Significant discrepancies are also observed between the waveforms of the exact and plane-wave rotational motions.     

大地电磁资料精细处理和二维反演解释技术研究(二)——反演数据极化模式选择

针对大地电磁二维反演中TE、TM极化模式的选择问题,设计了多个二维、三维模型进行了正演计算,从数据对比和反演结果对比两方面入手,分析研究了三维模型和二维模型响应数据的差异、反演中极化模式的选择、以及三维模型数据的二维反演近似等问题.研究结果表明:在三维模型条件下,利用二维模型进行反演时,TE模式对模型的二维的近似程度要求远高于TM模式;当三维结构影响较明显时,利用TM模式数据进行二维反演比利用TE模式或利用TE+TM模式联合反演都更合理,反演结果中的虚假结构明显减少;对于TM模式,相位受三维畸变影响较小,视电阻率较大,所以二维反演中可适当加大相位的权;对于实测数据的二维反演,应优先考虑采用TM模式数据进行二维反演,其次是TM+TE模式,一般不要单独采用TE模式.     

The transition of flow patterns through critical stagnation points in two-dimensional groundwater flow

A flow pattern is characterized by aquifer features and the number, type, and distribution of stagnation points (locations where the discharge is zero). This article identifies a condition for transition of flow patterns in two-dimensional groundwater flow obeying Darcy’s law by examining changes in stagnation points, using the Taylor series expansion of the discharge vector. It is found that the three standard types of stagnation points (minimums, maximums, and saddle points) are completely characterized by the first-order term containing the discharge gradient tensor. However, when the determinant of the tensor becomes zero, stagnation points of other types characterized by higher-order terms come into existence. In this article, we call these zero-determinant stagnation points as critical stagnation points; they may emerge suddenly, split to a set of new stagnation points, or disappear from the flow, resulting in transitions of flow patterns. Examples of both transient and steady flows are used to illustrate the usefulness and significance of critical stagnation points.