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91.
The non-parametric Mann–Whitney (MW) statistic test has been popularly used to assess the significance of a shift in median
or mean of hydro-meteorological time series. It has been considered that the test is more suitable for non-normally distributed
data and it may be not sensitive to the distribution type of sample data. However, no evidence has been provided to demonstrate
these. This study investigates the power of the test in various circumstances by means of Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation
results demonstrate that the power of the test is very sensitive to various properties of sample data. The power depends on
the pre-assigned significance level, magnitude of a shift, sample size, and its occurrence position within a time series;
and it is also strongly affected by the variation, skewness, and distribution type of a time series. The bigger the magnitude
of a shift, the more powerful the test is; the larger the sample size, the more powerful the test is; and the bigger the variation
within a time series, the less power the test has. The test has the highest power if a shift occurs at the midpoint of a time
series. For the samples with different distribution types, the power of the test is dramatically different. The test has the
highest power for time series with the extreme value type III (EV3) distribution while it indicates the lowest power for time
series with the lognormal distribution. 相似文献
92.
探地雷达图像的正演合成与偏移处理 总被引:8,自引:2,他引:8
本文讨论了射线追踪法实现二维地电断面的探地雷达图像的正演合成问题,其中包括二维地电断面的数字拟合、多层连续界面介质中高频电磁波的反射与透射统一的运动学边界方程;根据Huygen's-Fresnel原理导出了均匀介质中二维管状体模型的衍射雷达波的计算公式;给出了用射线追踪法合成的二维地电模型的探地雷达图像;用衍射波公式合成了二维管状模型的雷达图像,并与物理模拟作了比较.在此基础上,用Kirchhoff积分法对数字模拟与物理模拟记录的雷达图像作了偏移处理,并给出了实例. 相似文献
93.
Hubert Hellmann 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2003,31(2):85-96
A Recent Contamination Trend: Polycylic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Aquatic and Terrestrial Sediments Concentrations of polycylic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) measured in aquatic sediments of small, medium‐sized or very large inland lakes, of estuaries as well as in terrestrial sediments from Germany, the UK, Finland, and the USA were plotted in 10 trend curves over the period from 1800 to 1990. The segments of the bore cores were dated for their deposition age. For comparability of the results, the trend is preferentially shown by the guide parameter fluoranthene. Until the 19th century, a constant background value of CFluo = 10…50 μg/kg was observed in all regions. Then a steep increase in concentration followed, reaching in the aquatic sediments a maximum in the period 1940 to 1965, while the individual fluoranthene values ranged widely from 90 to 2400 μg/kg. In several regions, a more or less distinct decrease superseded this maximum, although this development did not appear in terrestrial sediments, in one estuary, and in remote forest lakes in Finland. The trend curves reflect the atmospheric deposition of PAHs in airborne dust and in some cases the import through runoff via rivers. Thus, the sediment profiles depict the development of air pollution by pyrogenic contaminants over more than a century. Sediment profiles from rivers can be used only with a high degree of reservation, because of the irregularity and low representativity of the sedimentation. 相似文献
94.
95.
本文根据Aki的尾波散射理论,在前几年圈定的滇东重点监视区范围内量取了11个台近站2500个地震尾波资料,计算了各台在研究的大区域及6个小区域内的随时间变化的Q值,并分析了其随时间变化的特征,得出滇东重点监视区在未来3至5年内不会有7级以上大震发生的危险性。 相似文献
96.
97.
对1880 ̄1993年新疆及邻区7级以上强震活动特征进行了分析讨论,认为研究时段内7级以上强震活动有明显的活跃与平静交替现象。研究时段内的强震活动经历了5个轮回,每个轮回包括一个平静幕和一个活动幕,每个活动幕都有相对的主体活动区,主体活动区和7级以上单个强震都具有沿西昆仑-南天山-北天山-阿尔泰地震带往返迁移的特征。各地震带6级以上地震活动也具有明显的由西南向北东整体迁移的特征,并且这种时、空、强 相似文献
98.
从模糊数学和灰色系统理论两个不同角度来分析地震事件,把模糊数学的表达方式用于灰色灾变预测GM(1,1)中,建立了地震预测的模糊灰色模型。用此模型讨论了南北天山四个区(带)的震级序列,在等维情况下,对比了模糊灰色方法与单纯灰色方法的优劣,讨论了影响预测结果的因素,最后给出了不同目标震级下各区(带)的预测值。 相似文献
99.
Maarten Wynants Linus Munishi Kelvin Mtei Samuel Bodé Aloyce Patrick Alex Taylor David Gilvear Patrick Ndakidemi William H. Blake Pascal Boeckx 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2021,46(15):3096-3111
Water bodies in Tanzania are experiencing increased siltation, which is threatening water quality, ecosystem health, and livelihood security in the region. This phenomenon is caused by increasing rates of upstream soil erosion and downstream sediment transport. However, a lack of knowledge on the contributions from different catchment zones, land-use types, and dominant erosion processes, to the transported sediment is undermining the mitigation of soil degradation at the source of the problem. In this context, complementary sediment source tracing techniques were applied in three Tanzanian river systems to further the understanding of the complex dynamics of soil erosion and sediment transport in the region. Analysis of the geochemical and biochemical fingerprints revealed a highly complex and variable soil system that could be grouped in distinct classes. These soil classes were unmixed against riverine sediment fingerprints using the Bayesian MixSIAR model, yielding proportionate source contributions for each catchment. This sediment source tracing indicated that hillslope erosion on the open rangelands and maize croplands in the mid-zone contributed over 75% of the transported sediment load in all three river systems during the sampling time-period. By integrating geochemical and biochemical fingerprints in sediment source tracing techniques, this study demonstrated links between land use, soil erosion and downstream sediment transport in Tanzania. This evidence can guide land managers in designing targeted interventions that safeguard both soil health and water quality. 相似文献
100.