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41.
42.
Can a 25-year trend in Soudano-Sahelian vegetation dynamics be interpreted in terms of land use change? A remote sensing approach 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Agnès Bégué Elodie VintrouDenis Ruelland Maxime Claden 《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(2):413-420
This study is based on the premise that, in the Sahel/Sudanian belt of Africa, the main determinants of interannual variation in vegetation dynamics are rainfall and land cover type. We analyzed the spatio-temporal sensitivity of the NOAA-AVHRR 8 km-resolution vegetation index (NDVI) to (i) annual rainfall variability (0.5° × 0.5° resolution) acquired over a 25-year period (1982-2006); and (ii) land use changes in the different eco-climatic regions of the Bani catchment in Mali (130 000 km2). During the period 1982-2006, there was no clear trend in rainfall over the catchment, whereas there was a strong positive trend in the NDVI, both when the NDVI values were corrected using annual rainfall variability and when they were not. We divided the catchment into three eco-climatic regions based on the relationship between the annual NDVI and rainfall. In each region, we analyzed the observed greening in relation to changes in land use after correcting for the effect of annual rainfall on the NDVI. Results show that there is a mixed level of agreement between the land cover changes at the grid cell scale and the spatial pattern of the NDVI trend. Increased cropping does not explain the increase in the annual NDVI, except in the Sahelian part of the catchment. We hypothesize that the natural vegetation dynamics related to the non-linear rainfall patterns during the 25-year study period were responsible for these results. 相似文献
43.
利用1958年-2008年高低空气象观测资料以及山西省气象信息中心归档的109站1958年-2008年的原始气象记录月报表及其信息化产品资料,分别以最高气温≥35℃、≥37℃、≥40℃为指标,研究山西高温日的时空分布、变化趋势及环流特征。结果表明:a)山西高温日最早出现在4月中旬,最晚出现在9月中旬,≥35℃、≥37℃和≥40℃的高温日6月下旬最多;b)高温日数有随纬度、随海拔的升高而减少,有西部多于东部、南部多于北部、盆地多于山区的空间分布特征。≥40℃的高温区域主要集中在运城和临汾地区;C)1984年-2008年,35℃以上的高温日数整体呈上升趋势;1979年-2008年,30年间高温站次以153站次,10a的趋势增多。20世纪90年代以后,不仅高温日数增多,而且高温持续时间、强度、范围都有增强趋势;d)影响山西高温的500hPa环流形势主要有副高纬向性、副高经向型以及大陆高压(脊)控制型3类。在特定的流型配置下,T850≥25℃、T700≥13℃,T850≥26℃、T700≥14℃,T850≥28℃、T700≥15℃,T850≥32℃、T700≥16℃是山西省不同区域、不同风向影响时,≥35℃、≥37℃、≥40℃高温天气预报的临界值。 相似文献
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Brenda Moraska Lafrancois Suzanne Magdalene D. Kent Johnson 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2009,41(4):603-622
Long-term water quality monitoring data from two riverine lakes in the Upper Mississippi River basin, Lakes St. Croix and
Pepin, were analyzed to compare the long-term average water quality conditions and land use distributions, water quality trends
and loads at lake inlets and outlets, trends from long-term versus short-term monitoring records, and the ability of paleolimnological
cores to accurately infer lake water quality conditions. During the 1976–2004 period, the long-term average concentrations
of nutrients, suspended solids, and chlorophyll-a were consistently lower at the Lake St. Croix inlet versus the Lake Pepin inlet, which drains a greater proportion of urban
and agricultural runoff. Despite these differences, nutrient trends were similar at the inlets to both lakes; reductions in
total phosphorus and ammonium concentrations were attributed to improvements in point source technologies, whereas increasing
nitrate concentrations were attributed to both point source changes and nonpoint source increases. Despite improvements in
several water quality variables, nitrate concentrations are increasing in both lakes, sediment trends indicate persistent
nonpoint source inputs to Lake Pepin, and current total phosphorus concentrations remain well above pre-1950s levels in both
lakes. Since urban development and agriculture are increasing in the Lake St. Croix and Lake Pepin Watersheds, continued point
source regulation and additional nonpoint source control efforts will be needed to further improve water quality in these
lakes. The 1976–2004 trends for most water quality variables were similar at inlet versus outlet sites on Lake St. Croix.
Trends at Lake Pepin inlet versus outlet sites were less similar, but data availability limited the comparison to the 1993–2003
period. While the truncated data record highlighted short-term trends in both lakes, the full data record was most useful
for exploring general patterns in water quality. Length of monitoring record affected our ability to detect trends at the
inlets to both lakes, and altered the magnitude of detected trends. During the two decades of the 1980s and 1990s, paleolimnological
estimates of retained phosphorus loads were similar to those estimated from recent water quality monitoring. These similarities
support the use of paleolimnological approaches to infer past water quality conditions in Lakes St. Croix and Pepin.
This is one of eight papers dedicated to the “Recent Environmental History of the Upper Mississippi River” published in this
special issue of the Journal of Paleolimnology. D. R. Engstrom served as guest editor of the special issue. 相似文献
46.
47.
Stream temperature is an important property of water and affects most other water quality constituents. It is also a property which is very much influenced by exogenous factors like air temperature and stream flow. This study investigates long‐term trends in stream temperatures measured at various stream monitoring stations in Turkey to better understand links with climate change. It was found by statistical trend analysis that more streams have experienced decreasing trends than increasing ones. Moreover, stream temperatures show a rising tendency in most stations over Turkey. Flow‐adjusted temperatures were computed to eliminate flow dependency and these show more positive than negative trends. Management plans of streams and watersheds need to take this into account and incorporate the implications into plans. 相似文献
48.
中国西北地区降水的演变趋势和年际变化 总被引:32,自引:2,他引:30
将 PCA和 SSA相结合 ,分析了中国西北地区降水量的演变趋势和年际变化 ,结果表明 :西北地区的降水变化的主要趋势是 1 960年代初多雨 ,到 1 970年代初演变为少雨 ,1 980年代又多雨 ,1 990年代少雨。这种趋势在陇南和陕西中南部是最显著的 ,天山北麓区也是相对显著区。西北地区降水主要存在准 8.5a、准 3~ 4a和准 5.1 a的甚低频振荡。甚低频振荡在降水中的重要性依次为准 8.5a、准 3~ 4a和准 5.1 a。准 8.5a振荡的振幅要比准 3~ 4a和准5.1 a振荡的振幅变化大。振荡位相在空间的分布并不完全一致。 相似文献
49.
50.
中蒙强、弱沙尘暴年春季平均环流及沙尘活动变化分析 总被引:5,自引:3,他引:2
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,对比分析了中蒙东、中及西区强、弱沙尘暴年春季(3—5月)平均环流的特征和差异,讨论了过去50年3分区沙尘暴活动的变化。主要结论是:(1)根据诱发沙尘暴的诱生系统、沙尘源地、冷空气入侵路径及主要影响,中蒙沙尘暴活动区可以划分为中蒙东区、中区及西区3个区系,并分区整体讨论与预测中蒙3分区的沙尘活动。(2)中蒙东区沙尘暴强年春季盛行日本海或中国东北低压活动,常随偏东的北路及东北路冷空气入侵,带来蒙古国东部的沙尘,造成蒙古东部及中国华北的沙尘天气;而弱年春季日本海及东北低压活动则少。(3)中蒙中区沙尘暴强年春季盛行蒙古低压,多西北路及偏西的北路冷空气入侵,常造成中蒙南边界西段附近的沙尘暴天气;而沙尘暴弱年春季则相反。(4)中蒙西区沙尘暴强年春季盛行南疆热低压,多西路冷空气入侵,诱发沙尘暴,常影响南疆及柴达木盆地等;弱年春季则相反。(5)近50年中蒙地区的沙尘暴活动呈波动变化,荒漠化环境、特别是大气环流的变化是导致上述3个分区沙尘活动波动变化的主要原因。主要从大气环流角度考虑,在目前全球增暖持续的背景下,近1—2年应注意中、东区(特别是东区)沙尘活动加强的可能性。 相似文献