交通经济带的基础理论及其生命周期模式研究

随着生产力的发展，区域经济系统的空间演化与交通运输线的联系日益密切，一种依托交通干线不断集散、融合人口、产业、城镇、物流、能流、信息流的线状空间地域综合体不断生长并迅速发展，我们将这种独特的空间地域综合体称为交通经济带（Ｔｒａｆｆｉｃ Ｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃ Ｂｅｌｔ）。本文系统阐述了交通经济带的基本概念、基本类型、基本性质，并创建性地提出了交通经济带的生命周期理论。     

Comparative Study of Changes in Stress-drop of the Jinggu MS6.6 and Ludian MS6.5 Earthquake Sequences

The earthquake stress-drop values of two sequences were accurately calculated after taking away the effects due to regional earthquake anelastic attenuation and station site response, using waveform data and seismic phase data of sequences of the Jinggu M_S6.6, and Ludian M_S6.5 earthquakes in Yunnan. These results show that the stress drop with magnitude increases within the scope of this study of magnitude. After eliminating the influence of the magnitude, the average value of stress-drop in the Jinggu sequence is higher than that of the Ludian sequence at the same magnitude range. This may be related to the stress state in different regions. In terms of the changes of time and space of stress-drop, before M_S5.8 strong aftershock, the stress-drop is "slowing down-turning up-keeping a high value" after the mainshock, meanwhile, almost all of the abnormally high stress drop value is distributed around the M_S5.8 strong aftershock, showing that the stress environment in the region was increasing after the mainshock. And after the M_S5.9 strong aftershock, stress-drop rapidly declines to a relatively stable state, meanwhile, the high value of stress-drop is distributed around the strong aftershock, showing that the regional tectonic stress gets more fully release, its stress environment begins to rapidly decrease. For the Ludian sequence without a strong aftershock occurring, the average value of stress drop is lower than that of the Jinggu earthquake sequence at the same magnitude range, while at the same time, the stress-drop of the aftershock sequence almost hasn''t changed much. In the time after the mainshock, combined with the release characteristics of the main energy, the stress in the region is excessively released, the subsequent stress in the region gradually returns to normal. This may be the reason why the activity of Ludian aftershocks significantly was weaker and subsequently there were no strong aftershocks occurred.     

陕西小秦岭金矿的富化与动力成矿作用的关系

本文用动力成矿观点对小秦岭金矿田富矿体的形成提出了新的解释,对本区的动力成矿特点作了较详细的说明。文中联系到地壳演化的不同阶段对金矿的富化过程进行了较深入的讨论,并提出了新的成矿系列。笔者以基础地质、大地构造和同位素年龄资料为依据对小秦岭金矿田含金石英脉的成因提出了与前人不同的新观点,认为它是晋宁晚期岩浆期后热液矿床。     

城市居民时空行为序列模式挖掘方法

通过问卷调查获得北京市500个家庭的活动日志数据.运用序列比对方法对时空行为序列数据进行序列模式挖掘,对每类序列模式通过频繁模式挖掘出其中潜在有用的行为模式.试验结果表明,序列比对方法与频繁模式挖掘相结合在城市居民行为模式分析中应用成功,其弥补了传统数据分析方法的不足,为复杂时空行为数据的分析提供了一种新视角.     

陕西金矿床类型及其找矿方向

通过对陕西金矿资源的分析、总结,将陕西金矿成因类型划分为7类14亚类;与金矿有关的成矿系列划分为3个矿床成矿系列组合,7个成矿系列类型,10个成矿系列和4个亚系列;金矿床空间分布严格受隐伏基底和出露基底,隐伏岩体、重磁吻合构造,构造和成矿时代的控制;与金成矿有关的Ⅲ级成矿区(带)有4条,有关的Ⅳ级成矿区(带)有10条,有关的Ⅴ级主要金成矿区(带)有16条;提出了金矿新的找矿方向,为今后本区金矿地质找矿的新突破提供信息.     

扬子地台西南缘早三叠世层序地层格架

扬子地台西南缘早三叠世地层被划分为4个沉积层序。通过综合研究已取得的牙形石生物地层资料,与Haq等人提出的三叠纪牙形石生物时带进行了对比,初步定出了各沉积层序及体系域的界面年龄(层序1底界年龄251Ma;层序2底界年龄245.2Ma;层序3底界年龄243Ma;层序4底界年龄240.5Ma,顶界年龄239.4Ma),从而建立了区内分辨率较高的早三叠世地层格架。格架中层序组合特征在碳酸盐岩台地边缘显示得非常清楚,其中,层序1-层序2高水位体系域的台地边缘依次向陆后退,呈退积或超覆(overlap)型组合关系;层序3-层序4高水位体系域的台地边缘则依次向海推进,呈进积或退覆(offlap)型组合关系。这种组合特征主要受沉积盆地的构造沉降及2级海平面升降亚旋回的海面变化的控制,构造沉降加速和海面上升期形成的层序呈退积型组合关系;构造沉降平缓及海面下降期形成的层序呈进积型组合关系。此外,还研究了斜坡地带(贵阳改毛)层序1-层序3底部的碳氧同位素组成变化规律:海侵体系域-高水位体系域碳、氧同位素组成变化不大,δ13C主要为正值,但在高水位体系域顶部明显负向偏移;低水位体系域碳、氧同位素组成变化剧烈,且均为负值。这为地层划分提供了地球化学方面的依据。     

东营凹陷现河地区沙三段震积岩特征及其意义

在区域构造背景研究和岩芯观察的基础上,在东营凹陷现河地区沙三段地层中识别出震积岩。震积岩的主要标志是发育各种类型的软沉积变形构造,包括微阶梯状正断层、层内小褶皱、扭曲变形、振动液化砂岩脉、震塌岩等。通过对河152井、王59井、牛38井、牛22井等井岩芯的系统观察,发现由于构造和地震强度的不同,震积岩的垂向序列有所不同,并进一步研究了各种震积岩构造特征与地震强度的关系,研究表明不同的震积岩构造特征对应不同的地震强度,进一步确定了与古地震的关系。通过对本区储层分析,认为震积岩可以作为一种有效的储集空间。这些研究为东营凹陷构造演化研究、震积岩的识别和描述以及成藏提供了重要的地质理论依据,并可为该区古地震研究提供依据。      

建筑物沉降规律的综合时序分析

建筑物的沉降监测数据序列具有趋势变化和随机变化的特点，本文针对两种变化项的特点分别建立相应的数学模型，再将其组合起来建立综合数学模型，从总体上把握沉降数据序列的变化规律。实例计算分析表明，此方法具有较高的拟合精度和预测能力，具有一定的应用参考价值。     

Theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations for a Negative Binomial process paradox

The idea of an over-threshold sampling is to retain all the events of a time-series exceeding a given threshold. The probabilistic analysis implies estimating two statistical models, one describing the occurrence of the events (date of the events), the other describing their magnitude (value of the local maximum). These two models are then combined to obtain the distribution of the annual maxima. A well-known result of a Poisson process is that waiting time, defined as the duration between two successive events exceeding the threshold, is exponentially distributed. The assertion that the waiting time of a Negative Binomial process is also exponentially distributed seems to be in obvious contradiction with the Poisson process properties. A theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations are presented to solve this apparent paradox.     

地层学的发展推动油气地质理论研究的进步

自上个世纪50年代以来,地层学经历了彻底的变革,逐渐由“相模式”、“沉积体系”、“地震地层学”发展到目前的“层序地层学”,形成高分辨率层序地层学和事件地层学的理论体系和研究方法。文章围绕层序地层学、高分辨率层序地层学基本方法及理论体系,与含油气系统相关关系进行了讨论。