Cepheid parallaxes and the Hubble constant

Revised Hipparcos parallaxes for classical Cepheids are analysed together with 10 Hubble Space Telescope ( HST )-based parallaxes. In a reddening-free V , I relation we find that the coefficient of log  P is the same within the uncertainties in our Galaxy as in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC), contrary to some previous suggestions. Cepheids in the inner region of NGC 4258 with near solar metallicities confirm this result. We obtain a zero-point for the reddening-free relation and apply it to the Cepheids in galaxies used by Sandage et al. to calibrate the absolute magnitudes of Type Ia supernova (SNIa) and to derive the Hubble constant. We revise their result for H ₀ from 62 to 70 ± 5 km s⁻¹ Mpc⁻¹. The Freedman et al. value is revised from 72 to 76 ± 8 km s⁻¹ Mpc⁻¹. These results are insensitive to Cepheid metallicity corrections. The Cepheids in the inner region of NGC 4258 yield a modulus of 29.22 ± 0.03 (int.) compared with a maser-based modulus of 29.29 ± 0.15. Distance moduli for the LMC, uncorrected for any metallicity effects, are 18.52 ± 0.03 from a reddening-free relation in V , I ; 18.47 ± 0.03 from a period–luminosity relation at K ; 18.45 ± 0.04 from a period–luminosity–colour relation in J , K . Adopting a metallicity correction in V , I from Macri et al. leads to a true LMC modulus of 18.39 ± 0.05.     

Mattig's relation and dynamical distance indicators

We discuss how the redshift (Mattig) method in the Friedmann cosmology relates to dynamical distance indicators based on Newton's gravity (Teerikorpi 2011). It belongs to the class of indicators where the relevant length inside the system is the distance itself (in this case the proper metric distance). As the Friedmann model has a Newtonian analogy, its use to infer distances has instructive similarities to classical dynamical distance indicators. In view of the theoretical exact linear distance‐velocity law, we emphasize that it is conceptually correct to derive the cosmological distance via the route: redshift (primarily observed) → space expansion velocity (not directly observed) → metric distance (physical length in “cm”). Important properties of the proper metric distance are summarized. (© 2016 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

非单一电离层扰动场的台阵探测分析

真实的ＴＩＤ一类大尺度电离层扰动是非平稳和色散的，而且是统计非单一的．本文首先给出了描述这种真实扰动场的数学模型，进而导出了联系台阵探测可测量与扰动场传播参量的观测方程，在此基础上提出了求解观测方程的时频分析方法．这一台阵探测数据分析的新方法，既能分离出非单一电离层扰动场中各种准单一扰动成分，又能获得准单一扰动成分传播参量随时间的演变和随频率的色散．分析实例表明，本文方法分辨率好，精度高，结果可靠，是适用于ＴＩＤ一类大尺度电离层扰动台阵探测数据分析的有效方法．     

Input data resolution‐induced uncertainty in watershed modelling

The temporal‐spatial resolution of input data‐induced uncertainty in a watershed‐based water quality model, Hydrologic Simulation Program‐FORTRAN (HSPF), is investigated in this study. The temporal resolution‐induced uncertainty is described using the coefficient of variation (CV). The CV is found to decrease with decreasing temporal resolution and follow a log‐normal relation with time interval for temperature data while it exhibits a power‐law relation for rainfall data. The temporal‐scale uncertainties in the temperature and rainfall data follow a general extreme value distribution and a Weibull distribution, respectively. The Nash‐Sutcliffe coefficient (NSC) is employed to represent the spatial resolution induced uncertainty. The spatial resolution uncertainty in the dissolved oxygen and nitrate‐nitrogen concentrations simulated using HSPF is observed to follow a general extreme value distribution and a log‐normal distribution, respectively. The probability density functions (PDF) provide new insights into the effect of temporal‐scale and spatial resolution of input data on uncertainties involved in watershed modelling and total maximum daily load calculations. This study exhibits non‐symmetric distributions of uncertainty in water quality modelling, which simplify weather and water quality monitoring and reducing the cost involved in flow and water quality monitoring. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

成都地区一次暴雨诊断分析

针对2012年8月16~19日成都地区出现短时、局地暴雨、特大暴雨的异常强降水天气,利用常规气象资料、1°×1°NCEP再分析资料和客观物理量场、卫星云图等资料,对造成此次强降水主要集中在成都地区西部沿山一带的原因进行了分析。分析得出:在有利的环流背景下,中小尺度系统发生发展和演变是这次暴雨产生的直接原因;中低层维持偏南气流,暖湿气流西进北抬,低空急流为这次暴雨提供了大量的水汽和不稳定能量;中低空的水平风切变不仅为暴雨提供了强烈的辐合上升运动,同时对水汽的水平辐合和垂直输送非常有利;另外,强对流云团的生成、移动与强降水的发生密切相连相关。     

AN INSIGHT ON DRIVERS OF LAND USE CHANGE AT REGIONAL SCALE

1INTRODUCTION Land use change (LUC) involves both changes to a dif- ferent function and shifts in intensity within a function. Today, researches on LUC are aiming at regional scale, andthestudiesofthetypicalregionalLUC drivingforces at meso- and small-scale become a key issue (VAN DIGGELEN et al., 2005; CHAPLOT et al., 2005). The studies of regional LUC driving forces are to reveal the realmotivationbehindtheLUCanditsinteractingmech- anism, so as to simulate and predict the p…     

Characterizing landscape spatial heterogeneity in multisensor images with variogram models

Most evaluation of the consistency of multisensor images have focused on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index （NDVI） products for natural landscapes, often neglecting less vegetated urban landscapes. This gap has been filled through quantifying and evaluating spatial heterogeneity of urban and natural landscapes from QuickBird, Satellite pour l＇observation de la Terre （SPOT）, Ad- vanced Spacebome Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer （ASTER） and Landsat Thematic Mapper （TM） images with variogram analysis. Instead of a logarithmic relationship with pixel size observed in the corresponding aggregated images, the spatial variability decayed and the spatial structures decomposed more slowly and complexly with spatial resolution for real multisensor im- ages. As the spatial resolution increased, the proportion of spatial variability of the smaller spatial structure decreased quickly and only a larger spatial structure was observed at very coarse scales. Compared with visible band, greater spatial variability was observed in near infrared band for both densely and less densely vegetated landscapes. The influence of image size on spatial heterogeneity was highly dependent on whether the empirical sernivariogram reached its sill within the original image size. When the empirical semivariogram did not reach its sill at the original observation scale, spatial variability and mean characteristic length scale would increase with image size; otherwise they might decrease. This study could provide new insights into the knowledge of spatial heterogeneity in real multisen- sor images with consideration of their nominal spatial resolution, image size and spectral bands.     

北京市人口密度空间分布及其尺度特性研究

利用北京市第六次人口普查数据,在对人口统计数据进行空间化处理的基础上,分析了城市人口密度分布的统计特征及其空间自相关性,充分证明了北京市人口密度分布具有非常强烈的空间自相关性,并已经凸显出城市人口密度多核心分布模型的特征;在对人口统计数据进行格网化处理的基础上,分析了6种不同尺度下北京市人口密度空间分布的统计学特性和空间自相关性,证明了北京市人口密度的空间分布具有尺度特性;本文进一步对尺度特性影响下的人口密度空间分布特性空间自相关性进行了对比研究,从而揭示出空间自相关性与尺度变化间的规律。     

构造地质学中的地质思维初探

地质模型的建立,地质思维的正确运用已成为引导地质学前进的两个关键环节。本文以构造地质学领域中近年来的研究成果为基础,探讨了与空间和时间有关的地质思维问题。指出:一个地质现象的观察,一定要结合高一级尺度和低一级尺度的综合研究,才能得出既有形成机制、又有组合规律的全面结论;一个构造形迹,一定要尽力区分出不同的递进变形阶段,以提供以时间为坐标的演化序列。文末,笔者提供了两个研究实例,一个用小构造分析论证区域构造演化,一个据叠加变形原理,把研究对象区分成不同的区段和亚域。