喜马拉雅东构造结及周边地区地壳各向异性特征

利用喜马拉雅东构造结及周边地区的48个宽频带地震台站记录的远震波形数据,通过Pms波分裂测量得到了295对地壳各向异性横波分裂参数,获得了研究区的地壳各向异性图像.喜马拉雅东构造结的快波偏振方向主要为NE-SW方向,周边地区的快波偏振方向呈现出绕东构造结顺时针旋转的趋势.Pms波分裂的慢波延迟时间范围为0.11~0.30 s,平均值为0.24 s.对比分析研究区内Pms波分裂、近震直达S波分裂和远震SKS波分裂的结果发现,上地壳各向异性对Pms波分裂影响有限,地壳各向异性主要来自于中下地壳矿物和熔体的定向排列;地壳各向异性对SKS波分裂影响较小,SKS波分裂主要反映了上地幔的各向异性特征;Pms波分裂的快波偏振方向与近震直达S波分裂和远震SKS波分裂的快波偏振方向表现出较好的一致性,并且与地表构造和变形特征具有较好的相关性,反映了喜马拉雅东构造结及周边地区的岩石圈变形可能为垂直连贯变形模式.

     

双相各向异性介质中弹性波方程的有限元解法及波场模拟

基于双相各向异性介质模型,首先推导了双相各向异性介质中弹性波传播的动力学方程及其Galerkin变分方程和有限元运动方程,然后给出了孔隙弹性波方程的有限元数值解法以及二维双相PTL介质中波场模拟的人为吸收边界条件. 最后,利用本文给出的有限元方法对双相PTL介质和双相各向同性介质中的弹性波传播进行了数值模拟. 结果表明:有限元方法和吸收边界条件有效、可行,在理想相界条件下,不论是从固体位移,还是从流体位移的波场快照都能看到明显的慢速拟P波;在黏滞相界情况下,能否观察到慢速拟P波,与含流体地层介质的耗散性质有关.对实际含流体介质,从流体位移分量的波场快照比从固体位移波场快照更容易观察到慢速拟P波.     

快速有效的转换波共转换点叠加技术

转换波共转换点(Common Conversion Point简称CCP)叠加的关键在于CCP抽道集和非双曲线正常时差校正NMO(Normal MoveOut). 目前方法的精度限制了其在中-浅层或大炮检距情况下的应用. 我们对CCP叠加技术进行了系统研究,导出了新的CCP位置计算公式和非双曲线时距关系式,并给出了具体的CCP抽道集方法. 理论模型试验和实验资料处理表明本文方法精度高、简便易行,特别是对于中-浅层和大炮检距情况也能得到良好的叠加效果.     

峒室围岩松动圈震波探测技术与应用

简要介绍了利用地震波进行巷道围岩松动圈测试与解析的原理和方法技术。通过在煤矿巷道松动圈震波测试的应用实例,说明了单孔检层与跨孔CT方法是一种有效的围岩松动圈测试方法。     

基于贝叶斯模型的中国未来气温变化预估及不确定性分析

利用第5次耦合模式比较计划(CMIP5)中35个全球气候模式历史模拟与RCP4.5预估结果,通过贝叶斯模型平均(Bayesian Model Averaging,BMA)对中国气温进行多模式集合研究,给出了中国未来气温变化预估及其不确定性的时空分布。结果表明,中国21世纪冬夏将持续升温,且升温具有冬季高于夏季,北方高于南方的特点。初期(2016—2035年)北方有很大可能(80%)升温超过0.7℃,南方升温相同幅度的概率则超过50%;中期(2046—2065年)北方和南方升温超过1.5℃的概率分别为80%和50%;末期(2081—2100年),北方(南方)有80%(50%)的可能的升温超过2℃。气温预估的不确定性研究发现,无论冬夏,21世纪不同时期升温相对较弱的塔里木盆地、青藏高原南侧和中国东南地区为不确定性低值区,基本低于0.6℃,对应可信度较高,如21世纪初期信噪比超过4;而不确定性的高值区则主要分布在新疆北部、东北平原北部和青藏高原东南侧等升温相对较大的地区,普遍高于1℃,对应可信度较低,如初期信噪比低于2.5。此外,基于信噪比对比发现除青藏高原东部外,其他区域夏季预估的可信度均高于冬季,21世纪末期高于初期,且空间分布特征一致。     

Heterogeneous surface displacement pattern at the Hatchobaru geothermal field inferred from SAR interferometry time-series

We estimated surface displacements using persistent scatterer SAR interferometry (PS-InSAR) around the Hatchobaru geothermal field, Japan, from 18 ALOS/PALSAR images acquired from July 2007 to December 2010. Generally, geothermal fields, covered with natural targets such as rocky terrain and vegetation, have been one of the difficult targets for PS-InSAR analysis. However, we applied space adaptive filtering to increase the number of pixels for measuring surface displacement. The results of our analysis demonstrate ground subsidence with decaying velocity over the observation period around the geothermal field. The spatial pattern of ground subsidence includes sharp boundaries of subsidence that can be interpreted as fault traces. We demonstrated the usefulness of PS-InSAR analysis with the space adaptive filtering to estimate surface displacements with high spatial resolution and high spatial density around a geothermal field.     

Diagnosis of earth-fill dams by synthesised approach of sounding and surface wave method

The spatial distribution of the strength inside the earth-fill is identified by the sounding tests. In this research, the Swedish weight sounding (SWS) is employed, and the spatial high-density test is performed to identify the spatial correlation structure. Furthermore, the synthesised approach of the SWS and surface wave method, which is one of the geophysical method, is proposed to compensate the shortage of each approach. Consequently, the correlation structure of an earth-fill could be identified accurately, and the high resolution of the spatial distribution could be visualised based on the survey results.     

Twenty-five years of spectral UV-B measurements over Canada,Europe and Japan: Trends and effects from changes in ozone,aerosols, clouds,and surface reflectivity

Spectral UV records of solar irradiance at stations over Europe, Canada, and Japan were used to study long-term trends at 307.5 nm for a 25-year period, from 1992 to 2016. Ground-based measurements of total ozone, as well as satellite measurements of the Aerosol Index, the Total Cloud Cover and the surface reflectivity were also used in order to attribute the estimated changes of the UV to the corresponding changes of these factors. The present study shows that over the Northern Hemisphere, the long-term changes in UV-B radiation reaching the Earth's surface vary significantly over different locations, and that the main drivers of these variations are changes in aerosols and total ozone. At high latitudes, part of the observed changes may also be attributed to changes in the surface reflectivity. Over Japan, the UV-B irradiance at 307.5 nm has increased significantly by ∼3%/decade during the past 25 years, possibly due to the corresponding significant decrease of its absorption by aerosols. It was found that the greatest part of this increase took place before the mid-2000s. The only European station, over which UV radiation increases significantly, is that of Thessaloniki, Greece. Analysis of the clear-sky irradiance for the particular station shows increasing irradiance at 307.5 nm by ∼3.5%/decade during the entire period of study, with an increasing rate of change during the last decade, possibly again due to the decreasing absorption by aerosols.     

中国隧道及井巷地震波法超前探测技术研究分析

自20世纪90年代以来,反射地震波法作为一种主要的超前探测技术在我国国内隧道及井巷工程中取得了诸多成功应用的探测实例,同时在应用中不同探测方法也存在不少问题。文章结合国内外超前探测中应用较为广泛的TSP法、负视速度法、HSP法、TRT法、ISIS系统等反射波探测技术加以阐明,分析了国内超前探测技术应用与研究的现状,指出隧道及井巷超前探测数据采集与处理过程中存在的不足,并进一步提出超前探测研究在正反演理论、数据采集、偏移成像技术等方面应该注意的问题,超前探测的目标是要建立和完善一套实时的巷道前方地质体的动态监测与预报系统。     

浅层高分辨率反射地震试验研究：以雄安新区第四系为例

雄安新区城市规划建设对地下空间的高精度勘探提出了高要求,作为具有高分辨率的地面物探方法,反射波地震勘探技术具有良好应用前景。本文探究了厚覆盖区条件下的高精度有效反射地震探测技术,并利用反射纵波技术在雄安新区进行提高浅层分辨率的地震勘探方法试验。根据实际探测目标,通过对比分析不同检波器、震源类型、道距大小及接收排列长度等不同采集因素试验效果,探究已有条件下适宜的震源类型和最佳采集参数。结合实际资料处理和分层解释,试验研究表明,采用高频检波器、选择可控震源激发效果最佳,针对试验目标,结合小道距、适当排列接收等措施,可有效提高厚覆盖区50~300 m深度内反射纵波地震勘探的纵向分辨率,试验获得了丰富的有效波组信息,为内部地层精细划分和解释提供了依据。该方法可为类似环境下城市地下空间的精细探测提供有益参考借鉴。