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61.
TRMM PR雷达与阜阳雷达降水资料的对比研究 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
选取了1998年与1999年HUBEX观测资料,将TRMM卫星上的星载降雨雷达PR与阜阳的713数字化天气雷达资料在以下3个方面做了比较:(1)强度场的分布;(2)平均反射率廓线;(3)灵敏度。分析、比较结果可知阜阳雷达在探测灵敏度和水平方向的分辨率要高于PR,但由于波束宽度、衰减和资料转化过程计算误差的原因,其远距离处的观测值与真实值有一定偏差。PR波长短,对衰减敏感,尤其是在垂直方向上经过强衰减后,订正值仍偏小。但由于探测方式的不同PR在水平方向上不存在衰减的问题,且其资料分布均匀,因此提出一种用PR资料来订正地基雷达资料的方法用以提高地基雷达探测的精确度。 相似文献
62.
Ananda K. Das U. C. Mohanty Someshwar Das M. Manual S. R. Kalsi 《Journal of Earth System Science》2003,112(2):165-184
The skill and efficiency of a numerical model mostly varies with the quality of initial values, accuracy on parameterization
of physical processes and horizontal and vertical resolution of the model. Commonly used low-resolution reanalyses are hardly
able to capture the prominent features associated with organized convective processes in a monsoon depression. The objective
is to prepare improved high-resolution analysis by the use of MM5 modelling system developed by the Pennsylvania State University/National
Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU/NCAR). It requires the objective comparison of high and low-resolution analysis datasets
in assessing the specific convective features of a monsoon depression. For this purpose, reanalysis datasets of NCAR/NCEP
(National Center for Atmospheric Research/National Centers for Environmental Prediction) at a horizontal resolution of 2.5‡
(latitude/longitude) have been used as first guess in the objective analysis scheme. The additional asynoptic datasets obtained
during BOBMEX-99 are utilized within the assimilation process. Cloud Motion Wind (CMW) data of METEOSAT satellite and SSM/I
surface wind data are included for the improvement of derived analysis. The multiquadric (MQD) interpolation technique is
selected and applied for meteorological objective analysis at a horizontal resolution of 30 km. After a successful inclusion
of additional data, the resulting reanalysis is able to produce the structure of convective organization as well as prominent
synoptic features associated with monsoon depression. Comparison and error verifications have been done with the help of available
upper-air station data. The objective verification reveals the efficiency of the analysis scheme. 相似文献
63.
A. K. Mitra M. Das Gupta R. K. Paliwal S. V. Singh 《Journal of Earth System Science》2003,112(2):223-232
A daily rainfall dataset and the corresponding rainfall maps have been produced by objective analysis of rainfall data. The
satellite estimate of rainfall and the raingauge values are merged to form the final analysis. Associated with epochs of monsoon
these rainfall maps are able to show the rainfall activities over India and the Bay of Bengal region during the BOBMEX period.
The intra-seasonal variations of rainfall during BOBMEX are also seen using these data. This dataset over the oceanic region
compares well with other available popular datasets like GPCP and CMAP. Over land this dataset brings out the features of
monsoon in more detail due to the availability of more local raingauge stations. 相似文献
64.
Inclement weather creates a chronic hazard for Canadian travellers. Past studies indicate that road collision rates increase during precipitation, although the magnitude of theincrease varies from study to study, partly as a result of variations in weather and driving conditions,but also because of differences in methods. The goal of the current study is to improve ourunderstanding of the links between weather and travel risk in mid-sized Canadian cities by using astandardized method for analyzing data from six cities with different climates: Halifax-Dartmouth,Ottawa, Québec, Hamilton, Waterloo Region, and Regina. The study has four interrelated objectives: (1) Toconduct a sensitivity analysis to determine the extent to which risk estimates vary depending onthe criteria used to define precipitation events and `normal' conditions; (2) To compare therelative risk of collision and injury during precipitation relative to `normal' conditions; (3) Todetermine the extent to which weather-related risks vary fordifferent Canadian cities; and (4) To explore any differences in collision characteristics between events and controls, especially as theyvary from city to city. Results are based on a matched-pair analysis, using six-hour time blocks over afour-year period, 1995 to 1998. Results indicate only modest sensitivity to the criteria used to define precipitation events and `normal' conditions. On average, precipitation is associated with a 75 percentincrease in traffic collisions and a 45 percent increase in related injuries, as compared to `normal'seasonal conditions, but risk levels vary depending on the characteristics of the weather event.Both sensitivity to specific weather conditions and weather-related accident profiles vary from city tocity in ways that are not easily explained. 相似文献
65.
Hazard Zoning for Landslides Connected to Torrential Floods in the Jerte Valley (Spain) by using GIS Techniques 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Carrasco R.M. Pedraza J. Martin-Duque J.F. Mattera M. Sanz M.A. Bodoque J.M. 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(3):361-381
The Jerte Valley is anortheast-southwest tending graben located in the mountainous region of west central Spain (Spanish Central System). Mass movements have been a predominant shaping process on the Valley slopes during the Quaternary. Present day activity is characterized as either `first-time failure' (shallow debris slides and debris flows) or `reactivations' of pre-existing landslides deposits.A delineation of landslide hazard zoningwithin the Valley has been carried out by using the detailed documentation of a particular event (a debris slide and a sequel torrential flood, which occurred on the Jubaguerra stream gorge), and GIS techniques. The procedure has had four stages, which are: (1) the elaboration of a susceptibility map (spatial prediction) of landslides; (2) the elaboration of a map of `restricted susceptibility' in the particular case of slopes that are connected to streams and torrents (gorges); (3) the elaboration of a digital model which relates the altitude to the occurrence probability of those particular precipitation conditions which characterized the Jubaguerra event and (4) the combination of the probability model with the `restricted susceptibility map', to establish `critical zones' or areas which are more prone to the occurrence of phenomena that have same typology as this one. 相似文献
66.
Anton VaksMiryam Bar-Matthews Avner AyalonBettina Schilman Mabs GilmourChris J Hawkesworth Amos FrumkinAaron Kaufman Alan Matthews 《Quaternary Research》2003,59(2):182-193
High-resolution 230Th/234U ages and δ18O and δ13C compositions of speleothems in Ma’ale Efrayim Cave located to the east of the central mountain ridge of Israel enable us to examine the nature of the rain shadow aridity during glacial and interglacial intervals. Speleothem growth occurred during marine glacial isotopic periods, with no growth during the two last marine isotope interglacial intervals and during the peak of the Last Glacial Maximum. This contrasts with speleothem growth in caves located on the western flank of the central mountain ridge, in the Eastern Mediterranean semiarid climatic zone, which continued throughout the last 240,000 yr. Thus, during glacial periods water reached both sides of the central mountain ridge. A comparison of the present-day rain and cave water isotopic compositions and amounts at the Ma’ale Efrayim Cave site with those on the western flank shows that evaporation and higher temperatures on the eastern flank are major influences on isotopic composition and the lack of rainfall. The δ18O and δ13C profiles of the speleothems deposited between 67,000 and 25,000 yr B.P. match the general trends of the isotopic profiles of Soreq Cave speleothems, suggesting a similar source (eastern Mediterranean Sea) and similar climatic conditions. Thus, during glacial periods the desert boundary effectively migrated further south or east from its present-day location on the eastern flank, whereas interglacial periods appear to have been similar to the present, with the desert boundary at the same position. The decrease in overall temperature and a consequent reduction in the evaporation to precipitation ratios on the eastern flank are viewed as the major factors controlling the decay of the rain shadow effect during glacial periods. 相似文献
67.
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69.
江西省夏季干旱特征分析 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3
根据1951~2000年江西省降雨量、降雨日数、降雨变率等资料,统计和分析江西省夏季干旱期间降雨量、降雨日数、降雨变率等变化与地理分布客观特征.文章还对江西干旱标准、干旱指数与伏、秋干旱时空分布客观特征等进行分析.分析结果为江西人工增雨抗旱作业提供依据. 相似文献
70.
选取反映大气环流作用的500hPa的三个因子场:1956~2001年环流特征量、振幅和位相资料作为预报因子与钦州市1957~2002年5月降水量求相关比,将求得的高相关比因子用非线性映象法制作钦州市1995~2002年5月的降水量预报,试报效果明显。 相似文献