Distinct patterns of interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics

Dynamic interaction between river morphodynamics and vegetation affects river channel patterns and populations of riparian species. A range of numerical models exists to investigate the interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics. However, many of these models oversimplify either the morphodynamics or the vegetation dynamics, which hampers the development of predictive models for river management. We have developed a model coupling advanced morphodynamics and dynamic vegetation, which is innovative because it includes dynamic ecological processes and progressing vegetation characteristics as opposed to commonly used static vegetation without growth and mortality. Our objective is to understand and quantify the effects of vegetation‐type dependent settling, growth and mortality on the river pattern and morphodynamics of a meandering river. We compared several dynamic vegetation scenarios with different functional trait sets to reference scenarios without vegetation and with static vegetation without growth and mortality. We find distinct differences in morphodynamics and river morphology. The default dynamic vegetation scenario, based on two Salicaceae species, shows an active meandering behaviour, while the static vegetation scenario develops into a static, vegetation‐dominated state. The diverse vegetation patterns in the dynamic scenario reduce lateral migration, increase meander migration rate and create a smoother floodplain compared to the static scenario. Dynamic vegetation results in typical vegetation patterns, vegetation age distribution and river patterns as observed in the field. We show a quantitative interaction between vegetation and morphodynamics, where increasing vegetation cover decreases sediment transport rates. Furthermore, differences in vegetation colonization, density and survival create distinct patterns in river morphology, showing that vegetation properties and dynamics drive the formation of different river morphologies. Our model demonstrates the high sensitivity of channel morphodynamics to various species traits, an understanding which is required for floodplain and stream restoration and more realistic modelling of long‐term river development. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Compositional Zoning of the Bishop Tuff

Compositional data for >400 pumice clasts, organized accordingto eruptive sequence, crystal content, and texture, providenew perspectives on eruption and pre-eruptive evolution of the>600 km³ of zoned rhyolitic magma ejected as the Bishop Tuffduring formation of Long Valley caldera. Proportions and compositionsof different pumice types are given for each ignimbrite packageand for the intercalated plinian pumice-fall layers that eruptedsynchronously. Although withdrawal of the zoned magma was lesssystematic than previously realized, the overall sequence displaystrends toward greater proportions of less evolved pumice, morecrystals (0·5–24 wt %), and higher FeTi-oxide temperatures(714–818°C). No significant hiatus took place duringthe 6 day eruption of the Bishop Tuff, nearly all of which issuedfrom an integrated, zoned, unitary reservoir. Shortly beforeeruption, however, the zoned melt-dominant portion of the chamberwas invaded by batches of disparate lower-silica rhyolite magma,poorer in crystals than most of the resident magma but slightlyhotter and richer in Ba, Sr, and Ti. Interaction with residentmagma at the deepest levels tapped promoted growth of Ti-richrims on quartz, Ba-rich rims on sanidine, and entrapment ofnear-rim melt inclusions relatively enriched in Ba and CO₂.Varied amounts of mingling, even in higher parts of the chamber,led to the dark gray and swirly crystal-poor pumices sparselypresent in all ash-flow packages. As shown by FeTi-oxide geothermometry,the zoned rhyolitic chamber was hottest where crystal-richest,rendering any model of solidification fronts at the walls orroof unlikely. The main compositional gradient (75–195ppm Rb; 0·8–2·2 ppm Ta; 71–154 ppmZr; 0·40–1·73% FeO*) existed in the melt,prior to crystallization of the phenocryst suite observed, whichincluded zircon as much as 100 kyr older than the eruption.The compositions of crystals, though themselves largely unzoned,generally reflect magma temperature and the bulk compositionalgradient, implying both that few crystals settled or were transportedfar and that the observed crystals contributed little to establishingthat gradient. Upward increases in aqueous gas and dissolvedwater, combined with the adiabatic gradient (for the 5 km depthrange tapped) and the roofward decline in liquidus temperatureof the zoned melt, prevented significant crystallization againstthe roof, consistent with dominance of crystal-poor magma earlyin the eruption and lack of any roof-rind fragments among theBishop ejecta, before or after onset of caldera collapse. Amodel of secular incremental zoning is advanced wherein numerousbatches of crystal-poor melt were released from a mush zone(many kilometers thick) that floored the accumulating rhyoliticmelt-rich body. Each batch rose to its own appropriate levelin the melt-buoyancy gradient, which was self-sustaining againstwholesale convective re-homogenization, while the thick mushzone below buffered it against disruption by the deeper (non-rhyolitic)recharge that augmented the mush zone and thermally sustainedthe whole magma chamber. Crystal–melt fractionation wasthe dominant zoning process, but it took place not principallyin the shallow melt-rich body but mostly in the pluton-scalemush zone before and during batchwise melt extraction. KEY WORDS: Bishop Tuff; ignimbrite; magma zonation; mush model; rhyolite     

长江口九段沙下段冲淤演变水动力机制分析

概述了长江口深水航道整治一期工程及工程对九段沙下段地形冲淤的影响.根据已建立的σ坐标系下三维非线性水流数学模型,用新测水文资料对模型进行验证.利用所建立的模型,结合由现场测量得到一期工程前后九段沙下段近期地形演变,数值模拟了北槽区域流通量、底层欧拉余流和北槽中下段平面水流特征,以综合分析北槽水域水动力变化对九段沙下段地形冲淤变化的影响.     

Selection of regional historical rainfall time series as input to urban drainage simulations at ungauged locations

It has become established practice during the past 20 years to use high-resolution historical rainfall time series as input to hydrological model packages for detailed simulation of urban drainage systems. However, sufficiently long rain series are rarely available from the exact catchment in question and simulations are hence often based on available rain series from other locations. Extreme rainfall properties of importance to the performance of urban storm drainage systems vary significantly even in regions with only minor physiographic differences. Part of this variation can be explained by regional variations of the mean annual rainfall and the remaining statistical residue can be interpreted as statistical uncertainty.In Denmark, more than 75 high-resolution rain gauges are installed across a total area of 43,000 m. About 40 gauges had sufficiently long records to be included in a comprehensive national investigation where newly developed statistical regionalisation procedures were used to model the regional variation of extreme rainfalls. On this basis, a spreadsheet model was made available for estimation of extreme design rainfalls and the associated uncertainty at any location in the country. Statistics were furthermore computed to classify historical rainfall time series according to the developed regional model, and this makes it possible to assess the uncertainty related with using different historical rain series for simulations at ungauged locations.This research indicates that use of historical point rainfall data at ungauged locations introduces a significant uncertainty that is largely overlooked in today's practice. The engineering recommendation is to select historical rain series based on an evaluation of the local physiographic characteristics (e.g., the mean annual rainfall) and a (pre-defined) desired safety level of the simulations.     

EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变模型研究

EPS颗粒轻质混合土是一种新型轻质填土材料,相比EPS泡沫块体,具有更广泛的应用前景。EPS颗粒轻质混合土的基本物理及力学性质已得到了较多的研究,但其蠕变特性研究较少。通过不同围压下EPS颗粒轻质混合土的三轴不排水蠕变试验,采用三种常用的经验模型：Singh & Mitchell模型、Mesri模型和Findley模型对EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变变形进行模拟,结果表明：Singh & Mithcell模型和Mesri模型能反映蠕变趋势,但是不能拟合应变初始快速上升段,用来描述EPS泡沫块体的Findley模型在应力水平较高时,拟合效果最好,某种程度上说,EPS颗粒轻质混合土的蠕变性与EPS泡沫块体相似。推导出了一种新的半经验半理论蠕变模型,用元件模型描述弹性变形部分,用经验模型描述塑性变形部分,拟合结果表明,不管应力水平的高低,新推蠕变模型都不仅能够很好地反映EPS颗粒轻质混合土的初始快速上升段变形,也能够比较准确地拟合长期变形,即蠕变性。     

粗差验后方差的无偏估计与最优稳健估计

在正态粗差假设下导出了粗差验后方差的无偏估计,对误差工膨胀模型和误差均值移动模型,两者的无偏估计公式是相同的。这证明了李德仁验后方差的朱建军方差不是无偏的。由于偏方定义的彭方法是正态粗差假设下的最优稳健估计。     

建筑物沉降监测中的改进灰色模型

针对传统非等间距GM(1,1)模型在建筑物沉降监测中预测精度不够高的问题,提出了一种新的非等间距GM(1,1)建模方法。此法基于初始条件改进及把灰色微分方程的白化方程中的灰导数用离散形式进行表示的改进相结合、提高非等间距GM(1,1)模型的建模精度。结合桂林市某广场的集商用、住房于一体的高层建筑的沉降变形监测实例,将本模型的沉降预测的结果同文献中另一非等间距GM(1,1)改进方法进行对比分析和检验,充分验证了建筑物沉降变形分析预报中本模型方法的可行性和优越性,对进一步促进非等间距GM(1,1)模型在沉降变形预测中的应用起到了积极的作用。     

T639数值产品对影响新疆主要系统的预报检验评估

使用T639L60模式2009—2010年1°×1°分辨率72 h预报时效内的高度场预报产品及ECMWF客观分析场,采用天气学检验方法,对新疆主要天气影响系统(西西伯利亚低槽、乌拉尔大槽、北方横槽和中亚低值系统)数值产品的预报能力进行检验。主要从影响系统生成时间、中心强度、槽线位置、移动速度4个方面进行检验。检验结果表明:T639模式对新疆影响系统具有较好的预报性能,尤其对48h内的预报能力非常高。但因影响系统和预报时效不同其预报能力也有较大差异,对越深厚的低槽系统,T639模式的预报效果越好;T639产品对西西伯利亚低槽和乌拉尔大槽出现时间预报偏早的较多,而北方横槽和中亚低值系统偏晚的多;对西西伯利亚低槽和中亚低值系统槽线位置预报偏快的较多,而乌拉尔大槽和北方横槽偏慢的多。     

蒙古塔木察格盆地塔南凹陷下白垩统层序结构类型、控制因素与层序发育模式

利用录井及地震反射资料,采用层序地层学原理对蒙古塔木察格盆地塔南凹陷下白垩统地层层序进行了划分和对比,划分出了4个三级层序（SQ1-SQ4）。在此基础上,结合盆地的构造演化特点,研究了层序结构特征,划分了层序类型,其中,SQ1和SQ2为初始裂谷期湖泊层序,SQ3为裂谷深陷期层序,SQ4为裂谷后过渡层序。层序的结构主要受构造沉降方式控制,塔南凹陷不同时期构造沉降方式不同,形成了3种层序发育模式,即简单箕状斜坡模式、差异沉降构造反转模式、坳陷型层序发育模式,不同的层序发育模式,其地层岩性圈闭的发育和分布不同。     

利用ARC/INFO进行三维地形模型的建立、处理和动态模拟

介绍了利用 ARC/ INFO建立三维地形模型的方法 ,以及利用其新版本的部分新功能处理三维地形模型、进行动态模拟的方法 ,与以往处理三维模型必须借助外部三维图形开发软件包的方法相比 ,具有高速、灵活、可视性强、支持强大分析功能等优点。形成的三维模型可随时与 ARC/ INFO的其它数据模型交换信息 ,与外部进程实时通讯 ,为使用者提供了二维分析工具所不能提供的信息 ,为开发视景仿真系统等与表面分析、立体显示有关的应用系统提供了强有力的支持。