云南省地域主体功能区划分实践及反思

以云南省主体功能区划分为研究命题,探讨边疆高原山地省份的主体功能区划实践的难题与解决方法,以期为主体功能区划提供理论指导与管理决策参考。研究发现：对于“然环境空间分异显著、人口集聚与经济发展基础差异明显、交通主导经济格局和面临民族与边疆地缘政治复杂情境的省域,主体功能区划分过程以县域为分析评价单元,以主导因素综合指数法...     

基于主体功能区视角的县域规划创新研究

县域是我国主体功能区划分和规划落实的基本空间单元。主体功能区理念促进了县域规划思路的转型、创新,实现了县域规划由经济导向型、上级指令型、政府主导型、部门分割型和社会经济发展管治型向多目标综合协调型、刚性与弹性兼容并蓄型、双向互动互求协商型、主体功能定位导向型和空间协调管治型的转变。进而依据主体功能定位不同,从空间模式、产业导向、城镇体系、基础设施、生态支撑和规划考核等方面重构了县域规划内容体系,并以新沂市为例对限制型开发县域规划相关理论进行了进一步论证,最后依据主体功能区的分类特征有针对性地提出了实施县域规划的保障措施。     

Crustal velocity structure beneath the western Andes of Colombian using receiver-function inversion

Analysis of teleseismic records obtained in two broadband seismic stations of three components located on the Andean region of Colombia is presented in this work. The two stations are located at the Western Cordillera (WC), station BOL, and at the Central Cordillera (CC), station PBLA. The analysis of seismograms was performed by inversion of the receiver functions (RF) in order to obtain the crustal velocity structure beneath the receivers. The receiver function is a spectral ratio obtained from teleseismic earthquakes recorded by broadband seismic stations, which allows the calculation of the velocity structure beneath the receiver by removing source effects in the horizontal components of the seismic traces. Data stacking was performed in order to improve signal to noise ratio and then the data was inverted by using two optimization algorithms: a genetic algorithm (GA), and a simulated annealing algorithm (SA). The present work calculates the receiver functions using teleseismic earthquakes at epicentral distances (Δ) ranging between 30° and 90° and recorded at the two stations within the years 2007 and 2009.Delay times between P and PS waves converted at the Moho boundary were used to constrain the velocity structure. The receiver functions at the stations were generated from seismic events within a broad range of back azimuth. Data from gravity and magnetism were also used during the geophysical survey. The depth of the Moho boundary was found to be at 40 km in the WC beneath station BOL and at 43 km in the CC beneath station PBLA. The upper crust, with a thickness of 5 km, is characterized by a shear wave velocity of about 3.0 km s⁻¹; the shallower layers, at approximately 1.0 km, have shear wave velocities between 2.2 and 2.6 km s⁻¹, which corresponds to sediments overlying the upper crust. These observations support the hypothesis of a thickness of the crust at the root of the mountain range to be between 32 and 50 km. The calculated receiver functions were compared with artificial ones generated from the inversion of 48000 models of horizontal layers for each station using a GA and an SA that allowed a satisfactory coverage of all the sample space in order to avoid non-unique solutions. Beneath station BOL a moderate low-velocity zone (LVZ) was found, which was caused by accretionary processes of the ophiolite complex in the WC.     

Trend analysis and ARIMA modelling of pre-monsoon rainfall data for western India

Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall over different seasons influence physical, social and economic parameters. Pre-monsoon (March, April and May – MAM) rainfall over the country is highly variable. Since heat lows and convective rainfall in MAM have an impact on the intensity of the ensuing monsoons, hence the pre-monsoon period was chosen for the study. The pre-whitened Mann Kendall test was used to explore presence of rainfall trend during MAM. The results indicate presence of significant (at 10% level) increasing trend in two stations (Ajmer, Bikaner). The practical significance of the change in rainfall was also explored as percentage changes over long term mean, using Theil and Sen's median slope estimator. Forecast using univariate ARIMA model for pre-monsoon months indicates that there is a significant rise in the pre-monsoon rainfall over the northwest part of the country.     

多元均生函数模型及其在短期气候预测中的应用

在原均生数模型的基础上，对模型进行改进，首次引入预报因子变量，建立一个多元的均生函数模型。它适应于气温、降水、热带气旋个数等多种要素预报。新建的多元均生函数模型包含了原模型的优点。而且比原有均生函数模型具有更物理基础。     

基于QFD的自动气象站运行质量测评

将质量功能展开(Quality Function Deployment,QFD)方法引入到自动气象站运行质量测评研究中,建立了观测员对自动气象站运行满意度测评质量功能展开模型,通过两个阶段的质量屋结构将观测员对自动气象站运行质量逐步展开为观测员所关注的具体细节,该模型不但可以帮助自动站设计人员、业务管理人员、技术保障人员及测报员直观了解自动气象站运行现状,而且为提高自动气象站运行质量指明了需要改进的技术和方法.     

近49年华南“龙舟水”的降水分型

采用旋转经验正交函数分解法(REOF)对华南地区1961—2009年"龙舟水"进行了降水分型,并采用线性倾向估计法、经验模态分解(EMD)、Morlet小波分析和Mann—Kendall检测等分析方法对各降水型的时空特征进行了研究。结果发现:华南"龙舟水"具有东南沿海型、北部型和西南沿海3种优势降水型,并存在着6~8 a的周期振荡。近49年东南沿海型(北部型和西南沿海型)呈现一致的下降(上升)趋势,华南"龙舟水"在20世纪90年代中期至今主要呈现北部型,但近几年东南沿海型和西南沿海型对应显著正距平。东南沿海型和北部型分别在20世纪70年代中后期和90年代初各有一次突变,而西南沿海型没有发生明显的突变。最后,从西太平洋副热带高压、阻塞高压、季风槽、低层切变线、垂直速度和整层水汽输送等方面对比了"龙舟水"期间3种不同降水型所对应的大气环流异同。     

新疆和周边地区地壳厚度和Vp/Vs比值变化的接收函数约束

我们用修订后的接收函数H-K叠加算法估计了新疆和周边地区90个地震台站下的地壳厚度和波速比Vp/Vs.该地区平均地壳厚度约为52 km,变化范围约为33～79 km.最厚地壳位于西昆仑山的TAG台站,最薄地壳在塔拉斯-费尔干那断层附近的NRN台站.对每个台站的点地壳厚度估计结果进行了线性各向同性变差模型的标准克里金空间...     

地震勘探中检波器组合之组内距选择方法探讨

使用相关分析方法可以定量地确定地震勘探中检波器组合的组内距，达到更有效地压制各种随机干扰，从而提高地震记录的信噪比的目的，作者在本文中，利用相关分析的思路，给出了用计算机干扰相关半径定量确定组内距的野外工作方法和数据计算方法，在实施地震施工表明，使用本方法可有效地压制各种随机干扰，达到提高地震记录信噪比的目的。     

两种震级标度讨论

分析论述了我国在测报近震震级和面波震级业务中存在的种种问题，用现行起算函数测算的ML随震中距存在系统偏差，近场偏低，远场偏高；此函数系统建立的方法有不合理之处，它不适于DD-1仪。用现行公式测算的MS与国际上震级水平不一致，总体趋势偏高；在90(距离上震级零点严重失控；用单一水平向记录计算MS是个原则性差误。需要用新的起算函数系统代替R1(()计算ML; 需要用新的公式取代现行公式计算MS。