Elimination of effects of earthquake in monitoring crustal movement

Monitoring crustal movements is important in understanding the earth surface and in developing theories about plate tectonics. Plate tectonics describes earth crust which consists of a number of plates moving relative to one another. Global plate models suggest that plate movements are constant due to the fact that relative movements of plates were represented by averaged plate motion. However, if an earthquake occurs, the uniform movement of related plates does not follow the regular trend. In analysis by Kalman Filter, the effects of an earthquake occured within crustal movement monitoring period by geodetic method have been eliminated by a proposed approach, Fading Memory Filter. The proposed method was tested using a real/simulated data. The results of the test showed that the effect of a strong earthquake (M_w = 7.1) which had occurred in the Gulf of Eilat/Aqaba was eliminated. Consequently, the proposed method is capable of removing or eliminating a suddan effect in monitoring crustal movements in the analysis by using the Kalman Filter.     

Shape factor in the drawdown solution for well testing of dual-porosity systems

One of the important parameters in existing commercial dual-porosity reservoir simulators is matrix–fracture shape factor, which is customarily obtained by assuming a constant pressure at the matrix–fracture boundary. In his work, Chang [1] and [2] addressed the impact of boundary conditions at the matrix–fracture interface and presented analytical solutions for the transient shape factor and showed that for a slab-shaped matrix block a constant pressure boundary condition leads to an asymptotic (long-time) shape factor of π²/L², and that a constant volumetric flux leads to an asymptotic shape factor of 12/L². In a recent paper [3], we reconfirmed Chang’s [1] and [2] results using a Laplace transform approach. In this study, we extend our previous analysis and use infinite-acting radial and linear dual-porosity models, where the boundary condition is chosen at the wellbore, as opposed to at the matrix boundary. The coupled equations for fracture and matrix are solved analytically, taking into account the transient exchange between matrix and fracture. The analytical solution that invokes the time dependency of fracture boundary condition under constant rate is then used to calculate the transient shape factors. It is shown that, for a well producing at constant rate from a naturally fractured reservoir, the appropriate value of stabilized shape factor is 12/L². This contrasts with the commonly used shape factor for a slab-shaped matrix block that is subject to a constant pressure boundary condition, which is π²/L². The errors in the matrix–fracture exchange term in a dual-porosity model associated with the use of a shape factor derived based on constant pressure boundary condition at the matrix boundary are then evaluated.     

Area coverage maximization in service facility siting

Traditionally, models for siting facilities in order to optimize coverage of area demand have made use of discrete space representations to efficiently handle both candidate facility locations and demand. These discretizations of space are often necessary given the linear functional forms of many siting models and the complexities associated with evaluating continuous space. Recently, several spatial optimization approaches have been proposed to address the more general problem of identifying facility sites that maximize regional coverage for the case where candidate sites and demand are continuously distributed across space. One assumption of existing approaches is that only demand falling within a prescribed radius of the facility can be effectively served. In many practical applications, however, service areas are not necessarily circular, as terrain, transportation, and service characteristics of the facility often result in irregular shapes. This paper develops a generalized service coverage approach, allowing a sited facility to have any continuous service area shape, not simply a circle. Given that demand and facility sites are assumed to be continuous throughout a region, geometrical properties of the demand region and the service facility coverage area are exploited to identify a facility site to optimize the correspondence between the two areas. In particular, we consider the case where demand is uniformly distributed and the service area is translated to maximize coverage. A heuristic approach is proposed for efficient model solution. Application results are presented for siting a facility given differently shaped service areas.

Political memories of conflict,economic land concessions,and political landscapes in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic

Political memories—which are crucial for establishing and maintaining ‘political capital’, based on individual and group positioning during past conflict and wars, but also in relation to presentday politics—are important when considering varied outcomes from negotiations and other interactions that occur in the Lao People’s Democratic Republic in relation to large-scale economic land concessions. This paper continues to expand on the idea of political memories of past conflicts and wars by considering the concept in relation to the theoretical framework proposed by Hall et al. (2011) in their book Powers of Exclusion, which stresses the importance of interactions between regulation, force, the market and legitimation for understanding different types of exclusionary processes, especially those linked to land access. I argue that political memories are particularly relevant when it comes to legitimation, but that expanding the concept so as to include political memories is important. In relation to large-scale plantation, mining and hydropower dam concessions, I also stress the importance of political memories in (re)shaping understandings of landscapes, thus creating particular varieties of memory laden political landscapes, which too are constituted by the past but are also politically mobilized in the present.     

基于Alpha Shape算法的分散式乡村聚落形状划分及其形成研究——以米脂县龙镇为例

为了定量划分分散式乡村聚落的形状类型并探究其形成原因,以陕北黄土丘陵沟壑区米脂县龙镇为例,尝试使用Alpha Shape算法对聚落形状进行提取,通过Boyce-Clark指数计算并划分聚落形状类型,最后结合多元线性回归和回归树的方法探究影响聚落形状的因素。结果表明：100 m滚动半径下,Alpha Shape算法能够提取76.1%聚落的精确轮廓;研究区乡村聚落形状类型可以分为块状矩形及其变种、延伸形、哑铃形和串珠形、带状矩形及其组合、线形5种,Boyce-Clark指数依次增加;高程和Boyce-Clark指数呈显著正相关,水资源可获取性与Boyce-Clark指数在高海拔地区呈负相关,聚落面积与Boyce-Clark指数先呈负相关后呈正相关。研究结果可为分散式聚落生活空间边界的划定提供参考,增进对黄土丘陵沟壑区分散式聚落形态的认识。     

On the unified theory of atmospheric particle systems part ii: self–affine particles

As the second attempt at unifying treatment of atmospheric particle systems, this paper further examines shape characterization of atmospheric particles. First, to support the theoretical framework developed in Part I, methods for studying non-spherical particles are reviewed. It is argued that these different methods can be unified under fractal geometry through the generalized power laws given in Part I. Empirical power-laws for hydrometeors scat-tered in literature since 1935 are summarized and reevaluated in terms of fractals. Second, generalization from self-similar to self-affine particles is discussed. Self-affinity of atmospheric particles is exemplified by examining the exponents in the power laws between the length along a- and c-axis of ice crystals. It is argued that unlike Euclidean and self-similar particles, self-affine particles do not have a simple dimensional relation between original particles and their projections; the relation for projection of self-similar particles and Mandelbrot’ thumb rules for intersection respectively set the lower and upper bound. Using published data, self-affine particles are shown to exist in the at-mosphere. The existence of self-affine particles in turn calls for instruments that can simultaneously measure mass, area and maximum diameter (or their equivalents).     

煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射记忆效应的力电耦合规律

理论分析了煤岩变形破坏过程中电磁辐射脉冲数与损伤之间的关系,探讨了煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射产生机制及电磁辐射记忆效应的力电耦合规律,建立了等围压三轴应力状态下含瓦斯煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射记忆效应的力电耦合模型,实验测定并分析了单轴压缩状况下含瓦斯煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射记忆效应的力电耦合规律.结果表明,含瓦斯煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射记忆效应力电耦合模型很好地反映了煤岩变形破坏电磁辐射记忆效应特征规律和微观损伤机理.     

利用自记忆模式试报我国汛期降水

基于大气运动是一种不可逆过程的观点，引进了记忆过去时次资料的记忆函数。进一步阐明了大气运动的自记忆概念，导出了大气运动的自记忆性方程。基于自记忆原理，从大气热力学方程和水分平衡方程出发，建立了一个用于短期降水预报的数学模式。对6－8月我国汛期降水预测作了12年的回报试验，结果表明该模式的预测评分比目前的月预报有很大提高。     

Sr对6A02铝合金组织和性能的影响

通过电磁感应炉制备了含锶6A02铝合金,对制备的试样采用OM、XRD、硬度测试、拉伸测试,研究Sr含量对6A02铝合金组织和性能的影响。结果表明Sr元素的加入可以细化合金的铸态组织,改变组织形貌。当Sr含量为0.5%时,细化效果最好,合金其力学性能最优。随着Sr含量的增加,6A02铝合金出现新相Al_4Sr,随着组织中Al_4Sr相增多,Mg_2Si相的析出减少,减弱了对合金的强化效果,合金的力学性能呈下降趋势。     

海洋环流模式对平流方案与分辨率的敏感性

文中将中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室（LASG）发展的准全球海洋环流模式（LICOM）,从水平分辨率、垂直分辨率、平流方案3个方面分别采用不同的方案,进行组合试验,研究这些因素对于海洋环流（特别是热带海洋）的重要影响。8组试验表明,水平分辨率的提高,对于流场的改进有显著作用,能够使流场达到与实际非常接近的强度;调整的垂直分辨率,上层海洋的加密,能够使热带太平洋上层海洋的模拟改进;引入的两步保形平流方案,能够使得热带太平洋海温的模拟有所改进,这种改进的效果在低分辨率的情况下,尤为明显。同时,8组试验也一致地表现出等温线的密集程度比实际情况稀疏,这反映了模式在物理过程,特别是混合过程的描述方面,还有值得改进的地方。