Comparison between natural and artificial maturation series of humic coals from the Mahakam delta,Indonesia

Type III (humic) organic matter from the Mahakam delta (Indonesia) was chosen to compare artificial and natural coal series. Powdered and concentrated immature organic matter was heated in sealed gold tubes for 24 hr at temperatures ranging from 250 to 550°C and under pressures ranging from 0.5 to 4 kb, with and without water. Both elemental and Rock-Eval analyses were used to characterize the products. A comparison between our results, published data and the natural model shows that, quantitatively, natural maturation is simulated better when pyrolysis is performed under confined conditions (no free volume, no diluting inert gas). Thus, pyrolysis in a medium swept by an inert gas, vacuum pyrolysis and some pyrolysis in sealed glass tubes must be considered to be poor simulation tools. The presence of water does not seem to have an essential effect. Allowing the hydrocarbons formed to reach a certain value of partial pressure seems to be important. Results are unchanged when external pressure varies from 0.5 to 4 kb.     

Kappa (k) derived from accelerograms recorded in the 2008 Wenchuan mainshock,Sichuan, China

High-frequency spectral decay factor, kappa (k), in the accelerograms of the Wenchuan mainshock was measured using strong motion data from 52 stations within 311 km of the epicenter. The derived k range from 0.0034 s to 0.0468 s. The correlation of k versus fault distance was given, which is k = 0.01288 + 5.9068 × 10^–5 R for the N-S component, k = 0.01881 + 1.4219 × 10^–5 R for the E-W component, and k = 0.00855 + 5.6086 × 10^–5 R for the U-D component. The analysis on the spatial variation of k demonstrates that k relates to source effect and propagation effect besides local site effect. Ground motions for the 52 stations were simulated using derived k and compared to actual recordings in terms of waveforms, amplitude spectra and response spectra. The results show agreement at shorter periods (<1 s), but a slight overestimation at longer periods (1–7 s).     

Structural stability of gravity dams: a progressive assessment considering uncertainties in shear strength parameters

Structural sliding stability of gravity dams is generally quantified using deterministic factor of safety, FS_det. Large FS_det (e.g. 3 in normal condition), are used in existing guidelines to guard against material and load uncertainties. Some guidelines allow an arbitrary reduction in FS_det (e.g. 2) when the knowledge in strength parameters increases from material test data. Yet, those reduced FS_det are not based on a rational consideration of uncertainties. Propagation of uncertainties could be done using probabilistic analyses, such as Monte-Carlo simulations (MC) which are complex and challenging for practical use. There is thus a need to develop simplified reliability based safety assessment procedures that could rationalise the adjustment of FS_det. This paper presents a progressive analysis methodology using four safety evaluation formats of increasing complexity: (i) deterministic, (ii) semi-probabilistic (partial coefficient), (iii) reliability based Adjustable Factor of Safety (AFS), and (iv) probabilistic. Comprehensive comparisons are made for the sliding safety evaluation of a 80 m gravity dam. Results are presented in terms of sliding factors of safety, allowable water levels, and demand/capacity ratios. It is shown that the AFS formulation, using direct integration, is simple and practical to use in complement to existing dam safety guidelines before undertaking MC simulations.     

距离法定量评价储层地质模型的不确定性

针对目前常用的储层地质模型不确定性评价方法存在的主要问题,提出了先用距离函数计算模型之间的差异,再以差异的大小来判断不确定性大小的方法.以WZ油田西区为例,采用相控物性参数建模技术,利用顺序高斯模拟方法建立渗透率的三维模型.对各种度量差异的距离函数进行对比研究和分析,结果显示曼哈顿距离函数和欧氏距离函数能较好地刻画模型之间的差异.选用欧氏距离函数计算模型之间的差异,其原理是先计算每两个模型之间相对应的每一网格节点的渗透率值差的平方和,然后取平方根,得到一个表征各模型之间差异的矩阵.根据该矩阵可得到各个模型之间的差异程度,差异越大,不确定性就越大.最后通过对比模型过井剖面图分析结果与距离矩阵分析结果,说明了本方法的正确性,结果显示该方法能有效评价随机模拟生成的储层地质模型的不确定性.     

中国高精度土地覆盖数据在RegCM4/CLM模式中的引入及其对区域气候模拟影响的分析

基于中国1:100万植被图和1:600万植被区划图, 按照通用陆面模式CLM植被功能型分类标准, 制作了可用于CLM及RegCM4区域气候模式的25 km×25 km分辨率的中国高精度土地覆盖数据(简称VEG数据). 相比CLM默认使用的土地覆盖数据(简称ORG数据), VEG数据不仅能提供更多的土地覆盖局地特征, 还纠正了ORG数据中裸地和农作物的比例偏高、 灌木的比例偏低等误差. 对比使用两套土地覆盖数据的RegCM4多年连续积分结果, 分析了不同土地覆盖分布对气温、 降水等的影响, 并从地表能量收支的角度给出影响机理解释. 结果显示: VEG数据的使用, 使得模式对冬季气温和降水的模拟能力有一定提高, 模式在南部区域偏干偏冷的系统误差有所减弱; 采用VEG数据后, 由于粗糙度、 反照率等下垫面参数的改变及云量的变化, 使得地表能量收支发生显著调整. 青藏高原地区的气温变化与湍流通量和长波辐射的变化有密切的联系, 主要源自粗糙度引起的湍流通量增加、 以及云量引起的向下净长波辐射增加. 而在中国中部和南部, 短波辐射变化更为明显, 它与地表反照率的变化相一致. 基于所制作的土地覆盖数据, 可广泛应用于CLM模式在中国区域的应用之中.     

Numerical modeling of toxic nonaqueous phase liquid removal from contaminated groundwater systems: mesh effect and discretization error estimation

Numerical modeling has now become an indispensable tool for investigating the fundamental mechanisms of toxic nonaqueous phase liquid (NAPL) removal from contaminated groundwater systems. Because the domain of a contaminated groundwater system may involve irregular shapes in geometry, it is necessary to use general quadrilateral elements, in which two neighbor sides are no longer perpendicular to each other. This can cause numerical errors on the computational simulation results due to mesh discretization effect. After the dimensionless governing equations of NAPL dissolution problems are briefly described, the propagation theory of the mesh discretization error associated with a NAPL dissolution system is first presented for a rectangular domain and then extended to a trapezoidal domain. This leads to the establishment of the finger‐amplitude growing theory that is associated with both the corner effect that takes place just at the entrance of the flow in a trapezoidal domain and the mesh discretization effect that occurs in the whole NAPL dissolution system of the trapezoidal domain. This theory can be used to make the approximate error estimation of the corresponding computational simulation results. The related theoretical analysis and numerical results have demonstrated the following: (1) both the corner effect and the mesh discretization effect can be quantitatively viewed as a kind of small perturbation, which can grow in unstable NAPL dissolution systems, so that they can have some considerable effects on the computational results of such systems; (2) the proposed finger‐amplitude growing theory associated with the corner effect at the entrance of a trapezoidal domain is useful for correctly explaining why the finger at either the top or bottom boundary grows much faster than that within the interior of the trapezoidal domain; (3) the proposed finger‐amplitude growing theory associated with the mesh discretization error in the NAPL dissolution system of a trapezoidal domain can be used for quantitatively assessing the correctness of computational simulations of NAPL dissolution front instability problems in trapezoidal domains, so that we can ensure that the computational simulation results are controlled by the physics of the NAPL dissolution system, rather than by the numerical artifacts. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于加卸载响应比理论的矿柱动力稳定性分析

利用有限差分程序FLAC建立连续和并排的两类非均质矿柱模型,对矿柱在动力载荷循环作用下的破坏过程进行全时程动力分析。将加卸载响应比(LURR)理论引入矿柱动力稳定性分析中,以施加的动力载荷对矿柱作用的周期性变化作为加载量,以矿柱特征点的位移变化和破坏单元的弹性应变能的演化规律作为响应参数,建立矿柱的加卸载响应比模型,确定矿柱在动力载荷作用期间的加卸载响应比时间序列。计算结果表明,矿柱整体上处于稳定状态和趋于失稳时,其加卸载响应比Y值表现出不同的特征,通过对Y值的分析对矿柱的稳定状态进行评价,预测是否临近峰值承载能力,表明在矿柱动力破裂过程数值模拟分析中引入加卸载响应比是矿柱破坏力学行为研究的一种方便而有效的方法。     

岛状多年冻土管道周围热-水-应力耦合数值模拟

考虑大气温度以及管内流动介质温度的影响,建立由多个土层构成的岛状冻土物理模型,研究塔河地区埋地输油管道周围热-水-应力（T-H-M）耦合作用,分析水-热-应力耦合作用下管道的受力情况并进行管道强度验算。采用多物理场耦合软件COMSOL Multiphysics进行数值模拟,计算在T-H-M三场耦合及非耦合两种工况下岛状多年冻土管道周围应力和沉降曲线等。分析比较表明,岛状多年冻土区的温度,冰水相变以及水分迁移对应力场存在较大的影响;水分场、温度场以及应力场三者之间耦合作用明显;岛状冻土随季节呈周期性冻融,管道周围出现较大应力集中和沉降现象,会对管道安全产生一定影响。     

临海浅埋富水明挖隧道底板合理支护参数研究

沿海地区深基坑设计施工都十分重视其抗浮问题,在深基坑开挖前掌握抗拔桩对于基坑隆起和围护结构变形及受力规律十分重要,其研究成果对于节约工程成本和保证基坑施工安全具有重要的指导意义。以港珠澳大桥侧接线拱北海关隧道明挖段为依托,首先建立抗拔桩与土体的硬接触模型,并验证该模型对于抗拔桩模拟的合理性,采用极差分析法研究底板不同桩长和桩径加固对基坑围护结构稳定性的影响规律。分析结果表明,增大桩长可更有效地减小地表沉降,增大桩径可更好地控制连续墙的变形,增大桩长和桩径都可以很好地控制坑底隆起。     

锦屏大理岩蠕变损伤演化细观力学特征的数值模拟研究

岩石的蠕变损伤和断裂是岩石流变效应的重要表现形式,但其损伤演化过程往往难以直观观测,为此,采用二维颗粒流数值模拟方法(PFC2D)对岩石的蠕变损伤和断裂的细观力学机制进行了分析。在锦屏大理岩室内试验基础上,利用颗粒流应力腐蚀模型(PSC),建立了能反映其短期和长期强度特征的柱状岩样数值模型,并开展了大量数值试验。结果表明,蠕变损伤的演化过程与暂态的损伤演化过程具有明显的差异。在岩样蠕变损伤过程中,其内部微裂纹多沿加载方向开裂且分布均匀,先快速增加再稳定扩展,最后则发生快速断裂。当荷载较小时,岩样宏观上呈现劈裂破坏特征,当荷载较大时,岩样呈现剪切破坏特征。在岩样蠕变损伤初始和稳定演化阶段的前期,荷载大小对岩样的损伤演化过程影响不大;在稳定演化阶段的后期至断裂过程中,低荷载下岩样的损伤增速比高荷载下快。