IMPACT OF DIABATIC PROCESSES IN AGCM ON 4-DIMENSIONAL VARIATIONAL DATA ASSIMILATION*

The impact of diabatic processes on 4-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) was studied using the 1995 version of NCEP's global spectral model with and without full physics.The adjoint was coded manually.A cost function measuring spectral errors of 6-hour forecasts to "observation" (the NCEP reanalysis data) was minimized using the L-BFGS (the limited memory quasi-Newton algorithm developed by Broyden,Fletcher,Goldfard and Shanno) for optimizing parameters and initial conditions.Minimization of the cost function constrained by an adiabatic version of the NCEP global model converged to a minimum with a significant amount of decrease in the value of the cost function.Minimization of the cost function using the diabatic model, however,failed after a few iterations due to discontinuities introduced by physical parameterizations.Examination of the convergence of the cost function in different spectral domains reveals that the large-scale flow is adjusted during the first 10 iterations,in which discontinuous diabatic parameterizations play very little role.The adjustment produced by the minimization gradually moves to relatively smaller scales between 10-20th iterations.During this transition period,discontinuities in the cost function produced by "on-off" switches in the physical parameterizations caused the cost function to stay in a shallow local minimum instead of continuously decreasing toward a deeper minimum. Next,a mixed 4D-Var scheme is tested in which large-scale flows are first adiabatically adjusted to a sufficient level,followed by a diabatic adjustment introduced after 10 to 20 iterations. The mixed 4D-Var produced a closer fit of analysis to observations,with 38% and 41% more decrease in the values of the cost function and the norm of gradient,respectively,than the standard diabatic 4D-Var,while the CPU time is reduced by 21%.The resulting optimal initial conditions improve the short-range forecast skills of 48-hour statistics.The detrimental effect of parameterization discontinuities on minimization was also reduced.     

An investigation of analysis of variance as a tool for exploring regional differences in strong ground motions

The statistical technique known as analysis of variance is applied to a large set of European strong-motion data to investigate whether strong ground motions show a regional dependence. This question is important when selecting strong-motion records for the derivation of ground motion prediction equations and also when choosing strong-motion records from one geographical region for design purposes in another. Five regions with much strong-motion data (the Caucasus region, central Italy, Friuli, Greece and south Iceland) are investigated here. For the magnitude and distance range where there are overlapping data from the five areas (2.50 M_s 5.50, 0 d 35 km) and consequently analysis of variance can be performed, there is little evidence for a regional dependence of ground motions. There is a lack of data from moderate and large magnitude earthquakes (M_s > 5.5) so analysis of variance cannot be performed there. Since there is uncertainty regarding scaling ground motions from small to large magnitudes whether ground motions from large earthquakes are significantly different in different parts of Europe is not known. Analysis of variance has the ability to complement other techniques for the assessment of regional dependence of ground motions.     

基于生态事件序列的时态关联规则挖掘

本文分析了时态关联规则挖掘的相关定义,介绍了强时态关联规则挖掘的步骤,设计并实现了基于时间约束的T-Apriori算法。提出了生态事件和生态时间序列的概念,以我国南海大亚湾海域的赤潮现象为例,研究了基于生态事件序列的时态关联规则挖掘问题。     

“数字城市”地理空间数据基准研究

针对"数字城市"建设中地理空间数据基准存在的问题,提出基于CGCS 2000建立新地理空间数据基准的解决对策,从基准上解决数字城市互通互联问题,使地方与国家基准保持相对统一。探讨大地基准常用建立方法,总结一套适用"数字城市"通用算法,并以某城市数据为例,分析不同算法的差异,得出了新基准有利于减少长度变形影响的结论。     

城市地质灾害应急管理平台的设计与研究

我国地质灾害多发,严重威胁到山地城市安全.城市地质灾害应急管理的首要环节是应急部门对信息的及时沟通和决策部门对信息的高效管理.因此,设计具有完善的数据共享模式,并具备良好服务架构的信息平台是科学应急管理的必要手段.本文研究了城市地质灾害应急管理平台设计中的关键技术,提出了基于地理网络和元数据管理的数据共享模式;建立了基于SOA的平台架构,并描述了分布式环境下的平台配置结构.通过引入先进的软件技术和GIS技术,可以为城市地质灾害救援指挥提供必要的信息和技术支撑,最终实现减轻城市突发性地质灾害损失的目的.     

IS影像3维扫描全站仪在矿山开采中的应用

介绍了基于拓普康IS影像3维扫描全站仪获取的点云数据,构造不规则三角网(TIN)计算土石方的功能和特点,并对该系统在齐齐哈尔市碾子山区东海采石场的应用情况进行了详细地介绍和分析。实际应用表明,影像全自动扫描全站仪在矿山开采中具有操作流程更简单,系统效率高,作业时间短,测量结果精度高等特点。     

基于空间数据库VRGIS的研究与应用

结合空间数据库、GIS、计算机图形学、RS等技术构建了虚拟现实地理信息系统。通过研究地形数据的生成及空间数据库的存储管理,实现了遥感影像的自动配准及无缝拼接;基于四叉树的LOD算法、地形节点评价系统、动态调度及大规模纹理映射等技术的研究,实现了地形数据的3维可视化;提出了自适应特征数据覆盖渲染算法,将2维GIS特征数据覆盖叠加到所创建的3维模型上,构建了虚拟现实环境。该系统成功应用于胜利油田,实现了地下油田的虚拟现实3维可视化,具有一定的理论价值和现实意义。     

利用全数字法后期处理土地利用现状调查成果

从地类调查开始,通过全数字化处理手段和软件开发,阐述了全数字化内业处理的优越性,介绍了一种高效的土地利用现状调查内业处理方法.     

人工观测与自动仪器观测的对比分析

文章利用察右中旗2010年人工观测与自动仪器观测的对比分析,分析两种观测技术获取的气象数据所存在的差异,确保结果的科学性,为自动站业务化运行和气候资料的连续性提供一定参考依据。     

加密自动站资料在强对流天气分析预报中的应用

利用常规分析资料、雷达产品和太原地面加密自动站资料,对2008年6月28日出现在太原地区的一次强对流天气过程进行了分析,结果发现:①高空冷涡和中低空暖湿气团配置为此次强对流天气提供了有利的环流背景条件。②雷达回波的形状、结构、VIL均显示出强对流特征,速度辐合区与地面中尺度辐合线相对应,垂直方向存在强烈的风切变。③逐小时变温场显示出冷空气入侵路径、强度,负变温中心未来成为强对流天气区。④地面中尺度辐合线是强对流发生的触发机制,逐小时变压场的负中心与随后出现的灾害性天气区有效对应。⑤对流发生前,单站气象要素出现显著的不连续变化,气压和湿度呈同位相变化,与气温变化则反位相,3者在对流发生前1h同步出现谷(峰)值,灾害天气出现在之后的要素陡升(降)时段内。