大湄公河次区域中尺度行政区划地理信息系统数据库(GMS_AdmBnd)开发标准研究

大湄公河次区域是自1992年起由亚洲开发银行启动的区域性长期合作计划涉及的区域。在大湄公河次区域经济合作数字化分析过程中,行政区划地理信息系统数据库就成为其中基础性数据库,也是应用面最宽的数据库。本文重点是在现有的行政区划地理信息系统数据库的基础上,建立大湄公河次区域中尺度行政区划地理信息系统数据库(GMS-AdmBnd)的开发标准,包括:主要技术指标,开发流程和成果质量比对指标。本论文内容的发表,将便于用户在使用该数据时根据数据库特点,了解其适用性和局限性,有针对性地加以应用。     

华南北热带11.5―2.5 ka B.P. 温度集成重建与特征分析

基于“综合-比例法”（Composite Plus Scale,CPS）,利用近年来已发表的数据集成重建我国华南北热带地区11.5―2.5 ka B.P.温度变化序列。结果表明,该地区冷暖变化可以分为三大阶段：11 500―9 500 a B.P.为全新世早期阶段;9 500―4 000 a B.P.为全新世大暖期阶段;4 000―2 500 a B.P.开始出现降温过程。功率谱和小波分析表明：华南北热带气候变化具有多时段、多尺度冷暖周期变化特征,在千年尺度上,1.3 ka和3.3~3.9 ka是其冷暖变化的主要周期。序列中可以识别出一系列气候波动事件,如8.2 ka、7.9 ka、7.1 ka、4.1 ka气候事件。交叉小波谱分析表明：ENSO对华南北热带地区温度变化有着显著影响,特别是7 ka B.P.以来其影响进一步加强。通过与其他序列的对比发现：华南北热带地区的气候变化是对全球变化的响应,但也同样存在区域差异。     

原子钟信号的神经网络模型

时间尺度的连续性要求对原子钟信号进行必要的预测,预测的实质是建立一个模型来逼近原子钟的信号,前向神经网络具有良好的副近非线性 函数的能力,用神经网络模型来预测原子钟信号,并与AD模型的预测结果作了比较。     

Improving understanding of the spatial dimensions of biophysical change in atoll island countries and implications for island communities: A Marshall Islands’ case study

Using coarse-scale approaches, existing national assessments of vulnerability and adaptation highlight physical land instability as a major threat to atoll island nationhood. However, such evaluations are bereft of detailed, ground-truthed analyses of the physical impacts of climatic change on reef islands, treating islands as homogenous in both biophysical and social characteristics. The distinct geomorphic context of two proximate reef islands (Jeh and Jabat) in the Marshall Islands was examined through conventional land survey techniques. A template documenting the nuances in island topography was used to evaluate simple inundation scenarios, reflecting current and future sea-level changes under storm surge conditions. The variations in local scale community exposure to inundation were discernible. The study highlights the importance of treating coarse-scale assessments with caution and underscores the need for continued commitment to resolving variations in community experiences to environmental change. Notions of risk and exposure are complex and embedded in both the biophysical and social contexts of each island community. Despite a number of targeted urban vulnerability studies in the Pacific there remains a need for efforts to document localised differences in experience to better inform contemporary adaptation efforts.     

Studying fractal geometry on submicron length scales by small-angle scattering

Recent studies have shown that internal surfaces of porous geological materials, such as rocks and lignite coals, can be described by fractals down to atomic length scales, In this paper, the basic properties of self-similar and self-affine fractals are reviewed and how fractal dimensions can be measured by small-angle scattering experiments are discussed.This paper was presented at Emerging Concepts, MGUS-87 Conference, Redwood City, California, 13–15 April 1987.     

Permeability and compression characteristics of municipal solid waste samples

Four series of laboratory tests were conducted to evaluate the permeability and compression characteristics of municipal solid waste (MSW) samples. While the two series of tests were conducted using a conventional small-scale consolidometer, the two others were conducted in a large-scale consolidometer specially constructed for this study. In each consolidometer, the MSW samples were tested at two different moisture contents, i.e., original moisture content and field capacity. A scale effect between the two consolidometers with different sizes was investigated. The tests were carried out on samples reconsolidated to pressures of 123, 246, and 369 kPa. Time settlement data gathered from each load increment were employed to plot strain versus log-time graphs. The data acquired from the compression tests were used to back calculate primary and secondary compression indices. The consolidometers were later adapted for permeability experiments. The values of indices and the coefficient of compressibility for the MSW samples tested were within a relatively narrow range despite the size of the consolidometer and the different moisture contents of the specimens tested. The values of the coefficient of permeability were within a band of two orders of magnitude (10⁻⁶–10⁻⁴ m/s). The data presented in this paper agreed very well with the data reported by previous researchers. It was concluded that the scale effect in the compression behavior was significant. However, there was usually no linear relationship between the results obtained in the tests.     

岩体结构面抗剪强度综合评价

结构面抗剪强度参数是工程岩体稳定性分析和加固治理方案设计的重要指标。本文系统总结了岩体结构面粗糙度系数的各质异性、各向异性、非均一性和尺寸效应特征,回顾了结构面粗糙度系数测量仪器研制过程和结构面粗糙度系数测量技术发展历程,介绍了岩体结构面抗剪强度综合评价的具体步骤,并通过试验对比分析了岩体结构面抗剪强度综合评价方法的可靠性。     

Ambartsumian’s methods in the theory of radiative transfer

The purpose of this article is to provide some insight into Ambartsumian’s methods in the theory of radiative transfer, their applications, and further development. Two of these methods are emphasized--the invariance principle and the method of addition of layers, proposed by Ambartsumian in the 1940’s. The difference between these methods and the classical approach for solving radiative transfer problems is discussed. We discuss only a small portion of the subsequent work by others that we believe reveals, in a more intuitive way, the essence and significance of Ambartsumian’s methods and their efficiency for applications. Thus, for example, a separate section is devoted to applications of the Lagrangian formalism to radiative transfer and it is shown that the invariance principle is a special case of a more general variational principle that reflects an invariance with respect to translational transformation of the optical depth. Our discussion of the method of addition of layers points out its generality and the major role it has played in the later creation of such methods as Bellman’s invariant imbedding method and the method for solving radiative transfer problems in inhomogeneous media. The latter method has yielded a number of new analytic results. The concluding section is a brief summary of Ambartsumian’s results in the nonlinear theory of radiative transfer, where he was a pioneer in the study of the class of multilevel problems. This article also sets out to demonstrate the place and role of Ambartsumian’s methods in the theory of radiative transfer, which, to a great extent, set the path along which this theory developed for many years to come. Translated from Astrofizika, Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 5–27 (February 2009).     

Comparison of the structure and accuracy of two land change models

This paper compares two land change models in terms of appropriateness for various applications and predictive power. Cellular Automata Markov (CA_Markov) and Geomod are the two models, which have similar options to allow for specification of the predicted quantity and location of land categories. The most important structural difference is that CA_Markov has the ability to predict any transition among any number of categories, while Geomod predicts only a one‐way transition from one category to one alternative category.

To assess the predictive power, each model is run several times to predict land change in central Massachusetts, USA. The models are calibrated with information from 1971 to 1985, and then the models predict the change from 1985 to 1999. The method to measure the predictive power: 1) separates the calibration process from the validation process, 2) assesses the accuracy at multiple resolutions, and 3) compares the predictive model vis‐à‐vis a null model that predicts pure persistence. Among 24 model runs, the predictive models are more accurate than the null model at resolutions coarser than two kilometres, but not at resolutions finer than one kilometre. The choice of the options account for more variation in accuracy of runs than the choice of the model per se. The most accurate model runs are those that did not use spatial contiguity explicitly. For this particular study area, the added complexity of CA_Markov is of no benefit.