Prediction of relative crest settlement of concrete-faced rockfill dams analyzed using an artificial neural network model

A neural network model has been developed for the prediction of relative crest settlement (RCS) of concrete-faced rockfill dams (CFRDs) using 30 databases of field data from seven countries (of which 21 were used for training and 9 for testing). The settlement values predicted using the optimum artificial neural network (ANN) model are in good agreement with these field data. A database prepared from reported crest settlement values of CFRDs after construction was used to train the ANN model to predict the RCS. It is demonstrated here that the model is capable of predicting accurately the relative crest settlement of CFRDs and is potentially applicable for general usage with knowledge of the three basic properties of a dam (void ratio, e; height, H; and vertical deformation modulus, E_V).

The performance of the new ANN model is compared with that of conventional methods based on the Clements theory and also with that of a proposed equation derived from the field data. The comparison indicates that the ANN model has strong potential and offers better performance than conventional methods when used as a quick interpolation and extrapolation tool. The conventional calculation model was proposed based on the fixed connection weights and bias factors of the optimum ANN structure. This method can support the dam engineer in predicting the relative crest settlement of a CFRD after impounding.     

中国探空观测与第3代再分析大气湿度资料的对比研究

为评估中国探空观测与第3代再分析大气湿度资料的差异,基于ERA-Interim、JRA-55、MERRA和CFSR再分析和中国118探空站1979-2015年逐月850-300 hPa大气比湿和相对湿度的原始值及均一化序列,通过分析探空与再分析资料的相对偏差、相关系数、标准差比和变化趋势,研究了两者在多年平均值、年际变率、离散度及长期变化趋势等方面的差异。结果表明,中国探空原始湿度序列存在显著的非均一性问题,均一化提高了序列的连续性,但存在显著的低偏差,总体较原始湿度偏低5%-43%。再分析中国平均对流层大气比湿和相对湿度较探空观测偏高,相对湿度的偏差幅度（7%-48%）较比湿大（4%-13%）,对流层高层较低层大,春秋季偏差较夏季显著。各再分析资料间的差别较小,JRA-55在对流层高层较其他再分析资料偏低,与探空观测较接近。再分析与均一化后中国探空比湿和相对湿度年际变率和离散度在对流层低层较为一致,对流层中高层再分析资料的离散度明显高于探空。再分析与均一化探空中国平均比湿在对流层低层一致呈上升趋势;对流层中层探空为上升趋势,再分析资料为下降趋势。再分析与均一化探空相对湿度变化趋势差异较大,探空为上升趋势且对流层中高层上升显著,对流层再分析为下降趋势。      

2022年北京冬季奥运会人工造雪气象条件初步研究

利用北京和张家口地区气象站建站至2016年历年11月至次年3月气象资料,研究2022年北京冬奥会人工造雪地面气象条件,结果表明：降水相态与地面气温(T)和相对湿度线性组合关系密切,通过计算不同温度对应降水相态频率,发现北京T≤-0.2℃,张家口市T≤-0.8℃时,降水相态为雪的频率≥95%;估算了冬奥会和残奥会举办地区域自动气象站2014—2016年赛事期间可造雪时数,发现冬奥期间造雪时数较为充足,残奥期间造雪时数较少,可以采用造雪和储雪结合保证赛事用雪。     

相对湿度和PM2.5浓度对大气能见度的影响研究:基于小时资料的多站对比分析

为了全面分析浙江省不同区域能见度变化基本特征及影响机理,基于杭州、宁波、温州3个国家基本气象站2013-2014年逐时能见度观测资料,比较分析了3市能见度变化的基本特征。发现3市不同等级能见度出现频率基本一致,随着能见度等级的提高,出现频率逐渐降低;从能见度的日变化来看,07时（北京时）前后最低,之后缓慢上升,14-15时达到最高,随后逐渐下降;全年有两个能见度较低时段,分别出现在12月-次年2月和5-6月;总体而言,宁波能见度最优,杭州和温州大体相当。功率谱分析结果表明,3市能见度均有显著的日周期,高频波段呈现出多个显著谱峰,低频波段存在若干显著谱峰。进一步开展机理分析,发现相对湿度和PM2.5浓度是调制大气能见度的关键因子,相对湿度增大、PM2.5浓度升高导致能见度降低。在同一相对湿度等级下,初始阶段能见度随PM2.5浓度的升高迅速降低,到达“拐点”之后降低速率趋于缓慢。在同一PM2.5浓度水平下,相对湿度越大,能见度越低,说明水汽对能见度也有重要影响。基于相对湿度和PM2.5浓度两个因子,采用非线性拟合方案构建了大气能见度定量统计模型,总体而言模型拟合效果较好。最后针对研究中存在的不足和未来值得进一步发掘的科学问题进行了讨论。      

Co-sequestration of SO2 with supercritical CO2 in carbonates: An experimental study of capillary trapping,relative permeability,and capillary pressure

In this study we performed three categories of steady- and unsteady-state core-flooding experiments to investigate capillary trapping, relative permeability, and capillary pressure, in a scCO₂ + SO₂/brine/limestone system at elevated temperature and pressure conditions, i.e., 60 °C and 19.16 MPa. We used a Madison limestone core sample acquired from the Rock Springs Uplift in southwest Wyoming. We carried out two sets of steady-state drainage-imbibition relative permeability experiments with different initial brine saturations to study hysteresis. We found that the final scCO₂ + SO₂ drainage relative permeability was very low, i.e., 0.04. We also observed a rapid reduction in the scCO₂-rich phase imbibition relative permeability curve, which resulted in a high residual trapping. The results showed that between 62.8% and more than 76% of the initial scCO₂ + SO₂ at the end of drainage was trapped by capillary trapping mechanism (trapping efficiency). We found that at higher initial brine saturations, the trapping efficiency was higher. The maximum initial and residual scCO₂-rich phase saturations at the end of primary drainage and imbibition were 0.525 and 0.329, respectively. Each drainage-imbibition cycle was followed by a dissolution process to re-establish S_w = 1. The dissolution brine relative permeabilities for both cycles were also obtained. We characterized the scCO₂ + SO₂/brine capillary pressure hysteresis behavior through unsteady-state primary drainage, imbibition, and secondary drainage experiments. We observed negative imbibition capillary pressure curve indicative of possible wettability alteration throughout the experiments due to contact with scCO₂ + SO₂/brine fluid system. The trapping results were compared to those reported in literature for other carbonate core samples. We noticed slightly more residual trapping in our sample, which might be attributed to heterogeneity, different viscosity ratio, and pore-space topologies. The impact of dynamic effects, i.e., high brine flow rate imbibition tests, on trapping of the scCO₂-rich phase was also explored. We performed two imbibition experiments with relatively high brine flow rates. The residual scCO₂ saturation dropped to 0.291 and 0.262 at the end of the first and second imbibition tests, i.e., 11.5% and 20.4%, respectively, compared to 0.329 under capillary-dominated regime.     

湖南土壤生态系统对酸沉降的相对敏感性区划

以成土母质、土壤酸碱度、土壤类型、植被类型和湿度类型等5个生境因子为基础,建立湖南土壤生态系统对酸沉降的相对敏感性评价指标体系;利用地理信息系统(GIS)工具进行湖南土壤生态系统对酸沉降的相对敏感性区划,结果表明,湖南省可以划分为极敏感区、敏感区、中等敏感区、不敏感区和极不敏感区等5个酸相对敏感性分区,分别占湖南省总面积的2.15%、30.02%、55.01%、10.56%和2.26%.     

Numerical simulation of cone penetration testing using a new critical state constitutive model for sand

A new perspective on the numerical simulation of cone penetration in sand is presented, based on an enhanced critical state model implemented in an explicit-integration finite element code. Its main advantage, compared to similar studies employing simpler soil models, is that sand compressibility can be described with a single set of model parameters, irrespective of the stress level and the sand relative density. Calibration is based on back-analysis of published centrifuge experiments, while results of the methodology are also compared against independent tests. Additional analyses are performed to investigate sand state effects on cone penetration resistance, in comparison with empirical expressions from the literature.     

A new shoreline displacement model for the last 7 ka from eastern James Bay, Canada

The shoreline displacement history of the eastern James Bay lowlands in the last 7 ka has been investigated by means of AMS radiocarbon dating of sediments cored from wetlands. We present twelve radiocarbon dates on macrofossils from six sites spread along a gradient of increasing land age and elevation. Palynomorph analysis (pollen, spores, and dinoflagellate cysts) was used to define the isolation stratigraphy. During the last 7 ka the shoreline elevation has regressed at a decreasing rate. The rate of shoreline emergence was initially rapid (6. 5 m/ 100 yr) between 6850 and  6400 cal yr BP then slowed down to 1.4– 2 m/ 100 yr during the late Holocene. Examination of previous relative sea level data based upon mollusc shells reveals high levels of uncertainty that mask potential temporal variability.     

基于ASTER VNIR-SWIR多光谱遥感数据识别与提取干旱地区岩性信息——以西南天山柯坪隆起东部为例

ASTER多光谱遥感数据目前可以用于岩石矿物资源信息的识别和提取。本研究尝试利用ASTER可见光近红外(VNIR)和短波红外(SWIR)的多光谱遥感数据提取干旱地区的岩石与矿物信息。基于新疆天山西南缘柯坪隆起东部不同地层单元岩石的化学组成和矿物成份以及VNIR-SWIR谱域光谱吸收特征的分析,我们采用相关吸收波段深度(RBD)和波段比值(BR)方法对研究区的多光谱遥感数据进行图像处理,有效区分和识别了白云岩、石灰岩、砂岩以及阿克苏群的蓝片岩—绿片岩和砂质片岩。白云岩的CO_3~(2-)吸收谱带中心波长位于2.32μm,与灰岩的CO_3~(2-)吸收谱带中心波长位置2.35μm相比,具有向短波长方向移动的特点,据此可以利用RBD7、RBD8分别有效的识别白云岩和灰岩;长英质岩石显示Al-OH和Fe~(3+)VNIR-SWIR吸收特征,而基性-超基性岩石显示Fe~(2+)和Fe、Mg-OH特征,利用不同的铁价态和次要矿物可以区分它们:ASTER band2/band1代表了含Fe~(3+)矿物分布信息、ASTER band5/band4代表了含Fe~(2+)矿物分布信息、RBD6可以估计Al-OH矿物的丰度;砂质/泥质片岩含较多的多硅白云母、绿泥石、黑硬绿泥石以及风化后表面覆盖的其它粘土矿物,在2.21μm(band6)存在有特征的吸收谱带,并且在1.65μm(band 4)具有较高的反射率,而蓝片/绿片岩在2.21μm(band 6)反射率较高,不具有明显特征吸收谱带,同时其在1.65μm(band 4)反射率较低,因此蓝片/绿片岩ASTER band4/band6比值低。应用ASTER band4/band6波段比值可以有效的区分开砂质/泥质片岩与蓝片岩/绿片岩。     

From the circular to the spatial elliptic restricted three-body problem

We deal with the study of the spatial restricted three-body problem in the case where the small particle is far from the primaries, that is, the so-called comet case. We consider the circular problem, apply double averaging and compute the relative equilibria of the reduced system. It appears that, in the circular problem, we find not only part of the equilibria existing in the elliptic case, but also new ones. These critical points are in correspondence with periodic and quasiperiodic orbits and invariant tori of the non-averaged Hamiltonian. We explain carefully the transition between the circular and the elliptic problems. Moreover, from the relative equilibria of elliptic type, we obtain invariant 3-tori of the original system.