用长周期体波反演地震矩张量及其实际意义

摘　 要　 介绍了地震矩张量的性质和用长周期体波反演地震矩张量的方法。用地震矩张量表 示震源‚能够使震源参数线性化‚从而实现由观测资料快速、简捷地反演出震源参数。     

水文模型参数敏感性分析—优化—区域化方法研究进展

水文模型是认识水文科学规律、分析水文过程及研究水文循环机理的重要科学工具。水文模型模拟结果的不确定分析是提高模型可靠性、进行有效水情预报的一个重要研究内容。参数不确定性是影响水文模型模拟结果不确定性的关键因素之一,开展模型参数不确定性及其影响因素分析对水文预报具有重要现实意义。目前的参数不确定性分析方法大致可分为3类：参数敏感性分析、参数优化以及考虑无资料流域参数值估计的参数区域化方法。论文归纳总结了近年来国内外水文模型参数不确定性分析工作的主要研究进展,分析了不同方法的优点与不足,提出了未来水文模型不确定性分析方法研究的潜在发展方向。借助多学科理论和技术方法,加强水文模型不确定性分析系统性方法的研究,是水文学科当前的迫切需求及发展趋势。     

A lumped parameter model for time‐domain inertial soil‐structure interaction analysis of structures on pile foundations

The paper presents a lumped parameter model for the approximation of the frequency‐dependent dynamic stiffness of pile group foundations. The model can be implemented in commercial software to perform linear or nonlinear dynamic analyses of structures founded on piles taking into account the frequency‐dependent coupled roto‐translational, vertical, and torsional behaviour of the soil‐foundation system. Closed‐form formulas for estimating parameters of the model are proposed with reference to pile groups embedded in homogeneous soil deposits. These are calibrated with a nonlinear least square procedure, based on data provided by an extensive non‐dimensional parametric analysis performed with a model previously developed by the authors. Pile groups with square layout and different number of piles embedded in soft and stiff soils are considered. Formulas are overall well capable to reproduce parameters of the proposed lumped system that can be straightforwardly incorporated into inertial structural analyses to account for the dynamic behaviour of the soil‐foundation system. Some applications on typical bridge piers are finally presented to show examples of practical use of the proposed model. Results demonstrate the capability of the proposed lumped system as well as the formulas efficiency in approximating impedances of pile groups and the relevant effect on the response of the superstructure.     

A frequency‐dependent and intensity‐dependent macroelement for reduced order seismic analysis of soil‐structure interacting systems

The computational demand of the soil‐structure interaction analysis for the design and assessment of structures, as well as for the evaluation of their life‐cycle cost and risk exposure, has led the civil engineering community to the development of a variety of methods toward the model order reduction of the coupled soil‐structure dynamic system in earthquake regions. Different approaches have been proposed in the past as computationally efficient alternatives to the conventional finite element model simulation of the complete soil‐structure domain, such as the nonlinear lumped spring, the macroelement method, and the substructure partition method. Yet no approach was capable of capturing simultaneously the frequency‐dependent dynamic properties along with the nonlinear behavior of the condensed segment of the overall soil‐structure system under strong earthquake ground motion, thus generating an imbalance between the modeling refinement achieved for the soil and the structure. To this end, a dual frequency‐dependent and intensity‐dependent expansion of the lumped parameter modeling method is proposed in the current paper, materialized through a multiobjective algorithm, capable of closely approximating the behavior of the nonlinear dynamic system of the condensed segment. This is essentially the extension of an established methodology, also developed by the authors, in the inelastic domain. The efficiency of the proposed methodology is validated for the case of a bridge foundation system, wherein the seismic response is comparatively assessed for both the proposed method and the detailed finite element model. The above expansion is deemed a computationally efficient and reliable method for simultaneously considering the frequency and amplitude dependence of soil‐foundation systems in the framework of nonlinear seismic analysis of soil‐structure interaction systems.     

Online numerical simulation: A hybrid simulation method for incomplete boundary conditions

Hybrid simulation is a powerful and cost‐effective simulation technique to evaluate structural dynamic performance. However, it is sometimes rather difficult to guarantee all the boundaries on the physical substructures, especially when the boundary conditions are very complex, due to limited laboratory resources. Lacking of boundary conditions is bound to change the stress state of the structure and eventually result in an inaccurate evaluation of structural performance. A model updating‐based online numerical simulation method is proposed in this paper to tackle the problem of incomplete boundary conditions. In the proposed method, 2 sets of finite element models with the same constitutive model are set up for the overall analysis of the whole structure and the constitutive model parameter estimation of the physical substructure, respectively. The boundary conditions are naturally satisfied because the response is calculated from the overall structural model, and the accuracy is improved as the material constitutive parameters are updated. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated via numerical simulations and actual hybrid tests on a RC frame structure, and the results show that the negative effect of incomplete boundary conditions is almost eliminated and the accuracy of hybrid simulation is very much improved.     

山西运城Ms4.3、3.4两次地震波形特征和震源新参数对比分析

对山西运城2016年3月12日Ms4.3和27日Ms3.4两次地震的波形特征和震源参数进行对比分析。结果显示,波形一致性很好,PmP波可能由于震源深度的差异,导致在同一台站的特征有所不同;震源机制解非常接近,说明两次地震的应力场作用方式一致。     

基于新型主成分加权平均归一化法优选水下重力匹配导航适配区

本文开展了水下潜器重力匹配导航的匹配区适配性评价研究.第一,本文综合考虑了重力异常标准差、坡度标准差、粗糙度、重力异常差异熵、分形维数等重力场主要特征参数,联合主成分分析准则和加权平均原理,提出了新型主成分加权平均归一化法;第二,基于新型主成分加权平均归一化法,计算可评价重力异常基准图各区域匹配效果的总体特征参数指标,依据总体特征参数指标进行优良适配区、一般适配区和非适配区划分;第三,在相同条件下,在划分的优良适配区、一般适配区和非适配区内,分别进行重力匹配数值模拟验证比较,结果表明,优良适配区的重力匹配效果显著,匹配概率约为98%,匹配稳定性高,位置误差小于1个重力异常基准图格网.     

关于2次江西早期中强地震的甄别与复核

按照最大化利用有限地震资料的研究思路,充分发掘可利用信息,综合文史记载、人文历史、地震研究成果等资料,对2次江西早期中强地震进行甄别和参数复核,得到结果如下:304年吉水-永丰间地震的震中约为27.3°N、115.2°E,震级5.0级左右; 455年余干地震的震中约为28.7°N、116.7°E,震级5?级左右。该结果可为江西早期地震研究和潜在震源区划分提供新的资料。     

内蒙古中西部地区震源参数研究

选取内蒙古测震台网2009—2016年内蒙古中西部M_L≥2.8中小地震波形记录,采用多台联合反演方法,计算该区中小地震震源谱参数,获得地震矩M₀、矩震级M_W、应力降Δσ和震源尺度r,利用线性回归,分析近震震级M_L、地震矩M₀、矩震级M_W、应力降Δσ和震源尺度r之间的关系。结果表明,各参数之间存在一定线性关系,内蒙古中西部地区应力降模型为增加应力降模型（ISD）。     

大型浅水湖泊藻类模型参数敏感性分析

选取太湖作为典型湖泊在之前研究基础上建立藻类模型,对模型中与藻类有关的40个参数进行拉丁超立方抽样,并使用区域敏感性分析方法和普适似然不确定性分析方法进行敏感性分析.结果表明:在所选的40个参数中,有7个参数是敏感的参数,对模拟的结果影响较大.在藻类生长、基础代谢、牧食和沉降4个藻类变化过程中藻类生长的敏感参数最多,影响最大;在藻类生长项中,叶绿素的消光系数是藻类生长光照限制中的最敏感参数,而最低适宜生长温度及其对藻类生长的影响系数则是温度限制中的敏感参数;并且不同湖区的不确定性在不同时间差异明显,对于藻类低浓度湖区和藻类暴发期的模拟需要加以关注.