全文获取类型
收费全文 | 414篇 |
免费 | 55篇 |
国内免费 | 57篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 28篇 |
大气科学 | 93篇 |
地球物理 | 190篇 |
地质学 | 96篇 |
海洋学 | 65篇 |
天文学 | 15篇 |
综合类 | 19篇 |
自然地理 | 20篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 3篇 |
2022年 | 8篇 |
2021年 | 9篇 |
2020年 | 5篇 |
2019年 | 15篇 |
2018年 | 13篇 |
2017年 | 14篇 |
2016年 | 16篇 |
2015年 | 17篇 |
2014年 | 17篇 |
2013年 | 19篇 |
2012年 | 17篇 |
2011年 | 25篇 |
2010年 | 12篇 |
2009年 | 26篇 |
2008年 | 32篇 |
2007年 | 34篇 |
2006年 | 19篇 |
2005年 | 20篇 |
2004年 | 18篇 |
2003年 | 12篇 |
2002年 | 25篇 |
2001年 | 13篇 |
2000年 | 15篇 |
1999年 | 14篇 |
1998年 | 19篇 |
1997年 | 10篇 |
1996年 | 12篇 |
1995年 | 10篇 |
1994年 | 12篇 |
1993年 | 11篇 |
1992年 | 9篇 |
1991年 | 5篇 |
1990年 | 4篇 |
1989年 | 7篇 |
1988年 | 4篇 |
1987年 | 2篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 1篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有526条查询结果,搜索用时 0 毫秒
51.
对流边界层(CBL)中的污染扩散是非高斯型的。本文在下列三个假设下建立了双高斯型几率分布函数(PDF)模式:1.对流边界层任一确定高度铅直速度W的几率分布函数pw由两个高斯分布迭加而成;2.从污染源释放的粒子具有源高的铅直速度几率分布,且其轨迹是线性的;3.粒子在地面的反射为全反射,在混合层高度Zi为全反射或有部分吸收。然后分析了三个高度上铅直速度W的一些统计特征量,比较了由PDF模式计算的横风向积分浓度和Lamb的数值模拟[1-3],Deardorff的水槽模拟[4-6]结果,并用美国CONDORS计划的外场试验资料[7]对PDF模式进行了验证,结果均相当一致。 相似文献
52.
53.
基于概率加权估计的中国极端气温时空分布模拟试验 总被引:32,自引:0,他引:32
引入一种计算简便、有效性高,并可代替极大似然法的优良参数估计方法--概率加权法(PWM),利用Gumbel分布对中国极端气温时空变化特征作"当前"与"未来"气候的模拟试验.结果表明,这种方法具有较高的拟合优度.利用适应性较强的Weibull分布拟合中国逐日高(低)气温的原始分布,在此基础上,借助于蒙特卡洛随机模拟产生未来平均气候情景下的极端高(低)气温统计概率特征.模拟试验表明,在未来气候条件下,若平均气温升高1.0℃,中国各大区域极端高(低)气温的概率有一定的变动规律可寻. 相似文献
54.
55.
Praveen Kumar Peter Guttarp Efi Foufoula-Georgiou 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1994,8(3):173-183
We present a statistically robust approach based on probability weighted moments to assess the presence of simple scaling in geophysical processes. The proposed approach is different from current approaches which rely on estimation of high order moments. High order moments of simple scaling processes (distributions) may not have theoretically defined values and consequently, their empirical estimates are highly variable and do not converge with increasing sample size. They are, therefore, not an appropriate tool for inference. On the other hand we show that the probability weighted moments of such processes (distributions) do exist and, hence, their empirical estimates are more robust. These moments, therefore, provide an appropriate tool for inferring the presence of scaling. We illustrate this using simulated Levystable processes and then draw inference on the nature of scaling in fluctuations of a spatial rainfall process. 相似文献
56.
以鱼粉和酪蛋白为蛋白源,添加鱼油、豆油、α-马铃薯淀粉、纤维素以及适量的维生素和矿物质配制成实验饲料,蛋白质质量分数设置41%、47%、53%3个水平,能量设置12 561、14 655、16 748 kJ/kg 3个水平,饲养点带石斑鱼幼鱼59 d后,以增重率、蛋白质效率、饲料系数为评价指标,分析不同能量蛋白比的饲料对点带石斑鱼体内消化酶活性的影响。结果表明:当能量蛋白比分别为31.30、33.50、32.26 kJ/g时,点带石斑鱼增重率、蛋白质效率达到极大值,饲料系数达到极小值;能量蛋白比在31.62~35.54 kJ/g范围内,胃、肠道的蛋白酶、淀粉酶、脂肪酶活性较强。点带石斑鱼幼鱼配合饲料中合适的能量蛋白比为31.62~33.50 kJ/g。 相似文献
57.
Randall D. Campbell 《Experimental Astronomy》2002,14(1):57-60
Keck's Long Wavelength Spectrometer (LWS), is the facility instrument used for imaging and spectroscopy in the wavelength
range of 3–28 μm at the Keck Observatory. LWS uses an 128 × 128 Si:As blocked impurity band (BIB) array manufactured by the
Boeing Corporation. This paper discusses the method used for optimizing the detector's operating parameters at a temperature
of 8.5 K and bias voltage of 1.2 V. A process for characterizing detective quantum efficiency of BIB detectors is also presented.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
58.
59.
Mohammad Ashtari Jafari 《Natural Hazards》2007,42(1):237-252
The Bayesian probability estimation seems to have efficiencies that make it suitable for calculating different parameters
of seismicity. Generally this method is able to combine prior information on seismicity while at the same time including statistical
uncertainty associated with the estimation of the parameters used to quantify seismicity, in addition to the probabilistic
uncertainties associated with the inherent randomness of earthquake occurrence. In this article a time-independent Bayesian
approach, which yields the probability that a certain cut-off magnitude will be exceeded at certain time intervals is examined
for the region of Alborz, Iran, in order to consider the following consequences for the city of Tehran. This area is located
within the Alpine-Himalayan active mountain belt. Many active faults affect the Alborz, most of which are parallel to the
range and accommodate the present day oblique convergence across it. Tehran, the capital of Iran, with millions of inhabitants
is located near the foothills of the southern Central Alborz. This region has been affected several times by historical and
recent earthquakes that confirm the importance of seismic hazard assessment through it. As the first step in this study an
updated earthquake catalog is compiled for the Alborz. Then, by assuming a Poisson distribution for the number of earthquakes
which occur at a certain time interval, the probabilistic earthquake occurrence is computed by the Bayesian approach. The
highest probabilities are found for zone AA and the lowest probabilities for zones KD and CA, meanwhile the overall probability
is high. 相似文献
60.
Geostatistically based history-matching methods make it possible to devise history-matching strategies that will honor geologic
knowledge about the reservoir. However, the performance of these methods is known to be impeded by slow convergence rates
resulting from the stochastic nature of the algorithm. It is the purpose of this paper to introduce a method that integrates
qualitative gradient information into the probability perturbation method to improve convergence. The potential of the proposed
method is demonstrated on a synthetic history-matching example. The results indicate that inclusion of qualitative gradient
information improves the performance of the probability perturbation method. 相似文献