鄂尔多斯盆地延长期富烃坳陷形成的动力学环境与构造属性

鄂尔多斯盆地丰富的石油资源来自盆地南部中晚三叠世延长期富烃坳陷,其中贡献最大的长7段页状优质烃源岩以富铀、夹多层凝灰岩为特征。延长期大型富烃坳陷具南深北浅的坳陷型结构,内部接受统一的湖相沉积。在富烃坳陷的深湖-较深湖区,为优质烃源岩发育区;亦为烃源岩中较高铀含量(测井高伽马异常)和凝灰岩夹层较厚分布区,在位置上三位一体、彼此交互叠置。盆地上古生界-中侏罗统多层系高热演化区上下同位,早-中侏罗世多期持续沉降区先后叠置,均位于延长期富烃坳陷范围内。综合调查研究揭示,在延长期,特别是长7段沉积期间,各类深部物质上拱挤入构造(如砂岩墙(脉)、泥岩脊和热液碳酸盐岩结核)、同沉积变形构造(如断裂、褶皱、揉皱、滑塌、滑坡等(软)地层变形)和事件沉积(如浊流沉积、震积岩及湖底扇等)发育,主要分布在富烃坳陷深湖-较深湖区。在烃源岩等地层中,检测出多种指示深部热流体活动的岩石矿物和地球化学异常。深部探测显示,在富烃坳陷深部400km以上壳幔各界面呈上拱的结构特征。这表明延长期富烃坳陷和其中优质烃源岩是在构造活动明显、深部作用活跃的地球动力学环境中形成演化的,从深层次揭示了其形成条件与发育环境。延长期富烃坳陷与印支期秦岭造山带的形成演化及其岩浆活动,在空间上相邻、发育时限相当、演化阶段响应、活动兴衰同步,是在华北-扬子两大陆块汇聚碰撞,进而向板内构造环境转换的动力学环境中进行的。延长期富烃坳陷两次较长距离的沉积-沉降中心迁移,是对秦岭碰撞造山环境重大变革始发的响应和纪录。在南北两大陆汇聚碰撞过程中,在仰冲华北板块后陆地带深部积聚的巨量俯冲物质发生熔融和热量转换,促使该区深部物质过饱和聚集、热能及压力超常骤增,形成较小尺度地幔对流,熔融物质与热能上拱,引发地壳表浅层拱张破裂和侧向扩展,于是发生沉降,形成延长期具热-张性特性的富烃坳陷,称其为后陆盆地。后陆盆地与前陆盆地分别位于碰撞造山带两侧仰冲和俯冲板块临山一侧,但其构造属性有质的不同,油气赋存和成藏特征也差别较大。     

海洋浮游生态系统模型的稳态非线性动力学研究

以Logistic模型为基础,考虑捕捞行为及其所造成的污染对浮游生物的削弱作用,并考虑浮游生态系统具有一定的自净能力,建立了一个新的海洋浮游生态系统非线性动力学模型。分析了模型的非线性动力学特性,并得出了模型的稳定性条件和发生Hopf分岔条件,在此基础上,深入分析了捕捞强度参数的变化对系统稳态的影响,并且用数值模拟验证了理论分析结果的正确性。     

钱塘江河势变迁与径潮流相互作用研究

基于平面二维水沙床耦合地貌模型,反演了1958年1月至1964年12月连续枯水年期间钱塘江尖山河段的主槽摆动过程,揭示了河势由顺直到弯曲的主要演变规律和内在机制.结果表明,在低径流和强潮流作用下,丰水年形成的北部落潮槽逐渐淤积形成浅滩,南部涨潮槽冲刷发展形成南、北两支,两槽间江心滩发育壮大,形成弯曲河势.河床冲淤主要集中在前两年内,潮汐周期内涨潮初期冲刷、涨憩和落潮初期淤积,区域淤积泥沙主要来源于下游杭州湾,北槽前期淤积为落潮型淤积,后期为涨潮型淤积.河势变化使得区域潮差增大潮动力增强,南槽涨落潮流速显著增大.顺直河势下,江心滩南北两侧分流比差异不大,涨潮期间南侧略高、落潮期间北槽略高.弯曲河势下,南槽水深和纳潮量增加,涨、落潮分流比均显著增大至75％以上.     

浮游生态系统非线性动力学研究

建立了新的藻类-浮游动物生态非线性动力学模型,该模型考虑了藻类与浮游动物之间的增长关系。研究了模型平衡点的稳定性,以及Hop f分岔现象。通过对选取的分岔参数进行分析,揭示了该系统的动力学特性。     

带有周期分量的多层递阶预报模型

本文针对经典多层递阶方法所存在的缺陷,提出了一种改进方案—带有周期分量的多层递阶预报模型,它利用时间序列的显著周期分量取代原模型中的自回归部分,使之既考虑到各种物理因子的主导作用,又较好地反映了气象要素自身的周期性变化规律,因而预报效果较为稳定。     

藏南洛扎地区侏罗纪—早白垩世层序地层与地层格架——兼论基本层序变化规律调查在区调工作中的运用

根据米级旋回垂向上的变化规律，新特提斯洋北缘北喜马拉雅被动大陆边缘的沉积层序自侏罗纪—早白垩世共可划分二级层序3个，三级层序18个。早、中侏罗世低位体系域不发育，由海进体系域与高位体系域两部分组成。晚侏罗世出现大型深切河谷。海平面下降幅度最大。早白垩世发育陆架边缘体系域。在此基础上建立了测区侏罗纪—早白垩世地层格架。讨论了当前1∶〖KG-*2〗25万、1∶〖KG-*2〗5万区调填图过程中岩石地层单位内基本层序调查应从静态的代表性基本层序描述转变为动态的基本层序变化规律的调查，阐明了基本层序变化规律与层序地层的关系。     

Impact of the surface temperature and vertical shear of zonal wind on the dynamics of a simple two-layer model of the atmosphere

The paper presents and analyzes, from the point of view of smooth dynamic systems theory, a two-layer baroclinic model of the troposphere in geostrophic approximation. The model describes airflow in β-channel within the tropospheric part of the main Hadley circulation cell. It enables to obtain, after application of the Galerkin method, a fairly simple low-parametric dynamic system describing the phenomena of non-linear interactions, bifurcations and blocking in the atmosphere. This enables to take into consideration such basic factors influencing the atmospheric dynamics like the heat exchange within the surface, orography, vertical variability of zonal wind and hydrostatic stability. Impact of zonal thermal variability of the surface and vertical shear of zonal wind in the troposphere on the orographic bifurcation was investigated and the oscillation character in the dynamic system after Hopf bifurcation of the second kind was analyzed. Additionally, the model dynamics was investigated in conditions including momentum forcing in the upper and lower parts of the troposphere and excluding orographic interaction, as well as in the conditions of thermal interaction between the troposphere and the surface for the vertical shear of zonal wind in both tropospheric layers. Impact of the mean zonal wind in the troposphere on the properties of model dynamics was assessed. It was proved that zonally varied surface temperature and layered mean zonal wind in the atmosphere are the parameters that have basic influence on the model dynamics. They cause numerous bifurcations and strongly influence the periods of oscillations of the model variables. They are often Hopf bifurcations of the second kind during which tropospheric states fairly distant from the ones before the bifurcations are generated. This significantly influences the model predictability.     

A 1500-year record of temperature and glacial response inferred from varved Iceberg Lake, southcentral Alaska

We present a varve thickness chronology from glacier-dammed Iceberg Lake in the southern Alaska icefields. Radiogenic evidence confirms that laminations are annual and record continuous sediment deposition from A.D. 442 to A.D. 1998. Varve thickness is positively correlated with Northern Hemisphere temperature trends, and more strongly with a local, ∼600 yr long tree ring width chronology. Varve thickness increases in warm summers because of higher melt, runoff, and sediment transport (as expected), but also because shrinkage of the glacier dam allows shoreline regression that concentrates sediment in the smaller lake. Varve thickness provides a sensitive record of relative changes in warm season temperatures. Relative to the entire record, temperatures implied by this chronology were lowest around A.D. 600, warm between A.D. 1000 and A.D. 1300, cooler between A.D. 1500 and A.D. 1850, and have increased dramatically since then. Combined with stratigraphic evidence that contemporary jökulhlaups (which began in 1999) are unprecedented since at least A.D. 442, this record suggests that 20th century warming is more intense, and accompanied by more extensive glacier retreat, than the Medieval Warm Period or any other time in the last 1500 yr.     

"Little Ice Age" Research: A Perspective from Iceland

The development during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries of the sciences of meteorology and climatology and their subdisciplines has made possible an ever-increasing understanding of the climate of the past. In particular, the refinement of palaeoclimatic proxy data has meant that the climate of the past thousand years has begun to be extensively studied. In the context of this research, it has often been suggested that a warm epoch occurred in much of northern Europe, the north Atlantic, and other parts of the world, from around the ninth through the fourteenth centuries, and that this was followed by a decline in temperatures culminating in a "Little Ice Age" from about 1550 to 1850 (see e.g. Lamb, 1965, 1977; Flohn, 1978). The appelations "Medieval Warm Period" and "Little Ice Age" have entered the literature and are frequently used without clear definition. More recently, however, these terms have come under closer scrutiny (see, e.g. Ogilvie, 1991, 1992; Bradley and Jones, 1992; Mikami, 1992; Briffa and Jones, 1993; Bradley and Jones, 1993; Hughes and Diaz, 1994; Jones et al., 1998; Mann et al., 1999; Crowley and Lowery, 2000). As research continues into climatic fluctuations over the last 1000 to 2000 years, a pattern is emerging which suggests a far more complex picture than early research into the history of climate suggested. In this paper, the origins of the term "Little Ice Age" are considered. Because of the emphasis on the North Atlantic in this volume, the prime focus is on research that has been undertaken in this region, with a perspective on the historiography of historical climatology in Iceland as well as on the twentieth-century climate of Iceland. The phrase "Little Ice Age" has become part of the scientific and popular thinking on the climate of the past thousand years. However, as knowledge of the climate of the Holocene continues to grow, the term now seems to cloud rather than clarify thinking on the climate of the past thousand years. It is hoped that the discussion here will encourage future researchers to focus their thinking on exactly and precisely what is meant when the term "Little Ice Age" is used.     

分岔隧道变形监测与施工对策研究

分岔隧道是一种新型结构形式的隧道。以八字岭分岔隧道为工程背景,首先介绍了分岔隧道现场变形监测方法;接着分析了在当前支护和施工方案条件下隧道纵向变形特点、大拱段伴随开挖和支护进行表现出来的施工动态响应特点及隧道开挖面表现出来的空间效应特点。最后,在分析隧道变形特点的基础上,给出了相应的施工对策。研究结果为分岔隧道的设计、施工提供了必要的依据。