太平洋-印度洋海表温度加热对中高纬低频振荡的调频作用

用数值试验的方法，分别以无热源型、El Nino初期、El Nino成熟期对应的赤道中东太平洋与赤道印度洋海表温度作为外强迫源，应用强迫耗散准地转正压涡度方程的全球谱模式，考虑了摩擦耗散及3波准共振的共同作用，采用非定常、定常加热两种形式积分90d，研究了对中高纬大气低频振荡的调频作用。结果表明：（1）3个行星波之间存在很强的波-波相互作用，且波动振荡呈现准双周和季节内振荡；（2）在El Nino初期和El Nino成熟期，无论是赤道中东太平洋海温还是赤道印度洋海温在逐渐增暖的过程中，大气低频振荡周期都有缩短的趋势。1997年2月-1997年4月，赤道印度洋调节作用强；而在1998年5月，赤道中东太平洋调节作用强；（3）赤道印度洋西区对大气低频振荡的调节作用要强于赤道印度洋东区；Nino3区对大气低频振荡的调节作用要强于Ninol＋2区；（4）太平洋-印度洋海温异常模态在1997年10月为高指数（简称PIMI一型），在1996年9月为低指数（简称PIMI二型），前者对应的东太平洋-西印度洋区对大气的调频作用要大于后者对应的西太平洋一东印度洋区。     

近116年江淮梅雨异常及其环流特征分析

利用江淮地区1885—2000年近116a梅雨特征量资料和NCEP／NCAR逐日再分析资料，采用谐波分析、最大熵谱分析、小波分析、合成分析等方法讨论了江淮梅雨特征量的年际-年代际变化特征及梅雨异常的环流特征。结果表明；江淮梅雨特征量存在显著的年际和年代际变化特征。入梅日期、出梅日期、梅雨期长度呈显著上升的长期变化趋势，梅雨量和梅雨强度长期趋势变化不明显；梅雨特征量均存在多时间尺度的振荡周期，入梅日期具有准24a、准5a和准3a的显著周期；出梅日期具有准35a、准22a和准5a的显著周期；梅雨量具有准40a、准15a、准9a和准3a的显著周期。丰梅年南亚高压中心强度和西太平洋副热带高压增强。枯梅年则反之。     

THE POSITION VARIATION OF THE WEST PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND ITS POSSIBLE MECHANISM

Using NCEP/NCAR daily reanalysis data and SCSMEX data, an investigation is carried out of the relationship between the position variation of the west Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and the apparent heating in June 1998 based on the complete vertical vorticity equation. It is found that the non-adiabatic heating plays an important role in the position variation of WPSH. In comparison with climatic mean status, the vertical change of non-adiabatic heating is stronger in the north side of WPSH in June 1998, but weaker in the south side of WPSH. The anomalous non-uniform heating induces anomalous cyclonic vorticity in South China, areas to the south of the Yangtze and its mid-lower valleys, but anomalous anticyclonic vorticity in the Indo-China Peninsula and South China Sea areas lead to the more southward position of WPSH than the mean.     

Fire Danger Monitoring Using ERS-1 SAR Images in the Case of Northern Boreal Forests

Research was carried out to assess the potential of imaging radar systems formonitoring forest fire danger. In Canada, daily forest fire danger ratings are generated by the Canadian ForestFire Danger Rating System (CFFDRS), based on estimates of fire weather indices (FWI) and measured foliar moisturecontent (FMC). To evaluate the potential of imaging radar, an experiment was conducted using test sitesconsisting of jack pine, black spruce and white spruce stands located in the MacKenzie river basin, NorthwestTerritories, Canada. Radar image intensity values from ERS-1 SAR imagery collected over these stands in 1994 werecompared to FWI indices and FMC data. FWI indices were calculated using data from local weather stations.Seasonal trends in radar backscatter (⁰) were shown to correlate with temperature and precipitation. Significant relationships were found between ⁰ and FWI codes and indices, particularly in thecase of the black spruce stands, with slow-drying fuels, like duff moisture code (DMC), drought code (DC), and build-upindex (BUI). Rates of changes in ⁰were related to rates of changes in FMC, particularly in the case ofthe jack pine stands for old FMC and in the case of white spruce stands for composite FMC.     

Chemical Assessment of Oceanic and Terrestrial Sulfur in the Marine Boundary Layer over the Northern North Pacific during Summer

Dimethylsulfide (DMS) in surface seawater and the air, methanesulfonic acid (MSA) and non-sea-salt sulfate (nss-SO₄ ²–) in aerosol, and radon-222 (Rn-222) were measured in the northern North Pacific, including the Bering Sea, during summer (13 July – 6 September 1997). The mean atmospheric DMS concentrations in the eastern region (21.0 ± 5.8 nmole/m³ (mean ± S.D.), n=30) and Bering Sea (19.9 ± 9.8 nmole/m³, n=10) were higher than that in the western region (11.1 ± 6.4 nmole/m³, n=31) (p<0.05), although these regions did not significantly differ in the mean DMS concentration in surface seawater. Mean sea-to-air DMS flux in the eastern region (21.0 ± 10.4 mole/m²/day, n=19) was larger than those in the western region (11.3 ± 16.9 mole /m²/day, n=22) and Bering Sea (11.2 ± 7.8 mole/m²/day, n=7) (p<0.05). This suggests that the longitudinal difference in atmospheric DMS was produced by that in DMS flux owing to wind speed, while the possible causes of the higher DMS concentrations in the Bering Sea include (1) later DMS oxidation rates, (2) lower heights of the marine boundary layer, and (3) more inactive convection. The mean MSA concentrations in the eastern region (1.18 ± 0.84 nmole/m³, n=35) and Bering Sea (1.17 ± 0.87 nmole/m³, n=13) were higher than that in the western region (0.49 ± 0.25 nmole/m³, n=28) (p < 0.05). Thus the distribution of MSA was similar to that of DMS, while the nss-SO₄ ²– concentrations were higher near the continent. This suggests that nss-SO₄ ²– concentrations were regionally influenced by anthropogenic sulfur input, because the distribution of nss-SO₄ ²– was similar to that of Rn-222 used as a tracer of continental air masses.     

西太平洋副热带高压中期变化的数值试验 Ⅱ.热带西太平洋热源的作用

用一个全球谱模式作数值试验,研究了１９７９年６月中蟾一次西太平洋副热带高压西伸北进的中期天气过程中热带西太平洋地区理想热源的作用。结果表明：理想热源的作用大约在４天以后可以影响我国东部的副热带高压和中高纬度的环流;理想热源在热带洋面上产生的扰动首先沿副高南边的东风气流向西北方向传播,到中纬西风带后分为两支,一支继续向西北方向传播,另一支转向东北偏东方向传播,两支扰动的共同作用导致副热带高压和西风带     

热带太平洋SSWA特征及其在ENSO循环中的演变

应用1970年1月至1989年12月热带太平洋SSTA（海面温度距乎）和SSWA（海面风距平）资料,分析发现：热带太平洋SSWA的主要空间特征和海气耦合主要空间型均表现为ElNino（LaNina）盛期的SSWA分布。热带太平洋SS－WA的主要传播特征与ENSO循环过程中SSWA的演变是一致的,表现为赤道中东太平洋海面阻平东、西风的转换和赤道东太平洋SSWA辐散、辐合的转换。赤道中东太平洋距平东风（西风）向赤道距平西风（东风）的转换伴随着中西太平洋副热带SSWA偶极子气旋（反气旋）的生消,偶极子气旋（及气旋）表现为明显的北半球强于南半球。     

Western Pacific in glacial cycles:Seasonality in marginal seas and variabilities of Warm Pool

A serics of low-latitude marginal seas, ranging from the southern South China Sea in the north to the Arafura Sea in the south, are located within the Western Pacific Warm Pool. As shown by rnicropaleontological, isotopical and organic geochemical analyses, the sea surface temperatures in the marginal seas at the last glacial maximum were much cooler than those in the open Western Pacific Ocean. The emergence of extensive shelves of the marginal seas at the glacial low sea-level stand and the decrease of surface temperatures in their deeper water parts resulted in a remarkable reduction of the ability of vapor and heat transport to the atmosphere, causing variabilities to the Warm Pool in the glacial cycles. The intensification of winter monsoon at the glacial stages not only led to a decrease of the surface water temperature and hence to an enhanced seasonality, but also carried moisture from the sea to the tropical islands, giving rise to the downward shift of snowline and mountainous vegetation zones there. It may offer a new alternative in solution of the “Tropical Ocean Paleo-temperature Enigma”. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 49576286).     

A diagnostic study on the relationship between the assembling of low frequency waves in the pacific ocean and the abnormality of the subtropical high

ＡＤｉａｇｎｏｓｔｉｃＳｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅＲｅｌａｔｉｏｎｓｈｉｐｂｅｔｗｅｎｔｈｅＡｓｅｍｂｌｉｎｇｏｆＬｏｗＦｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙＷａｖｅｓｉｎｔｈｅＰａｃｉｆｉｃＯｃｅａｎａｎｄｔｈｅＡｂｎｏｒｍａｌｉｔｙｏｆｔｈｅＳｕｂｔｒｏｐｉｃａｌＨｉｇｈＺ...